1. #1
    mynameismud
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    San Jose St. -2.5

    spartans are a 2.5 point favorite over navy. shouldnt this line be higher? navy is awful. spartans have played some good football this year. line seems yummy to me... thoughts?

  2. #2
    DStaXX
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    I'm with you. Navy is terrible.

  3. #3
    utmoody10
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    I think a big factor in this line being low is the fact that San Jose hasnt left the state of California this year and a cross country trip for a 3:30 afternoon game against a triple option team could prove to be problematic.

  4. #4
    mynameismud
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    Quote Originally Posted by utmoody10 View Post
    I think a big factor in this line being low is the fact that San Jose hasnt left the state of California this year and a cross country trip for a 3:30 afternoon game against a triple option team could prove to be problematic.
    thats a valid point. they will be playing at 12:30pm their time, not like 9:00am or something. you figure the coach would get their internal clock ready to be pumped up by noon come game day. flying across the country and playing earlier than youre used to can definitely effect the team though...i locked in anticipating the line will go up.

  5. #5
    mdfizzle
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    Locked in early on this one.

  6. #6
    cutchemist42
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    Yeah I thought this line for SJ was a gift. SJ could be an 8-9 win team this year.

  7. #7
    ShogunRua
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    San Jose St. is clearly the better team, but this really isn't a good spot for them. I wouldn't feel comfortable playing either side here. Pass.

  8. #8
    mynameismud
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    line hasnt moved at all. went up to -3 at one book, but still -2.5 everywhere else.

  9. #9
    milwaukee mike
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    i'm on sj st at -2.5

    if it was a noon eastern game, i wouldn't touch it

  10. #10
    mynameismud
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    i'm on sj st at -2.5

    if it was a noon eastern game, i wouldn't touch it
    im with you on that. 9am is too early, but 12:30 their time, they should be fine.

  11. #11
    utmoody10
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    Has San Jose St ever traveled this far before? I know as a Tennessee fan I've seen the Vols take it to Cal in Knoxville only to get it handed back to them next year in Berkley. There is a reason the likes of the SEC enjoy having their out of conference competition come to them.

  12. #12
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by utmoody10 View Post
    Has San Jose St ever traveled this far before? I know as a Tennessee fan I've seen the Vols take it to Cal in Knoxville only to get it handed back to them next year in Berkley. There is a reason the likes of the SEC enjoy having their out of conference competition come to them.
    at la tech 2011, at alabama 2010, at la tech 2009

  13. #13
    Nittany Lion
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    Already on it too, line is a gift.

  14. #14
    BRUTUSB33FCAKE
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    Two things that bother me.

    1.) SJSU only beat Navy by 3 last year at home.
    2.) SJSU just gave up over 200 yards rushing to San Diego State.

    Thoughts? I'm still leaning towards playing it but just looking for a couple more opinions. Thanks.

  15. #15
    sdbrady5
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    Sign me up -2.5 $$$

  16. #16
    utmoody10
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    at la tech 2011, at alabama 2010, at la tech 2009
    San Jose to Ruston LA - 1949 miles
    San Jose to Tuscaloosa AL - 2275 miles
    San Jose to Annapolos MD - 2869 miles

    All losses as well, even though they were probably outmatched each time talent wise. I hope it hits for you guys though, I'll be a casual observer of this game. San Jose St does seem to be on its way to being competitive for the first time in quite a while BOL.

  17. #17
    darko3131
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    I like Navy, alot of new players getting used to the system by week 5

  18. #18
    BRUTUSB33FCAKE
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    Bump. Still debating this play. Curious to hear more thoughts.

  19. #19
    mynameismud
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    Quote Originally Posted by BRUTUSB33FCAKE View Post
    Two things that bother me.

    1.) SJSU only beat Navy by 3 last year at home.
    2.) SJSU just gave up over 200 yards rushing to San Diego State.

    Thoughts? I'm still leaning towards playing it but just looking for a couple more opinions. Thanks.
    great input. ive capped this game 4 times now and each time the -2.5 looks like a gift. i locked in when i posted this thread on monday thinking the line would move up, but it hasnt. one book has it at -3, but its still -2.5 everywhere else. i never proclaim "locks" or "guarantees", but this of all the other games was the yummiest line to me. spartans average 35 pts per game, navy averages just over 19 pts a game and spartans have played a few quality teams, navy has played only 1 quality team and lost to a shitty penn st team by 4 TDs. spartans also have played 1 more game than navy.

  20. #20
    Ralphie Halves
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    Prediction Machine on SJSU heavy now too. On it.

  21. #21
    sitzlejd
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    On it as well.

  22. #22
    visualrealism
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    Greatly improved SJSU squad. TE Ryan Otten is the top receiving weapon for SJSU. NFL caliber. Also solid WR corp.
    Gave stanford some trouble on the road.

    I'll take SJSU -2.5 Heavy.

    Sjsu will be 5-0 covering the spread!

  23. #23
    pulledclear
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    Navy is gonna ROLL!

  24. #24
    pulledclear
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    Bloodbath.

  25. #25
    Pete0
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    have a baaaaad feeling about this

    Ball st. Fresno St. Northwestern, San Jose St and W. Kentucky ONLY 4-0 ATS teams so far.

    Value shift this week ??

  26. #26
    Lineman
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    if it looks too good. It usually is. Beware.

  27. #27
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    everyone's on sjst and the lines not moving. actually pinny went down to 2. i'm passing...

  28. #28
    mynameismud
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    everyone's on sjst and the lines not moving. actually pinny went down to 2. i'm passing...
    fukk me. my book moved to -2 also. wtf is going on. im not hedging, so i will roll with it. trust me, wont be the first bet i lose and definitely wont be the last. glgl to everyone today.

  29. #29
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    yeah it's all good. most likely east coast biased bettors hammering navy.

  30. #30
    mynameismud
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    hang the fukk on!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  31. #31
    paranoyd androyd
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    this would be a nasty backdoor

  32. #32
    mynameismud
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    Quote Originally Posted by paranoyd androyd View Post
    this would be a nasty backdoor
    i did take their ML in another bet. hoping both cash.

  33. #33
    mynameismud
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    bink!

  34. #34
    Bostongambler
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    Good call Mud

  35. #35
    GWOZOZO
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    Money!

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