Mike you are Golden I tailed the over and the AZ play chargers down to 4 too late on that train Good Luck to one of the Best on Here
Comment
pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37139
#178
Originally posted by 44 Mag
BOL today Mike !!!!
Thanks Mag and Harry.
Comment
RonT73
SBR Sharp
11-03-19
498
#179
On all this with you Mike. Gonna ride Denver down the tubes. Bet it when you posted the plays.
Comment
pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37139
#180
Originally posted by RonT73
On all this with you Mike. Gonna ride Denver down the tubes. Bet it when you posted the plays.
Been a tough week. Key injuries in game on Thanksgiving now this.
What can I do. Lol
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#181
Originally posted by pimike
Been a tough week. Key injuries in game on Thanksgiving now this.
What can I do. Lol
Seriously. And I think it's only going to get worse as we move forward.
I can't believe the changes COVID forces on us weekly.
It's almost unworkable.
Comment
pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37139
#182
Originally posted by KVB
Seriously. And I think it's only going to get worse as we move forward.
I can't believe the changes COVID forces on us weekly.
It's almost unworkable.
Agree
Wouldn’t be surprised the cancel sports agin.
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#183
Originally posted by pimike
Agree
Wouldn’t be surprised the cancel sports agin.
I'm losing half my triggers by Saturday in the cylcical Funds. There's no sturcture to the markets.
I don't see how Hoops is going to be much better.
Comment
Vene1616
SBR MVP
09-20-20
1027
#184
Can the Chargers please just go for 2 every time they score a TD
Comment
Vene1616
SBR MVP
09-20-20
1027
#185
Originally posted by pimike
Agree
Wouldn’t be surprised the cancel sports agin.
Are games going to be played at SoFi? It's outside of Santa Clara county correct? So the 49ers could use it, in theory?
Comment
Allure
SBR Hall of Famer
08-18-10
7606
#186
Cleveland is just so bad. How do they have a winning record ffs?
Comment
pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82718
#187
Tough day today pimike. Most of the games were flip coins to cover or not cover the spread.
Get them back next week.
Comment
kmarinouofm
SBR Hall of Famer
01-26-09
8437
#188
I dont know what makes me wanna puke more that chargers loss or the cardinals loss
All three early games should of hit
Comment
Hot Jerry
SBR Hall of Famer
08-16-13
5545
#189
Originally posted by Allure
Cleveland is just so bad. How do they have a winning record ffs?
- they going to playoff !!
Comment
pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37139
#190
Originally posted by kmarinouofm
I dont know what makes me wanna puke more that chargers loss or the cardinals loss
All three early games should of hit
Yep
Chargers have the worse coach in NFL. This guy actually had the field goal team coming out with 3 seconds left.
Arizona missing winning field goal
1-2 early games.
Looking at a potential 2nd half play with Tampa vs Chiefs.
Comment
pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37139
#191
Passing on 2nd half.
Comment
ARCHIVADO98
SBR Wise Guy
09-27-20
894
#192
up a lot why push it
GOOD DECISION SIR
Comment
Pick'nParlays
SBR MVP
02-22-08
3134
#193
We got Zaned
Comment
Hot Jerry
SBR Hall of Famer
08-16-13
5545
#194
What are u talking about - winning ???? When and where ?? Wouldnt be for bad luck wouldnt have luck at all . Winning , whats that ??
Comment
aveeno
SBR Sharp
11-27-20
284
#195
Looking back at this thread and the posted teams it is amazing how many brutally close calls and bad breaks there are and yet overall the thread has a positive ROI. I know, I know...everyone can say the same thing regarding their gambling choices being so close but I don't remember a time seeing so many plays that were on the "right side" that ended up losing. For example, Chubbs stepping out of bounds.
Glad I found this thread. Keep up the awesome work PIMIKE and thanks for sharing your thoughts/picks. It is very much appreciated.
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#196
Originally posted by aveeno
Looking back at this thread and the posted teams it is amazing how many brutally close calls and bad breaks there are and yet overall the thread has a positive ROI. I know, I know...everyone can say the same thing regarding their gambling choices being so close but I don't remember a time seeing so many plays that were on the "right side" that ended up losing. For example, Chubbs stepping out of bounds.
Glad I found this thread. Keep up the awesome work PIMIKE and thanks for sharing your thoughts/picks. It is very much appreciated.
It's all noise aveeno, mike, like a few of us, knows what he's doing, that's why he's overcoming the noise, even if it's just positive variance.
You can not judge whether or not a play was the "right side" once the game has started. That input isn't relevant anymore. It's like when posters say the line was "sharp" after the final score is in because it pushed or had the margin exactly. That's not the purpose of the line.
I hope that makes sense.
Comment
44 Mag
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-14-13
34490
#197
Originally posted by aveeno
Looking back at this thread and the posted teams it is amazing how many brutally close calls and bad breaks there are and yet overall the thread has a positive ROI. I know, I know...everyone can say the same thing regarding their gambling choices being so close but I don't remember a time seeing so many plays that were on the "right side" that ended up losing. For example, Chubbs stepping out of bounds.
Glad I found this thread. Keep up the awesome work PIMIKE and thanks for sharing your thoughts/picks. It is very much appreciated.
The "right side" is winning, and nobody knows more about that than Mike. He is one of the best, if not the best on here. You've been here what??? 3 days now??? We all appreciate the input. BOL on future endeavors.
Glad to have you with us. PS; never go by me. Just a scrub on here.
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#198
Deciding the "right side" of a bet based on outcome is poor strategy.
Mainly because it's the wrong way to approach probability based decision making with a comparison to offered odds, all of which has variance.
That's the best I can put it.
Here's an example.
If two bettors bet a coin flip head to head, multipole times, and one puts up $1 while the other puts up $1.01 on each flip, the bettor who stands to win the $1.01 is on the right side, every time, assuming profit is the goal.
No matter where an individual flip lands, the right side is the one that pays the extra penny in the 50-50 odds.
He could put up his $1 against the other guy's $1.01 and lose 10 times in a row, he is still betting the right side, every time.
Don't let variance, which is a calculable mathematical fact, change that.
Comment
pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37139
#199
Originally posted by aveeno
Looking back at this thread and the posted teams it is amazing how many brutally close calls and bad breaks there are and yet overall the thread has a positive ROI. I know, I know...everyone can say the same thing regarding their gambling choices being so close but I don't remember a time seeing so many plays that were on the "right side" that ended up losing. For example, Chubbs stepping out of bounds.
Glad I found this thread. Keep up the awesome work PIMIKE and thanks for sharing your thoughts/picks. It is very much appreciated.
Appreciate you noticing.. 5 straight weeks of profit right here in this thread. Yet we get those that like to dwell on the one bad week.
Lol
Again thanks for the kind write up!
Comment
pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37139
#200
Monday Night Football
Ok let’s try to start another 5 + weeks of profits.
Tonight Monday night we have the Seahawks vs Eagles.
Eagles have so much talent and had many injuries. However they are
healthy now more than they have been. Problem is they cant seem to get out of their own way. Lol
Now as for Seattle they don’t have a good defense plus they are traveling across country on the road. Seattle is clearly the better team.no question. However Philly remembers them beating them last year in the playoffs and this is a revenge factor here.
Seriously, the book is giving me a td here tonight with a home team healthy?
I’ll take that!
EAGLES + 7 -133 BAS. Yes I bought 6.5 to 7
Good luck whatever you decide.
I will tell you, it looks like I might have one of my biggest plays coming this next week. We shall see, Covid -19 aka the China Virus could change everything, so I have to be careful and not post so early.
Comment
carolinakid
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-11
19106
#201
GL TONITE (ck)
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#202
Originally posted by pimike
...EAGLES + 7 -133 BAS. Yes I bought 6.5 to 7...
Good Luck Mike!!
I'm on Philly +5, bought on the 25th.
Hopefully we both hit.
Comment
QuantumLeap
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-08
6878
#203
Originally posted by pimike
Ok let’s try to start another 5 + weeks of profits.
Tonight Monday night we have the Seahawks vs Eagles.
Eagles have so much talent and had many injuries. However they are
healthy now more than they have been. Problem is they cant seem to get out of their own way. Lol
Now as for Seattle they don’t have a good defense plus they are traveling across country on the road. Seattle is clearly the better team.no question. However Philly remembers them beating them last year in the playoffs and this is a revenge factor here.
Seriously, the book is giving me a td here tonight with a home team healthy?
I’ll take that!
EAGLES + 7 -133 BAS. Yes I bought 6.5 to 7
Good luck whatever you decide.
I will tell you, it looks like I might have one of my biggest plays coming this next week. We shall see, Covid -19 aka the China Virus could change everything, so I have to be careful and not post so early.
Yes!! Adding another 2 units.
Thanks Mike!
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#204
Mike you getting your plays from Walters??
Comment
BIGDAY
SBR Aristocracy
02-17-10
48245
#205
Let’s cash!
Comment
BigdaddyQH
SBR Posting Legend
07-13-09
19530
#206
Originally posted by KVB
I'm losing half my triggers by Saturday in the cylcical Funds. There's no sturcture to the markets.
I don't see how Hoops is going to be much better.
Chichens**t. We all knoe that you do not wager real money, so it really does not madder, does it? Do your wife a favor. Increase your life insurance policy, if you can even get one with your mental history.
Comment
BeatTheJerk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-19-07
31794
#207
Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
Chichens**t. We all knoe that you do not wager real money, so it really does not madder, does it? Do your wife a favor. Increase your life insurance policy, if you can even get one with your mental history.
”I got heat for niggas’ like you” ~ Jody
Comment
44 Mag
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-14-13
34490
#208
Originally posted by KVB
Deciding the "right side" of a bet based on outcome is poor strategy.
Mainly because it's the wrong way to approach probability based decision making with a comparison to offered odds, all of which has variance.
That's the best I can put it.
Here's an example.
If two bettors bet a coin flip head to head, multipole times, and one puts up $1 while the other puts up $1.01 on each flip, the bettor who stands to win the $1.01 is on the right side, every time, assuming profit is the goal.
No matter where an individual flip lands, the right side is the one that pays the extra penny in the 50-50 odds.
He could put up his $1 against the other guy's $1.01 and lose 10 times in a row, he is still betting the right side, every time.
Don't let variance, which is a calculable mathematical fact, change that.
So, I guess losing can be calculated?? Who would want to???? Deciding the "right side" of a bet based on outcome is poor strategy.
I wish I knew the outcome before wagering
So losing is ok, based on your strategy. Good Lord.....
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#209
Originally posted by 44 Mag
...So losing is ok, based on your strategy. Good Lord...
Of course it's ok.
It's unrealistic to think you will win every bet you make.
I make 100's of +EV bets a year, I would not expect to win them all.
That would be a ridiculous expectation and mathematically impossible.
Read my example again, you have to account for price.
The subject is the right and wrong side of the bet, not whether or not you win or lose the bet. Read my example again.
I will admit, I posted my example because I read this wrong.
I read this as you saying the right side is the winning side, like the poster before you.
But that's not what you said, you said what I said, that Mike knows what he's doing.
Regardless, my example with a coin flip paying + odds is every bit the explanation necessary for those who don't understand this very essence of sports betting.