[boombaby1987]

The public's money is going to be insane in favor of the Lakers, a lot on the Lakers moneyline. Play accordingly.

[neverstoppers23]

why wouldn't you love the lakers as a dog tonight with the way they have been playing? gasol and nash howard and kobe are finally together on the court. and they look exactly how we thought they would months ago. they finally look like one of the best teams in the west, and they are driven to show people how roaring good they are with nash.

good luck sir, i never care what side the public is on or not. if its a good play its a good play

[TheProdigy8199]

why wouldn't you love the lakers as a dog tonight with the way they have been playing? gasol and nash howard and kobe are finally together on the court. and they look exactly how we thought they would months ago. they finally look like one of the best teams in the west, and they are driven to show people how roaring good they are with nash.

good luck sir, i never care what side the public is on or not. if its a good play its a good play

Agreed...the Lakers are ALWAYS a huge public play...that's just the way it is, just like Miami...it doesn't matter if they are giving or getting points, they will always have their backers. So the "public" really has no bearing on this game. This is also a really good spot for the Lakers. They are playing well and are finally completely healthy. Nash coming back has been a huge spark for this team and Metta World Peace coming off the bench has supplied them with extra offense, much like James Harden did for OKC. They also play a lot better defense than the Nuggets. They should be able to control the paint with Howard matched up against Kofous. Another thing people aren't considering is that the Nuggets played the late game last night and had to fly back to Denver. They probably didn't get into Denver until about 3am this morning, whereas the Lakers played the early game and have had much more time to rest up. The Lakers have a huge experience edge in tonights game...I think they win this outright, the points are a bonus.

[Eagles27]

Denver has been shooting shit the past few games (even in the big win against the lowly bobcats), the nuggs were shooting shit from beyond the arc. Im just going to stay away from this one.

[bigballr9989]

No play for me here but LAL seems like the way to go. As previously stated, Lakers with Nash look like the strong team we know they can be. Its obvious that Kobe really trusts Nash and the offense flows beautifully with him running the point. Nuggets got abused last night and will be hungry tho. The over seems like the play all things considered, but LA could get out to an early lead and roll to a big blowout. BOL to all

[crustyme]

lakers got on their flight immediately after the game yesterday so got a good nights sleep in denver.

nuggets probably landed around 4am this morning after a late night game.

lakers ml.

[vaas187]

it's lakers or nothing.

if lakers is around 50-60% it's a solid play.

just like miami...

typically lakers are 75%+ so vegas loves taking advantage of low public numbers on a highly public team
i don't base my bet off that statistic and holds no factual baring but it's an angle i certainly do think about

[lonegambler]

The public's money is going to be insane in favor of the Lakers, a lot on the Lakers moneyline. Play accordingly.

I agree 100%

[Reign Man]

Denver is always tough to beat at home but the way both teams are playing it's really hard not to roll with the Lakers here. Lawson has been struggling and he's the difference maker, that achilles soreness has really been a ongoing problem for awhile and it's not letting him drive the way he's used to

[crackerjack]

lakers got on their flight immediately after the game yesterday so got a good nights sleep in denver.

nuggets probably landed around 4am this morning after a late night game.

lakers ml.

Man I wish handicapping games was this easy...

[TheProdigy8199]

Man I wish handicapping games was this easy...

It is a solid point though...

[STAY STRONG]

Lake Show rolling!!

[rainman416]

Tired of these Goof threads that play on the assumption that the public loses every game... Vegas makes their money off the Vig. they set the lines hoping to get a 50/50 split... because of goooooves like this OP, there will be more action on Nugg's than you'd expect.. Lakers win SU tonight. the points are a gift I will take.

[CanuckG]

Tired of these Goof threads that play on the assumption that the public loses every game... Vegas makes their money off the Vig. they set the lines hoping to get a 50/50 split... because of goooooves like this OP, there will be more action on Nugg's than you'd expect.. Lakers win SU tonight. the points are a gift I will take.

Thanks Rainman tailing for a dime

[rainman416]

GL - My plays tonight are as follows:

LA Lakers +4.0 @ -110 $200.00 Single	12/26/2012 13:53:56	200.00	0.00
LA Lakers @ +150 $400.00 Single	12/26/2012 13:53:27	400.00	0.00
MIA Heat @ -650 LA Lakers @ +150 GS Warriors @ +155 3 Play Parlays, 1 bet * $194.00	12/26/2012 13:40:42	194.00	0.00
NY Knicks -2.5 @ -110 LA Lakers +4.0 @ -110 GS Warriors +4.0 @ -110 3 Play Parlays, 1 bet * $50.00	12/26/2012 13:39:36	50.00	0.00
MIA Heat -4.5 @ -260 NY Knicks -2.5 @ -110 LA Lakers +4.0 @ -110 GS Warriors +4.0 @ -110 TOR Raptors +13.0 @ -110 5 Play Parlays, 1 bet * $25.00	12/26/2012 13:38:53	25.00	0.00
LA Lakers @ +150 GS Warriors @ +155 MIA Heat -4.5 @ -260 NY Knicks -2.5 @ -110 Over 208.0 @ -110 5 Play Parlays, 1 bet * $75.00	12/26/2012 13:37:04	75.00	0.00

[Jakenv21]

Tired of these Goof threads that play on the assumption that the public loses every game... Vegas makes their money off the Vig. they set the lines hoping to get a 50/50 split... because of goooooves like this OP, there will be more action on Nugg's than you'd expect.. Lakers win SU tonight. the points are a gift I will take.

In theory that's what they want but I look at this stuff every day. So many games are no where near 50-50.
today
94% on NYK
80% on Cleveland
84% on Atlanta
90% on Orlando
88% on Lakers
source scoresandodds.com

[crustyme]

Man I wish handicapping games was this easy...

you must be able to predict the future.

cause us mere mortals look for every edge possible.

[rainman416]

Do those numbers reflect the play on the Spread, ML or both??

[Jakenv21]

Do those numbers reflect the play on the Spread, ML or both??

Spread

[boombaby1987]

Gl to all who bet. Ill check in after the game.

[El Sol]

Tired of these Goof threads that play on the assumption that the public loses every game... Vegas makes their money off the Vig. they set the lines hoping to get a 50/50 split... because of goooooves like this OP, there will be more action on Nugg's than you'd expect.. Lakers win SU tonight. the points are a gift I will take.

Local and smaller books certainly want 50 / 50 action as they don't have the equity to absorb big hits, but the big books Generally want the Public Favorites to lose. The books most profitable weeks are always when a lot of Dogs win against America's favorite teams and lines will often adjust in attempts to make that happen.

[jeffdane]

doesnt just about everything point to an under?

[boombaby1987]

Tried to warn you SBR. Another public burial.

[rainman416]

Lakers lose. Sucks. But it had nothing to do with how many people bet on them. Public action pushes spreads. Not performance. Who knew Dwight would get ejected in the 3rd? lol usually such a nice guy

[You mad bro]

Lakers r a joke

[boombaby1987]

Lakers lose. Sucks. But it had nothing to do with how many people bet on them. Public action pushes spreads. Not performance. Who knew Dwight would get ejected in the 3rd? lol usually such a nice guy

Whatever you say, all I am saying is that being with the 88% public is a losing battle the majority of the time. We see it time and time again.

Too bad people didn't listen to me.