[BigPete88]

Guys,

First and foremost, I hate Casinos. Maybe because I was barred for beating them at blackjack many years back. You know, at a game that they offer, pigs that they are.

Bottom line is that I am 100% for the players. I see a lot of posts here and it appears that a bunch of guys, and a few girls, are betting at a higher rate than their bankroll warrants. Knowing numbers as well as I do, I know that risk of ruin is a very real thing and scary if you over bet according to the size of your bankroll.

I suggest betting 2% of bankroll, if and only if, you have a + expected value capper or are truly capable of capping yourself. Kelly Criterion and common sense dictates that if you do not have an advantage, the proper bet size is zero. Maybe go to 3% if the line is way off on a game. I have seen this in NBA which I cap. Top bet should never be more than twice the size of your small bet. I know a guy on another site that picks MLB dogs and varies his units to 3, 4, 5 units which is sound and works for him.

As far as these touts and game of the week, game of the year, lock, etc. Ignore the comments as advertising and if you choose to, bet a little more than normal if you want. There are no locks. Even fixed games lose sometimes. ASU NCAAB about 12 years ago. I knew a guy in that mess. Fixed game lost.

Touts: most suck but not all. Some have 10-30 year track records and are winners. Find them and ignore the rest. 75% win rate does not exist long term. 55-60% lifetime is fantastic!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! That will make you money too.

Please manage your money and do not bet more than your bankroll can withstand. Please keep this thread positive with helpful comments to the bettors/investors that we are.

Apologies to all that know and follow this already.

BOL

[LevItalian]

Good advice mate, cheers!

[mickjam42]

But what if it's a 1000 dime, lock of the century, cannot miss or I will give you one free month of crappy picks game? Shouldn't I put my entire bankroll on it, then come to this forum to bitch and moan if it loses?

[BigPete88]

But what if it's a 1000 dime, lock of the century, cannot miss or I will give you one free month of crappy picks game? Shouldn't I put my entire bankroll on it, then come to this forum to bitch and moan if it loses?

Thanks man!!! First good laugh of the day!!

[burchfield]

I only go to service plays. The forums in here pollute your mind with cant miss, lock of century, just put $150,000 on gift from Vegas type threads with very little if any usefull info. Pollutes your mind when deciding games. And always the same people a few I seen admit they actually didnt have any money on the game at all. Just some betpoints lol.

[buythehook]

Nice post bigpete!

[drg0n]

are u part of a vanguard and a cat lover?