1. 11-05-12 04:04 PM #1
    TheMoneyShot
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    MNF: Serious Discussion... Almost Every Casino In Vegas Giving You N.O. -3 +100???

    When it comes to line movement... why are they doing this??? Does this mean N.O. really covers? Gaining juice on Philly +3 or is this a sucker wager?

    Almost every casino in vegas giving you N.O. -3 +100 - +115

    Your thoughts?
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  2. 11-05-12 04:08 PM #2
    Darkside Magick
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    NOLA covers...setting up suckers
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  3. 11-05-12 04:16 PM #3
    Paul Kemp
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    I'm thinking the same Darkside - already have NO at -3 -105 from early in the day - seeing +110 now

    Thinking of pounding it - worried about being one the suckers.....
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  4. 11-05-12 04:22 PM #4
    riffraff24
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    Or maybe they're just trying to make you think that way? Or maybe they're trying to make you think that we think they're thinking of making us think that way.
    Points Awarded:

    darkghost gave riffraff24 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  5. 11-05-12 04:27 PM #5
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by riffraff24 View Post
    Or maybe they're just trying to make you think that way? Or maybe they're trying to make you think that we think they're thinking of making us think that way.
    Exactly, that's why I have never understood betting based on a books action. It's definitely an angle to consider, but it shouldn't override the rest of your capping of a game.
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  6. 11-05-12 04:28 PM #6
    CollegePro
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    Vegas wants saints money which means eagles will cover and win straight up.
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  7. 11-05-12 04:29 PM #7
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by CollegePro View Post
    Vegas wants saints money which means eagles will cover and win straight up.
    How have the teams that Vegas wanted done the past 3 weeks?
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  8. 11-05-12 04:33 PM #8
    rfr3sh
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    Quote Originally Posted by tto827 View Post
    How have the teams that Vegas wanted done the past 3 weeks?
    How have they done over a real sample size
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  9. 11-05-12 04:54 PM #9
    The Inevitable
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    It looks like a trap. If I'm not looking at the line, I immediately think Eagles will win. I believe they should be the favorite. Eagles is the better team. But as soon as I saw the line, I'm thinking "wow, what a trap." No way should NO be the favorite, the way they've been playing. Unless there are significant injuries on Eagles team, they most definitely should be the favorite. But they're not, which is telling me I should take NO. But of course when playing the line, you can end up looking like a complete tool.
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  10. 11-05-12 04:58 PM #10
    theAkathist
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Inevitable View Post
    It looks like a trap. If I'm not looking at the line, I immediately think Eagles will win. I believe they should be the favorite. Eagles is the better team. But as soon as I saw the line, I'm thinking "wow, what a trap." No way should NO be the favorite, the way they've been playing. Unless there are significant injuries on Eagles team, they most definitely should be the favorite. But they're not, which is telling me I should take NO. But of course when playing the line, you can end up looking like a complete tool.
    eagles are in turmoil, its not like they are 5-2 or something. saints are always good at home. the line is right on

    everyone pick who they think will win the game. best bet is saints u28 if you can find it
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  11. 11-05-12 05:03 PM #11
    rumnblack
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paul Kemp View Post
    I'm thinking the same Darkside - already have NO at -3 -105 from early in the day - seeing +110 now

    Thinking of pounding it - worried about being one the suckers.....
    Don't worry, go with your gut.
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  12. 11-05-12 05:08 PM #12
    The Inevitable
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    Quote Originally Posted by theAkathist View Post
    eagles are in turmoil, its not like they are 5-2 or something. saints are always good at home. the line is right on

    everyone pick who they think will win the game. best bet is saints u28 if you can find it
    Pretty much... I could see this game going either way. So I agree, just pick who think is going to win. Me personally I believe Eagles should win this game, but I'm going with the line and taking NO. LoL sounds stupid right?
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  13. 11-05-12 05:09 PM #13
    Paul Kemp
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    I think I'll hold with my current position and see how the game plays out - perhaps some good live bets come up.
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  14. 11-05-12 05:21 PM #14
    Matt1144
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    Eagles have burned me more times than I care to remember. But this NO defense is god awful. So many angles here. 2 lame ass teams. Over looks good too but I feel that will be a public burial. Then again after this weekend I don't know...

    I'm leaning Eagles though. Stout D and a lot of talent on offense. Not that NO doesn't have talent but they'll be letting McCoy run all over them. Eagles RRL @ -2.5 seems nice.
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  15. 11-05-12 05:24 PM #15
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    How have they done over a real sample size
    All that matters is how this game is going to go. Also, I am sorry but fading the public IS NOT profitable as a stand-alone angle.
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  16. 11-05-12 05:24 PM #16
    Paul Kemp
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    Quote Originally Posted by Matt1144 View Post
    Eagles have burned me more times than I care to remember. But this NO defense is god awful. So many angles here. 2 lame ass teams. Over looks good too but I feel that will be a public burial. Then again after this weekend I don't know...

    I'm leaning Eagles though. Stout D and a lot of talent on offense. Not that NO doesn't have talent but they'll be letting McCoy run all over them. Eagles RRL @ -2.5 seems nice.

    Doubled down on NO when she dropped to 2.5. BOL everyone.
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  17. 11-05-12 05:34 PM #17
    Matt1144
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    Was the line at 3 earlier this week?
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  18. 11-05-12 05:36 PM #18
    byronbb
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    Quote Originally Posted by CollegePro View Post
    Vegas wants saints money which means eagles will cover and win straight up. are the right side

    When SIA is dealing a better ML than Pinnacle on the the public fav it should be pretty obvious, but 90% of the posts in here prove otherwise.
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  19. 11-05-12 05:40 PM #19
    WinningIsKeY
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    Philly in shambles.. Team meeting usually means TROUBLE.
    Bol
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  20. 11-05-12 06:12 PM #20
    TheMoneyShot
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    This is the weirdest line movement ever! Some books in Vegas now giving you N.O. -2.5 +100 That's crazy!!
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  21. 11-05-12 06:14 PM #21
    Darkside Magick
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    again NOLA is the play!!!!.........line movement is nothing...just to mess with yr head
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  22. 11-05-12 06:17 PM #22
    theAkathist
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    eagles are the play. defense is 12th overall, saints d is 31st and perhaps the worst NFL defense the past 5 years

    eagles protect the ball and they win
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  23. 11-05-12 06:26 PM #23
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by theAkathist View Post
    eagles are the play. defense is 12th overall, saints d is 31st and perhaps the worst NFL defense the past 5 years

    eagles protect the ball and they win
    They ain't gonna protect the ball, so.........
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  24. 11-05-12 06:51 PM #24
    Paul Kemp
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    Quote Originally Posted by Darkside Magick View Post
    again NOLA is the play!!!!.........line movement is nothing...just to mess with yr head
    Darkside = You are the first person I've ever come across that uses NOLA for NO in a forum. I kind of like it - might have to steal that from you.
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  25. 11-05-12 08:04 PM #25
    Darkside Magick
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paul Kemp View Post
    Darkside = You are the first person I've ever come across that uses NOLA for NO in a forum. I kind of like it - might have to steal that from you.
    used to live in NOLA..love it there...thinking about moving back!!!!!!!!!
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  26. 11-05-12 09:54 PM #26
    rfr3sh
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    Quote Originally Posted by tto827 View Post
    All that matters is how this game is going to go. Also, I am sorry but fading the public IS NOT profitable as a stand-alone angle.
    fading the public is not what im talking sbout
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  27. 11-05-12 10:44 PM #27
    Darkside Magick
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    Quote Originally Posted by Darkside Magick View Post
    NOLA covers...setting up suckers
    Yep
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  28. 11-05-12 10:53 PM #28
    face
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    vegas knew that the eagles o line had a bunch of subs and that vick would get hammered all night. some of those guys only played like 3 games total in nfl
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  29. 11-06-12 04:42 AM #29
    WinningIsKeY
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    Quote Originally Posted by WinningIsKeY View Post
    Philly in shambles.. Team meeting usually means TROUBLE.
    Bol
    Yup
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  30. 11-06-12 07:34 AM #30
    rfr3sh
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    Quote Originally Posted by byronbb View Post
    When SIA is dealing a better ML than Pinnacle on the the public fav it should be pretty obvious, but 90% of the posts in here prove otherwise.
    Finally someone with a clue posted here.
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  31. 11-06-12 08:52 AM #31
    The Inevitable
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    It was a trap. Glad to be on the right side.
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