1. #1
    vik
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    Join Date: 11-14-12
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    Beating the "closing line" clarification

    Is it true that if you beat the closing line, you will make a profit in the long run?

    So say in the NFL, the Raiders opened up as a -7 favorite and the lined closes at -8.5 at kickoff. If you got -7 when the lined closed at -8.5, is that considered beating the closing line?

    What if the Raiders opened up as -7 and closed at -5.5 at kickoff, and you wagered Raiders -5.5, would that be considered beating the closing line as well?

    As long as you got the best # from the time the line opened until the game kick offs, you're good to go in the long run right?

  2. #2
    tto827
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    Your first example is beating the closing line, your second one is not, that would be placing a bet at the closing line. While getting the best number that is ever available is the best you can do, only the first example would lead to a likely profit.

  3. #3
    allin1
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    taking raiders -5.5 @ +106 when it closes at -110 is also beating the closing line

    for every 2 cents you get approximately a 1% edge

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwK_2tZIwuw

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gH-aC...feature=relmfu

  4. #4
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by allin1 View Post
    taking raiders -5.5 @ +106 when it closes at -110 is also beating the closing line

    for every 2 cents you get approximately a 1% edge

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwK_2tZIwuw

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gH-aC...feature=relmfu
    OP watch these vids, very helpful, I wanted to link you too them but could not find them

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