1. #1
    TheCentaur
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    It's 3:30 am...check in if ur buried and can't sleep

    Why were we looking forward to football season?

  2. #2
    Mriceyman
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    lol its Awful

  3. #3
    HawkEye
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    Exactly... Yet we always come back and think we have a good shot. It's depressing.

  4. #4
    tony_come
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    Can't sleep

  5. #5
    Deuce
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    Not buried.

    Watching tv

  6. #6
    tony_come
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    Watchin porn but not buried

  7. #7
    The Giant
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    I'm on the verge of jumping.

  8. #8
    TheCentaur
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    I think we can get unburied by middling the UL Monroe game on friday. Get em at +7.5 now and lay Baylor at -5 at gametime....then pow Baylor wins by 6 or 7

  9. #9
    jbart28
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    capping baseball and tennis where the lines aren't sharper than an a terrorists box cutter on a jet airliner.

    College football has some good spots weekly but the NFL has too much parody which leads to high variance.

    Arizona straight up at NE? ORLY? penetrate me with lube at least. that is like Kentucky losing to Ole Miss at Lexington in college hoops.

  10. #10
    TwoWays
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCentaur View Post
    I think we can get unburied by middling the UL Monroe game on friday. Get em at +7.5 now and lay Baylor at -5 at gametime....then pow Baylor wins by 6 or 7
    Lol, bad plan man. If you want to middle play live lines. You can in the meanwhile study this international bb game coming up in 2 hours.

  11. #11
    TwoWays
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    Other than that, taking some sleeping pills and overfeed yourself, then go to bed.

  12. #12
    TheCentaur
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    I'm on the verge of jumping.
    Ur badges suggest u aren't buried though, unless you bet real money differently

  13. #13
    TheCentaur
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    Quote Originally Posted by TwoWays View Post
    Lol, bad plan man. If you want to middle play live lines. You can in the meanwhile study this international bb game coming up in 2 hours.
    Normally I don't try to look for middles but this spread moving down 2 or 3 points by gametime is a lock

  14. #14
    The Giant
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCentaur View Post
    Ur badges suggest u aren't buried though, unless you bet real money differently
    Most of those badges were pre-football season.

    Anyway, who lies about losing? I'm hitting about 18% this football season.

  15. #15
    TwoWays
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCentaur View Post
    Normally I don't try to look for middles but this spread moving down 2 or 3 points by gametime is a lock
    Trust me, you will definitely get a larger margin with in-game betting on this game. No need to sweat over 2-3 points when you can sweat over 14 points or so

  16. #16
    TheCentaur
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Most of those badges were pre-football season.

    Anyway, who lies about losing? I'm hitting about 18% this football season.
    Yikes

  17. #17
    TheCentaur
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    Quote Originally Posted by TwoWays View Post
    Trust me, you will definitely get a larger margin with in-game betting on this game. No need to sweat over 2-3 points when you can sweat over 14 points or so
    Do you use several books for this or one

  18. #18
    TwoWays
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    No just one book. You could have gotten the Falcon game total at 55 + when they scored early. Then it dropped to the mid to low 40s in the second quarter. Did this game not middle? Same thing happened in the 49er game. If you believe that NFL games and single games on a given day have sharp lines, isn't this the better route?

  19. #19
    TheCentaur
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    Quote Originally Posted by TwoWays View Post
    No just one book. You could have gotten the Falcon game total at 55 + when they scored early. Then it dropped to the mid to low 40s in the second quarter. Did this game not middle? Same thing happened in the 49er game. If you believe that NFL games and single games on a given day have sharp lines, isn't this the better route?
    Middling live totals...I'm going to look into this thanks

  20. #20
    ChalkyDog
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    It's tough, teams coming out unexpected this year - not as easy as last year. Hell, I remember a week when if you simply laid chalk - you won every single wager.

    Adjust or bust. Week 4 of CFB, week 3 of NFL - these teams are close to putting exactly who they are on paper for us cappers to analyze.

    I know I laid off a lot of action this week, and cleaned up in comparison to last week. In the NFL, I came into this week with the idea of simply live betting the games, as the numbers out there currently aren't representative - gotta see how they play a bit first. Played 3 games pre-game, played many more live.

    Best time of the year, gents. Don't blow your load chucking darts in the first couple weeks.

  21. #21
    AribaAriba
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    u wont win wagering in any sports base on guts and so called analysis LOL if u look at the number and have some sort of models, that will bring you to the promise land.

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