1. #1
    JayLA
    On to the next one...
    JayLA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-12
    Posts: 7,806
    Betpoints: 1219

    Aside from talking to a bookie, how do you know what money is "sharp" or "public"?

    I know SBR has a weekly video where a dsi lines manager (or whatever) claims certain public/sharp ratios.......

    ok, we're supposed to believe him when he calls certain money "sharp."

    and sites like sports insights gives you numbers....graphs even....of majority/minority money..

    how does joe shmoe know what money is sharp or public? maybe using line movement......

    take last nights NFL game. the majority of the money was on Carolina, i get it. But you're meaning to tell me the smaller percentage of money was sharp?? are you kidding? what sharp bettor would wager on these Eagles?

    people just throw numbers around, see if they mean anything come tuesday.

    i'm learning to pick winners, phuck public money...

    i guess following line movement would be one way to determine sharp money. or if you know a sharp and they share their bets. i dunno, i like thinking about this shit..

  2. #2
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Vegas insider and some other website
    Points Awarded:

    JayLA gave Big Bear 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  3. #3
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,983
    Betpoints: 1920

    Predicting 60% of your prediction correctly at the value of -110 or better. You can make a living gambling.

    The finding what a sharp line is complex. Could be line movement, value movement, reverse line movement, fading public money, etc..

  4. #4
    Swinging Johnson
    Swinging Johnson's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-12-09
    Posts: 7,604
    Betpoints: 5614

    General rule of thumb:

    Dogs and Unders = Sharp


    Chalk and Overs = Public

  5. #5
    JayLA
    On to the next one...
    JayLA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-12
    Posts: 7,806
    Betpoints: 1219

    Quote Originally Posted by Swinging Johnson View Post
    General rule of thumb:

    Dogs and Unders = Sharp


    Chalk and Overs = Public
    duly noted

  6. #6
    Ra77er
    Ra77er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-20-11
    Posts: 10,969

    Fading players talk is also a good general rule.

  7. #7
    JohnGalt2341
    46 and 2 are just ahead of me
    JohnGalt2341's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-31-09
    Posts: 8,764
    Betpoints: 3691

    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    Predicting 60% of your prediction correctly at the value of -110 or better. You can make a living gambling.
    I'd be willing to bet that there are less than 10 people on the planet that hit 60% against -110 long term. There probably isn't any in fact. But lets assume that there are a handful of psychics/geniuses that do hit 60%. Wouldn't they make more money if they made more bets and won a lower percentage?

  8. #8
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    "

  9. #9
    Johnnythunder
    Johnnythunder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-10
    Posts: 2,161
    Betpoints: 863

    Quote Originally Posted by JohnGalt2341 View Post
    I'd be willing to bet that there are less than 10 people on the planet that hit 60% against -110 long term. There probably isn't any in fact. But lets assume that there are a handful of psychics/geniuses that do hit 60%. Wouldn't they make more money if they made more bets and won a lower percentage?
    John.....you probably realize if anyone hits 60 percent they could own the world. I've always used that argument against these 'psychics'. If they were so psychic many would hit at least 60 percent of their wagers. The normal person can hit 50-54 percent. A psychic could surely hit 6/10 bets and become the richest person in the world - if they had any true psychic insight.

  10. #10
    allabout the $$$
    Update your status
    allabout the $$$'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-17-10
    Posts: 9,833
    Betpoints: 26823

    follow my man traces nfl picks

    end thread

  11. #11
    thetrinity
    penetrate me to tears
    thetrinity's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-25-11
    Posts: 22,430
    Betpoints: 5536

    who the public has matters little what the sharp money has and at what number is way m ore important

Top