1. #1
    theAkathist
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    do i tease Sf to pk or arizona to +14.5 (HELP!!!)

    im going to tease the under to u45.5...............but i really dont know what to do with the game line. san fran has had 10 days off but arizona is at home. +14.5 for a decent nfl home team is a lot. what would you do?

  2. #2
    adila1401
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    I was contemplating the same teaser last night with Under and San Fran pk but I figured line might go a bit higher today...I think if u wait till this afternoon, line might go a little higher, if not Arizona + the points is the play, they are at HOME on a nationally televised game..the defense should be popping and u can't deny taking a home dog + 2 touchdowns in these situations..there should be a lot of field goals in this game which should help the cause..glgl

  3. #3
    as99
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    Take the points or do a 4 team (-140):
    Cardinals +20
    Under 51.5
    Chiefs +22.5
    Over 29.5

  4. #4
    OhMyEli
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    Take the 9ers. Don't overthink this, it burned me on the Saints last night. The 9ers are better i want to say at every single position, and can easily get blown out once they are down in the second half. Don't let the Cards record fool you, close games to lackluster teams, 9ers will roll.

  5. #5
    theAkathist
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    thanks for the input guys. +14.5 looks so good for a home team that can play some good defense but then again the niners outscored bills/jets by combined 79-3

    i compare those 2 teams overall to arizona. dang this is tough. i guess if im going with sf i have to act soon. and if i wait a few hours i could probably get arizona +15.5

    im leaning 60/40 towards taking SF

  6. #6
    Regul8er
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    Don't overthink....and just take the Cards at +14.5.

    The defense is too good to get blown out by over 2 TD's at home vs a sputtering Niners offense.

  7. #7
    WinningIsKeY
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    I'm taking over 2tds with home team as well.

  8. #8
    theAkathist
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    Don't overthink....and just take the Cards at +14.5.

    The defense is too good to get blown out by over 2 TD's at home vs a sputtering Niners offense.
    they do look a bit sputtering. and its so good if you can grab some early pts and go up 3-0 or even 7-0 when you are getting +14.5, but im scared zona only scores like 7-10 pts could happen

    im also thinking we all get raped on the u45.5 and the game is like 27-21 ugh

  9. #9
    SpreadSniper
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    Quote Originally Posted by theAkathist View Post

    im also thinking we all get raped on the u45.5 and the game is like 27-21 ugh
    getting fukked by half a point last night was no fun

  10. #10
    Russeld0004
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    Quote Originally Posted by theAkathist View Post
    thanks for the input guys. +14.5 looks so good for a home team that can play some good defense but then again the niners outscored bills/jets by combined 79-3

    i compare those 2 teams overall to arizona. dang this is tough. i guess if im going with sf i have to act soon. and if i wait a few hours i could probably get arizona +15.5

    im leaning 60/40 towards taking SF
    Yes the 9ers did bl

  11. #11
    Russeld0004
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    Quote Originally Posted by theAkathist View Post
    thanks for the input guys. +14.5 looks so good for a home team that can play some good defense but then again the niners outscored bills/jets by combined 79-3

    i compare those 2 teams overall to arizona. dang this is tough. i guess if im going with sf i have to act soon. and if i wait a few hours i could probably get arizona +15.5

    im leaning 60/40 towards taking SF
    Yes the 9ers did blow out both those teams but bills and jets defense is not very good cardinals have a good defense so I'm going with +14.5

  12. #12
    flyboy
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    Just take the 9er's and give the points. A teaser doesn't pay shit!

  13. #13
    slambam
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    Have you fukkin seen Skelton play? 9ers.

  14. #14
    brigade125
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    zona will keep it close... zona+8

  15. #15
    SmittyZ28
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    244. Arizona (Cardinals) +15 -135 ( +7 Pts )
    243. San Francisco (49ers) / 244. Arizona (Cardinals) Under 45½ -110 ( +7 Pts )

  16. #16
    theAkathist
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    +14.5 pts looks so good at home in a division game.

    arizona hasnt lost by more than 14 all year. i have to take them.

    Arizona +14.5 u45.5

  17. #17
    TankHankerous
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    SF ML and Under parlay

  18. #18
    OhMyEli
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    This Zona team could only score 3 pts versus St. Louis, don't overthink this, doesnt matter where it is. The 9ers defense will only be faster on turf, tell me how Arizona is going to run the ball with their pitiful OLine and banged up RBs. We know damn well they can't pass, knock this one down to 6.5 and enjoy the money on the 9ers tonight.

    DO NOT OVERTHINK THIS. The 9ers are faaar better.

  19. #19
    vaas187
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    Take Zona +13, SF -1 and Under 44

  20. #20
    Regul8er
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    Quote Originally Posted by OhMyEli View Post
    This Zona team could only score 3 pts versus St. Louis, don't overthink this, doesnt matter where it is. The 9ers defense will only be faster on turf, tell me how Arizona is going to run the ball with their pitiful OLine and banged up RBs. We know damn well they can't pass, knock this one down to 6.5 and enjoy the money on the 9ers tonight.

    DO NOT OVERTHINK THIS. The 9ers are faaar better.
    The Cards don't play on turf, so its irrelevant that the Niners defense would be faster on turf. The Cards did run pretty successful their last time out against Minnesota, picking up 4.8 yards per carry, with Stephens-Howling carrying the load.

    I don't know, I think your trying to overthink this. Give me 14.5 at home all day every day in a divisional game. I think the Cards have won 8 of their last 9 home games. THey don't even have to win, heck they can even lose by 2 TD's.

  21. #21
    Paul Kemp
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    Quote Originally Posted by theAkathist View Post
    im going to tease the under to u45.5...............but i really dont know what to do with the game line. san fran has had 10 days off but arizona is at home. +14.5 for a decent nfl home team is a lot. what would you do?
    Akathist - I saw this post this morning and put some thought into it. I don't want to wait for any line last minute shifts - It feels like this one is stucl. Points: With all the "confusion" on if SF can cover - I looked into the under 45.5 for a 2 team parlay. One thought came into my head. Last night's N-14 @ DEN-34 game hit the under. That was going to be an all out air attach from both sides - points were put on the board, but the total of 48 hit the under. If those two pass happy teams can keep it under 48 - Tonight's move should be able to keep it under 45. - Also we may be dealing statistically better D's tonight than the Monday night game. That could mean less points and a quick clock - OR a bad score I'm banking Please note: I hate teasers as well - tonight it made perfect sense.

    Doesn't mean it'll cash - but I feel good about it.

    As always - I never forget the proof is in the pudding - seen below...

    2 Team Teaser NFL -10/29/2012 [243] SAN FRANCISCO PK-110 (B+7) NFL -10/29/2012 [244] TOTAL u45-110 (B+7)
    1.4 units for 1 unit Almost forgot - Good Luck!
    Last edited by Paul Kemp; 10-29-12 at 03:59 PM. Reason: GLTA

  22. #22
    transparentbets
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    Take the cards.

  23. #23
    neverstoppers23
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    i know its squareish but i would tease san fran down. i think they dominate tonight with their defense. crazier shit has happend but you got to think they are gonna get a shit load of turnovers and sacks. might even be a defensive touchdown.

  24. #24
    Paul Kemp
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    Quote Originally Posted by neverstoppers23 View Post
    i know its squareish but i would tease san fran down. i think they dominate tonight with their defense. crazier shit has happend but you got to think they are gonna get a shit load of turnovers and sacks. might even be a defensive touchdown.

    That's exactly what I'm saying - hate teasing, just hate it. Tonight though... it actually makes sense for once.

  25. #25
    theAkathist
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paul Kemp View Post
    Akathist - I saw this post this morning and put some thought into it. I don't want to wait for any line last minute shifts - It feels like this one is stucl. Points: With all the "confusion" on if SF can cover - I looked into the under 45.5 for a 2 team parlay. One thought came into my head. Last night's N-14 @ DEN-34 game hit the under. That was going to be an all out air attach from both sides - points were put on the board, but the total of 48 hit the under. If those two pass happy teams can keep it under 48 - Tonight's move should be able to keep it under 45. - Also we may be dealing statistically better D's tonight than the Monday night game. That could mean less points and a quick clock - OR a bad score I'm banking Please note: I hate teasers as well - tonight it made perfect sense.

    Doesn't mean it'll cash - but I feel good about it.

    As always - I never forget the proof is in the pudding - seen below...

    2 Team Teaser NFL -10/29/2012 [243] SAN FRANCISCO PK-110 (B+7) NFL -10/29/2012 [244] TOTAL u45-110 (B+7)
    1.4 units for 1 unit Almost forgot - Good Luck!
    i see you got it at 45. this line is dropping and 45 is a key number (6 td's 1 fg).........i bet this will be 37 maybe even 36.5 by kickoff

    locking it in now, same exact play

    San Fran pk
    Under 45

    $168 to win $120


  26. #26
    Paul Kemp
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    Quote Originally Posted by theAkathist View Post
    i see you got it at 45. this line is dropping and 45 is a key number (6 td's 1 fg).........i bet this will be 37 maybe even 36.5 by kickoff

    locking it in now, same exact play

    San Fran pk
    Under 45

    $168 to win $120


    If anything is worth doing - It's worth doing right!

    Cheers - I'm sure I'll see you in the In-Game thread. Time to go find my four leaf clover. Just to be safe.

  27. #27
    Believeland
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    14-7 SF wins

  28. #28
    Brooklyn Dick
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    NFL
    NFL
    Oct 29 08:40 PM
    Nov 01 08:25 PM
    2TEAS FB 6, 6½, 7 NBA 5, 5½, 6 CBB 4, 4½, 5 PTS
    [243] SF 49ERS -1-110 (B+6)
    [302] SD CHARGERS -1½-115 (B+6)
    4,400/4000

  29. #29
    ChalkyDog
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    Just made two small plays on Zona ML and Zona +7.5.

    Good luck with whatever you choose.

  30. #30
    Brian891
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    meaningless stat for you: skelton 6-0 as a starter at home.

  31. #31
    Paul Kemp
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brian891 View Post
    meaningless stat for you: skelton 6-0 as a starter at home.

    Not sure who you are addressing - but I've got one phrase for you - Streaks are made to be broken.

    Of course that doesn't happen all the time but it sure sounds good!

  32. #32
    rainman416
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    I got ARI +14.5 + UN45.0 @ -125 x$625 to win $500

    GL all

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