1. 10-29-12 12:08 AM #1
    as99
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    What are your thoughts on SF @ ARZ Monday Night Football?

    SF -7 (-300 ML)
    ARZ +7 (+264 ML)

    Over/Under 38.5
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  2. 10-29-12 07:55 AM #2
    flocko76
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    i dont have any
    prob wont have power. hurricane sandy hitting town.
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  3. 10-29-12 08:16 AM #3
    heywally
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    Quote Originally Posted by flocko76 View Post
    i dont have any
    prob wont have power. hurricane sandy hitting town.
    Batten down the hatches - good luck.
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  4. 10-29-12 08:17 AM #4
    Pat McCrotch
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    Over
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  5. 10-29-12 08:23 AM #5
    pokeraddict2012
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    Too hard to tell what to do, everyone is saying under but I can see this just going over 38, then again these 2 teams have solid defended, and -7 is alot to ask for sf49ers then again cardinals suck on offense, I think the only play is -7 sf49ers, U be flipping betting on the over/under
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  6. 10-29-12 08:27 AM #6
    Pat McCrotch
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    Ive went big on over 34.5, bought it down, odds @ -171


    Quote Originally Posted by pokeraddict2012 View Post
    Too hard to tell what to do, everyone is saying under but I can see this just going over 38, then again these 2 teams have solid defended, and -7 is alot to ask for sf49ers then again cardinals suck on offense, I think the only play is -7 sf49ers, U be flipping betting on the over/under
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  7. 10-29-12 08:37 AM #7
    as99
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    Already locked in at under 38.5.

    Arizona can't score - SF complete shutdown team.
    Arizona good defense - should slow SF down.

    Enough to go on the under.
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  8. 10-29-12 08:42 AM #8
    zilchy
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    Leaning SF -7 but not sure if I want to make a play at all. I'll probably end up buying it down to -6 or -5.5 if I do because I can easily see some late conservative play ruining things. Backdoor cover with a 23-17 result or something like that.
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  9. 10-29-12 08:47 AM #9
    uvajrl
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    I understand you cant expect teams to play exactly how they did week to week, but the factor I'm weighing is if Arizona lost by 7 to Minnesota, how are they going to lose by any less than 7 against SF? It really depends on how Alex Smith shows up. I really like AZ team pts under 14.5 considering the SF defense has been consistently solid. Will probably take SF -7 separately but not for too much. In terms of the under, I feel pretty strong. I see Arizona putting up 10-14 points max and I think it would be rare for the 49ers to score more than 21 points.

    SF 20 AZ 9
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  10. 10-29-12 08:47 AM #10
    Paul Kemp
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    I honestly think that SF will win SU in a slightly close game. I can see AZ covering, but I put a very, very small lean on SF ML early. ( -290 now, was -310 early ) Do not feel comfortable with SF covering since AZ has a very good chance of stealing that from them.

    However, I still think SF pulls this one off. I'll either leave my small lean and take a break (unlikely) or see if that SF ML keeps coming down. So far, the highest my Book listed was -320 yesterday afternoon.

    Sharps hammering AZ? Thoughts?
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  11. 10-29-12 08:57 AM #11
    Paul Kemp
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paul Kemp View Post
    I honestly think that SF will win SU in a slightly close game. I can see AZ covering, but I put a very, very small lean on SF ML early. ( -290 now, was -310 early ) Do not feel comfortable with SF covering since AZ has a very good chance of stealing that from them.

    However, I still think SF pulls this one off. I'll either leave my small lean and take a break (unlikely) or see if that SF ML keeps coming down. So far, the highest my Book listed was -320 yesterday afternoon.

    Sharps hammering AZ? Thoughts?
    And now it's on the way back up...
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  12. 10-29-12 09:01 AM #12
    pokeraddict2012
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    They using John Skelton. Lol better then Kolb looooool
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  13. 10-29-12 12:50 PM #13
    onacloud
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    49ers -7 get on it
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  14. 10-29-12 12:56 PM #14
    brigade125
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    zona +8...
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  15. 10-29-12 01:01 PM #15
    Eagles27
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    Im taking AZ on the moneyline. I think this game will be more competitive than people think (divisional game) AZ at home. Stats/trends all go out the window for this one in my opinion. With that being said, im just making a small wager, but with AZ being such a huge underdog, why not?
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  16. 10-29-12 01:05 PM #16
    brigade125
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eagles27 View Post
    Im taking AZ on the moneyline. I think this game will be more competitive than people think (divisional game) AZ at home. Stats/trends all go out the window for this one in my opinion. With that being said, im just making a small wager, but with AZ being such a huge underdog, why not?
    yup... dont know why zona such a huge underdog at home.? we all know what happen last prime time game on thursday divisonal game against the niners and seahawks... it was suppost to be a blowout in candlestick...
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  17. 10-29-12 01:07 PM #17
    k13
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    Niners win.
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  18. 10-29-12 01:09 PM #18
    brigade125
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Niners win.
    dont give a shit if they win... as long as they dont cover... go ahead and put your tease bet since that moneyline is to steep for you ....
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  19. 10-29-12 01:11 PM #19
    randy4u
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    teaser niners -1 and under 43.5 sounds like the bet to me
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  20. 10-29-12 01:11 PM #20
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by brigade125 View Post
    dont give a shit if they win... as long as they dont cover... go ahead and put your tease bet since that moneyline is to steep for you ....
    If they win, ~80% chance they cover.
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  21. 10-29-12 01:13 PM #21
    pokeraddict2012
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    49ers will blow them out, alex smith will be on game, while skelton will fumble 200 times
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  22. 10-29-12 01:14 PM #22
    w@lt
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    Arizona Cardinals Under 17 -160
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  23. 10-29-12 01:15 PM #23
    Eagles27
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    Not to mention the importance of this game. AZ has lost three in a row, yet a win tonight moves them back into 1st place (getting the tie breaker over the niners). The Defense will keep this game close, and if they put the niners in a position where they have to abandon the running game (similar game plan Min and Giants used), watch out. Skelton also has experience over the niners (getting a win over them late last season).
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  24. 10-29-12 01:18 PM #24
    brigade125
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    If they win, ~80% chance they cover.

    im sure you said the same thing on the seattle game.. and the giants game....
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  25. 10-29-12 01:19 PM #25
    altieriflyers
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    Quote Originally Posted by flocko76 View Post
    i dont have any
    prob wont have power. hurricane sandy hitting town.
    Stay safe, god bless.
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  26. 10-29-12 01:24 PM #26
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by brigade125 View Post

    im sure you said the same thing on the seattle game.. and the giants game....
    So you disagree that if a team wins they will cover around 80% of the time?

    I said niners will beat seattle 100%, not cover. See thread.
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  27. 10-29-12 01:25 PM #27
    dkthrilla33
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    last 4 games against each other total turnovers= SF=2 AZ=12
    JUST SAYIN
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  28. 10-29-12 01:26 PM #28
    dkthrilla33
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    SF moneyline to the unders! LOCK PLAY!!!
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  29. 10-29-12 01:36 PM #29
    pokeraddict2012
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    never good to lay juice on any NFL games where its -300 or more thats penetrating crazy,
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  30. 10-29-12 01:58 PM #30
    uvajrl
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    I originally thought the 49ers would cover, but with the extreme sway by sharps on the cardinals, I think there is a lot of value in the +400 bet of 49ers win by 1-6 points. Get it +400 at Bovada or +325 at 5Dimes
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  31. 10-29-12 02:05 PM #31
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    So you disagree that if a team wins they will cover around 80% of the time?

    I said niners will beat seattle 100%, not cover. See thread.
    While we know that true overall I think it significantly less when u get Into lines over 3. Don't know numbers tho.
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  32. 10-29-12 05:12 PM #32
    KidSeoul
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    Take Arizona and the points. SF defense has been exposed. And we're talking home dog on a MNF. Nuff said!
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  33. 10-29-12 05:15 PM #33
    King Swizz
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    Cards
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  34. 10-29-12 05:18 PM #34
    ttwarrior1
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    arizona simply isnt that good,

    if harbaugh doesnt play conservative i can see them winning in a romp

    I predict 1 or 2 d or return td to make this game go over.

    i say over because of alot of fg, i see 2 or 3 fg for both teams , fitz with 1 td, gore or v davis with 1

    final score sf 27 to 17 sf
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  35. 10-29-12 05:20 PM #35
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    While we know that true overall I think it significantly less when u get Into lines over 3. Don't know numbers tho.
    21.1% the last 2 years for ALL games.

    360 game sample.
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