1. #36
    d2bets
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    Bears are desperate, this is a revenge game, GB been bad on the road...

    Take the home team on the ML.

  2. #37
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post

    Green Bay$523,520
    Chicago$24,282

    Half million$ more on G-Bay and the line is in a coma


    Bears are gonna pull a miracle come Sunday just you wait and see........




    Green Bay$601,794.00
    Chicago$30,030.00

    .67 mil difference,STOP

  3. #38
    PAULYPOKER
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    The line movement is clinically brain dead,

    time to pull plug I guess.................

  4. #39
    sweethook
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    dam , somethings up

  5. #40
    Stevedore
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    The line movement is clinically brain dead,

    time to pull plug I guess.................
    Who wants to tail Cutler and his 16 int's against GB since 09? I guess you do!

  6. #41
    lakerboy
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    It took ages for a ml to come out, the line is spot on. It was -3 in the nfc title game as well two years ago. Sure the bears could win but let's be real the bears are just awful right now. They need 3 special teams td's to win.

  7. #42
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    It took ages for a ml to come out, the line is spot on. It was -3 in the nfc title game as well two years ago. Sure the bears could win but let's be real the bears are just awful right now. They need 3 special teams td's to win.
    The line was spot on when released but it should of moved to at least -6,5 by now.............

  8. #43
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stevedore View Post
    Who wants to tail Cutler and his 16 int's against GB since 09? I guess you do!
    Do you think the books are gonna hand over a half mil out for free ?
    Do you even understand how line adjustment manipulates the market?

  9. #44
    Tommy Blingshyne
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Do you think the books are gonna hand over a half mil out for free ?
    Do you even understand how line adjustment manipulates the market?
    doesnt this imply some kind of fix then? i mean, the game still has to be played by the players, not the bookies...its def. very odd that the line hasnt moved and could certainly result in a public burial but line movement aside, is it not reasonable to favor the pack in this game?

  10. #45
    Tommy Blingshyne
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    just seems like the bears are trending down while the pack is trending up, both teams are banged up but the bears look more banged up, the packers own the bears in this series in recent years, cutler struggles against the pack and hes "injured" himself this week, both teams need this win equally...whats the big secret the public isnt aware of?

  11. #46
    k13
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    -1 now....

  12. #47
    gasto
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    Thats kind of silly asking if the game is fixed. Off course all the games are fixed to a certain extent. Every night heavy favorites in NBA or NFL inexplicably fail to cover a given spread. What most of us forget is we are betting against ATS unless you are on main line. Especially in NBA , heavy favorites do lost very often thus blowing away ATS and all teasers.

    The other night, some thought Philly will stand up to Cinci, look at the way they lost. Not even amateurs would give away 3 scores in 3 minutes. The evidence is there for all to see. The best course of action is to stay away when it looks too good to be true. Books need to balance action, so assuming that is correct, why would they not be moving line to +10 etc unless they have some inside info as to what will really happen.

    Games like this , usually end very bad. Once a while a GB may win, but thats once a while. Oklohoma was winning by over 20 at half time yesterday, spread was -13, only won by 10. The other night, spread was -12 won by 6 or so. Only scored 34 points in a half vs a bad team NO. This betting is a business, eventually money flows have a huge impact on what transpires on the field. People need to get paid.

  13. #48
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post

    Green Bay$601,794.00
    Chicago$30,030.00

    .67 mil difference,STOP
    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    -1 now....
    Meanwhile the gap continues to grow

    Green Bay$678,027.00
    Chicago$36,572.00

    Manipulation 101................

  14. #49
    gasto
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    Something is fishy. Line moving in opposite direction. Seems there is more to lose for books by making line more favorable to GB pickers.

    Or maybe, it will be a blowout, Bears lose and take down any Chicago Bears teasers. Maybe reverse logic at work. Either way, no logical reason for the line move. Chicago, home of the wise guys.

  15. #50
    konck
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    A few sundays ago Caro and *** Newtown it was 420k to 20k Caro being the 20k they covered

  16. #51
    wantitall4moi
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    You guys put way too much emphasis on make believe 'information'

  17. #52
    billysink
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    Lotta folk here blindly betting on some unverified numbers. I give these consensus numbers and most others absolutely zero credence, which is what they deserve.

  18. #53
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Meanwhile the gap continues to grow

    Green Bay$678,027.00
    Chicago$36,572.00

    Manipulation 101................
    Again, where are these numbers coming from?

  19. #54
    billysink
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    Here from the gospel of sbrodds and SBR consensus.

    Indy @ Houston has moved a full three points now at some books.The game has taken absolutely no money from a bunch of 50 dollar bettors according to SBR consensus figures. There hasn't been enough money played to move an earthworm on a fukkin sidewalk let alone a line. Again according to SBR consensus.

    Load of fukkin bunk.

  20. #55
    SmittyZ28
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    How can it be this one-sided and the line has dropped to 2.5? Been eyeing this game all week, I know the bears need a win but Mathews is coming back, Cutler is banged up not like it will make a difference in his crappy play, but how is there NOT value in taking the Pack -2.5? Feeling very square on this game and wanting to pull the trigger on a GB bet. Really thought this line would move to 3.5-4.5 and I would be on the bears. I see huge value in Pack -2.5...thoughts?

  21. #56
    GiveMeaBJ
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    This game is a crapfest ill probably throw some on chicago at home because im an action junkie.

  22. #57
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by SmittyZ28 View Post
    How can it be this one-sided and the line has dropped to 2.5? Been eyeing this game all week, I know the bears need a win but Mathews is coming back, Cutler is banged up not like it will make a difference in his crappy play, but how is there NOT value in taking the Pack -2.5? Feeling very square on this game and wanting to pull the trigger on a GB bet. Really thought this line would move to 3.5-4.5 and I would be on the bears. I see huge value in Pack -2.5...thoughts?
    Unless you have a birdseye view of how the money moved and for what reason, don't give it a second thought. There are so many reasons money winds up where it does that joe blow will never know or understand and there is much more money unaccounted for in the general consensus drivel than is represented.

    Handicap the game, determine if the number at present represents value, play, pass or wait. Pretty simple. Don't fall into the "let's turn this into rocket science even though we have never seen a fukkin rocket" category.

  23. #58
    rainman416
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    I was liking GB here before I learned that Clay matthews is almost a definite start.. now that he's back, and the line on B365 has dropped to GB-2.5 I have to jump on. Not going to read into the amount of money on each side.. that sounds scary but doesn't mean that GB will play softer or that CHI will play harder.. simply that Vegas will lose short term money if GB wins.. happened before.. easily going to happen again tomorrow..

    GB-2.5 @-110 for me

  24. #59
    rainman416
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    I'm guessing the consensus numbers represent the money on the Spread.. probably heavy on GB because everyone who is on the Bears is taking the ML. Makes sense right?

  25. #60
    brumbies
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    is this what they call reverse line movement?

  26. #61
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post



    Meanwhile the gap continues to grow

    Green Bay$678,027.00
    Chicago$36,572.00

    Manipulation 101................
    Green Bay$990,032
    Chicago$197,382


    Over 3 quarters of a mil. difference..........................

  27. #62
    PAULYPOKER
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    Inching closer an closer to that Million Dollar difference

    Green Bay
    $1,079,060.00

    Chicago$246,716.00


    This is coming from just one book you know,

    Now imagine the money difference industry/worldwide

  28. #63
    naslax13
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    The key to this game is that clay mathews isn't healthy and woodson is out. Forte and Bush will have a field day and marshall will have holes. Should be a good one, I think bears win outright.

  29. #64
    SteelRain
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    go bears

  30. #65
    Ron29301
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    Quote Originally Posted by naslax13 View Post
    The key to this game is that clay mathews isn't healthy and woodson is out. Forte and Bush will have a field day and marshall will have holes. Should be a good one, I think bears win outright.
    So what your saying is that Green Bay has no Def or Offensive powerhouse players to rely on? Or even match up against the players you mentioned.

  31. #66
    PAULYPOKER
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    Green Bay$206,329.00
    Chicago$105,918.00


    WTF! SBR!

    SBR exposed for knowingly conspiring with 5 dimes to feed public false fraudulent numbers....................

  32. #67
    zola
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Green Bay$206,329.00
    Chicago$105,918.00


    WTF! SBR!

    SBR exposed for knowingly conspiring with 5 dimes to feed public false fraudulent numbers....................
    So you're saying its not as 1 sides as your originally thought?

  33. #68
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Inching closer an closer to that Million Dollar difference

    Green Bay
    $1,079,060.00

    Chicago$246,716.00


    This is coming from just one book you know,

    Now imagine the money difference industry/worldwide
    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Green Bay$206,329.00
    Chicago$105,918.00


    WTF! SBR!

    SBR exposed for knowingly conspiring with 5 dimes to feed public false fraudulent numbers....................
    Quote Originally Posted by zola View Post

    So you're saying its not as 1 sides as your originally thought?
    You tell me...............

  34. #69
    jpot34
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    That's only Sunday data.

  35. #70
    zola
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    GreenBay -3

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