1. 10-24-12 12:44 AM #1
    Sunde91
    Sunde91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 8,325
    Betpoints: 255

    Not Bama To Win Nat Title -145

    Unbulleveable unprecedented value for a team that has to win 7 more games to do it and can't afford a single loss

    Played today Bama would be about
    -2.5 @ LSU
    -7 vs Florida in SECCG
    -3 vs Oregoin in NC
    http://pregame.com/pregame-forums/f/12/t/390740.aspx

    Parlay MLs about -140, -280, -155 is +282

    It's college and losses could home at any time, even at home to MSU, TAM, AU. Bama has 1 win over a winning BCS team vs the shithouse B10 and shoelace. The letdown is coming sooner or later.

    If Saban wins again he is forever Christ King God and will ascend into heaven on the spot
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 10-24-12 12:53 AM #2
    CanuckG
    CanuckG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-10
    Posts: 21,951
    Betpoints: 584

    Bama is -6.5 @ LSU
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 10-24-12 01:13 AM #3
    Sunde91
    Sunde91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 8,325
    Betpoints: 255

    -5.5 with the bettor bias I overlooked and -6.5 at sportsbook.com.

    A loss to LSU should drop them 4-5 spots and leave them with a small chance to get back in. Perception so high people may hit to win and drive it down yet. Not to win 7 games with 3 vs top 10 -130
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 10-24-12 01:17 AM #4
    PAYTON20
    PAYTON20's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-02-10
    Posts: 5,217
    Betpoints: 770

    Take Oregon to win it
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 10-24-12 01:19 AM #5
    Monte
    Monte's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-10
    Posts: 2,056
    Betpoints: 1

    Bama will just destroy LSU, again.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 10-24-12 01:24 AM #6
    Titanup28
    Titanup28's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-12
    Posts: 438
    Betpoints: 800

    Dumb bet Bama will not lose a game this year or next
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 10-24-12 01:43 AM #7
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,291
    Betpoints: 207814

    You can't assume they will play Florida and Oregon, and also if they lose to LSU I think they can still get in. I would not like it but they would probably get in over an undefeated Rutgers team
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 10-24-12 01:46 AM #8
    PAYTON20
    PAYTON20's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-02-10
    Posts: 5,217
    Betpoints: 770

    Quote Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
    You can't assume they will play Florida and Oregon, and also if they lose to LSU I think they can still get in. I would not like it but they would probably get in over an undefeated Rutgers team
    They would easily get in over an undefeated Rutgers. No question
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 10-24-12 02:15 AM #9
    D Med
    War Eagle!
    D Med's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-22-12
    Posts: 1,126
    Betpoints: 2365

    For as you know, it is an unwritten rule that Alabama has to play Florida in the SECCG LOL. I can only hope for such a low line for the Alabama Florida SECCG, I would pound Alabama .
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 10-24-12 02:22 AM #10
    CrimsonTideFan
    CrimsonTideFan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-12
    Posts: 445
    Betpoints: 744

    Quote Originally Posted by D Med View Post
    For as you know, it is an unwritten rule that Alabama has to play Florida in the SECCG LOL. I can only hope for such a low line for the Alabama Florida SECCG, I would pound Alabama .
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 10-24-12 02:25 AM #11
    Sunde91
    Sunde91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 8,325
    Betpoints: 255

    Yer I said Florida was a forgone conclusion or was just trying to use the most likely team for the example. Take any teams they will play (Florida/Georgia, Ore/KSU/USC/OK) with LSU and parlay MLs with projected spreads (including bias) and you won't get less than even money. For sure. Not even considering long shot upsets.

    bama unpossible to loose hit them +105 at 5Dimes under props thanks
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 10-24-12 02:31 AM #12
    ZetaPsi808
    July 2011 Poster of the Month
    ZetaPsi808's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 12,119
    Betpoints: 1982

    16502 Field wins BCS Championship <input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4" maxlength="5"> -145

    alabama can still win the national championship with one loss

    so you could get middled here
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 10-24-12 02:37 AM #13
    CrimsonTideFan
    CrimsonTideFan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-12
    Posts: 445
    Betpoints: 744

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 10-24-12 02:51 AM #14
    Popcorn Trick
    Popcorn Trick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-12
    Posts: 810
    Betpoints: 540

    Apparently it is impossible to leave out Alabama out of the championship game so why not just wait til then and take dog at + $?

    Even if they lose to LSU. I see Oregon losing to SC one out of the two times or to O State. One loss Bama gets in before any other one loss team.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 10-24-12 03:47 AM #15
    CBASS
    BUCK FAMA
    CBASS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-10
    Posts: 2,613
    Betpoints: 815

    Quote Originally Posted by Popcorn Trick View Post
    Apparently it is impossible to leave out Alabama out of the championship game so why not just wait til then and take dog at + $?

    Even if they lose to LSU. I see Oregon losing to SC one out of the two times or to O State. One loss Bama gets in before any other one loss team.
    If they lose to LSU, then more than likely LSU would play in SEC Championship Game. If LSU were to win, then there's no way Bama would get in the BCS Championship Game (like they did last year) again. That's just my opinion.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 10-24-12 04:10 AM #16
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,291
    Betpoints: 207814

    LSU is not good if they somehow get lucky against Bama then they will probably lose to Arkansas or the title game still
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 10-24-12 08:12 AM #17
    ChalkyDog
    Buy the ticket, take the ride.
    ChalkyDog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-02-11
    Posts: 9,598
    Betpoints: 13

    Not bad odds, I was convinced at the onset Bama wont win it all this year - and I am still convinced.

    Where are these odds being hung?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 10-24-12 08:35 AM #18
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1830

    All those lines seem low.

    -2.5 vs lsu, no chance
    -3 vs oregon, unlikely

    Problem is they could lose a game and still make the NCG and smash whoever from the Big12/Pac10.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 10-24-12 09:53 AM #19
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    might as well burn that money bro.

    alabama is on a level by them self.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 10-24-12 10:13 AM #20
    ramones951
    ramones951's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-08
    Posts: 2,356
    Betpoints: 891

    Have you watched any Bama games this year?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 10-24-12 04:37 PM #21
    Popcorn Trick
    Popcorn Trick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-12
    Posts: 810
    Betpoints: 540

    Quote Originally Posted by CBASS View Post
    If they lose to LSU, then more than likely LSU would play in SEC Championship Game. If LSU were to win, then there's no way Bama would get in the BCS Championship Game (like they did last year) again. That's just my opinion.
    You would think...but public thinks Bama is best team in the country and voters tend to want to validate their earlier prognosis. One loss Bama v one loss USC. They will say SC lost to Stanford. Like I said, Oregon will have to go undefeated. If they lose in Pac 12 championship game, forget about it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 10-24-12 05:29 PM #22
    fishmonger
    Very sharp square
    fishmonger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-08
    Posts: 1,491
    Betpoints: 246

    I think Florida at 7.5 to 1 has some value. Bama has not really played anyone except for Michigan that is about to fall out of the top 25. Oregan will lose. Kansas state had a hard schedule in front of them. Florida could beat bama in the title game?! Floridas offense is not a statistical as others because their defense puts them in good positions and the red zone offense has been on fire.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 10-24-12 05:34 PM #23
    RidetheTide
    RidetheTide's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-11
    Posts: 89
    Betpoints: 282

    I got Bama at +300 at the beginning of the season for 1500 and that's been my biggest bet of the year, keeping my fingers crossed.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 10-24-12 05:47 PM #24
    theAkathist
    theAkathist's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-12
    Posts: 313
    Betpoints: 0

    if alabama loses a game they are not playing for the national championship. they have not had a tough road this year and can not afford a loss. they have to go undefeated to win it all, will be tough for them

    line at LSU was -8.5 last week. i think that will be a real close game
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 10-24-12 05:56 PM #25
    Popcorn Trick
    Popcorn Trick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-12
    Posts: 810
    Betpoints: 540

    Quote Originally Posted by theAkathist View Post
    if alabama loses a game they are not playing for the national championship. they have not had a tough road this year and can not afford a loss. they have to go undefeated to win it all, will be tough for them

    line at LSU was -8.5 last week. i think that will be a real close game
    Okay. Who'd they beat last year? Arkansas at home? Lost a home game as well.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 10-24-12 07:24 PM #26
    easyliving
    easyliving's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-25-12
    Posts: 8,876
    Betpoints: 11

    lsu got no shot against Bama. they don't have the elite qb needed to beat alabama
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 10-24-12 07:29 PM #27
    itchypickle
    Dan Bilzerian's gunsmith
    itchypickle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-05-09
    Posts: 21,452
    Betpoints: 5620

    Talks already in place to just allow Bama to start playing on Sundays next year and replace the Lions or Chiefs in the league.


    ROLL DAMN TIDE!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 10-24-12 07:40 PM #28
    BiffTFinancial
    BiffTFinancial's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-29-09
    Posts: 22,670
    Betpoints: 5368

    field = dead money
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 10-24-12 07:59 PM #29
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    let me get this straight, we laying juice for bama not to win? im no super sharp but to me that just seems silly,,,i mean hell i guess they could lose but before the sec champ or national champ? why not wait till then and get plus money fading them? id feel like a real asshole come those 2 games and holding a -145 ticket against bama.... i wouldnt ever lay juice on a future no matter what is was so maybe im crazy but not sure why this sounds like a good idea???
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 10-24-12 08:37 PM #30
    Popcorn Trick
    Popcorn Trick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-12
    Posts: 810
    Betpoints: 540

    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    lsu got no shot against Bama. they don't have the elite qb needed to beat alabama
    Sir, you just summed up the SEC. Great QB's/ Offenses produce upsets, especially if you have to face a few back to back. Harder to run the gauntlet through the PAC 12 or BIG 12, although not saying those conferences are better.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 10-24-12 08:52 PM #31
    Sunde91
    Sunde91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 8,325
    Betpoints: 255

    Yeah LSU no chance against Bama. Top 10 team at home at night in death valley vs a team who has beaten nobody. Letdowns don't exist for 20 year old kids playing in harsh environments vs talented, motivated teams. They play at a high level every week. Just hand Bama the West then the SEC then the BCS

    Bama will lose, only a matter of when. This is better than getting cute and picking where or where not to fade. ATS or ML? What's your plan to put on each game if they keep winning? How much are you willing to keep losing if it takes 7 games? Chase? Ridiculous. -145 is simple and will hit.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 11-10-12 06:17 PM #32
    Sunde91
    Sunde91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 8,325
    Betpoints: 255

    True line was -525

    Learn the game
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 11-10-12 06:25 PM #33
    CanuckG
    CanuckG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-10
    Posts: 21,951
    Betpoints: 584

    So lets say K State and Notre Dame loses then what
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 11-10-12 06:26 PM #34
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 25,838
    Betpoints: 10176

    Quote Originally Posted by itchypickle View Post
    Talks already in place to just allow Bama to start playing on Sundays next year and replace the Lions or Chiefs in the league.


    ROLL DAMN TIDE!
    Lions 65

    Bama 3


    No that's not a joke either. that's what the score would be. you sir are a fool.

    Chiefs 42
    Bama 6
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 11-10-12 06:27 PM #35
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 25,838
    Betpoints: 10176

    Quote Originally Posted by Sunde91 View Post
    Learn the game
    solid lines
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
12 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »