Monday Plays?? Anyone Betting???

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Monday Plays?? Anyone Betting???
    Crickets I think this week
  • johnnyvegas13
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 05-21-15
    • 27893

    #2
    No

    Kinda sad football is over

    And no xfl doesn't count
    Comment
    • pologq
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-07-12
      • 19899

      #3
      taking the rangers +1.5 and maple leafs ML

      taking the wizards at home -5 and pacers -5
      Comment
      • Sam Odom
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-30-05
        • 58063

        #4
        No bets...

        Moving $$$ around today -- taking already $mall offshore balances down lower
        Comment
        • BIGDAY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 02-17-10
          • 48245

          #5
          UNC & KState plus the numbahs
          Comment
          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 65459

            #6
            Full slate of NBA games today.
            I’ve been killing the totals lately.
            Comment
            • JIBBBY
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-10-09
              • 83686

              #7
              I'm in and betting. Capping now.. Still a little stung and bit with SF losing Hit a few props though so not a total disaster yesterday..

              Back on that horse today!!! Just wondering if most NBA players are gonna be hung over and or tired today and lay eggs in the games?

              Thinking upset Monday perhaps?
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #8
                About to buy a car, but I bought Texas first...

                Originally posted by KVB
                The KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund has picked up...

                867 TEXAS +14 (+100)

                On mobile, forgot to post this when I first bought at 15, forgot. There are 14.5s out there as well...
                Comment
                • stevek173
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-29-08
                  • 27598

                  #9
                  NHL Dallas -130

                  Rumor has it poster Opie will be working the zamboni at the game
                  Comment
                  • CanuckG
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-23-10
                    • 21978

                    #10
                    Originally posted by KVB
                    About to buy a car, but I bought Texas first...



                    Texas line seems like a trap. Why so high?
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #11
                      Originally posted by CanuckG
                      Texas line seems like a trap. Why so high?
                      Good observation here, but I'm torn.

                      My raw stacking percentages forecast has Kansas winning by 20 points. I've been working on the Hoops non-predictive public gauge and that gives Kansas a 16 point win.

                      But Canuck you're on to something because there is pressure big time on Texas. The contrarian in me and the contrarian radar has Kansas lighting up. Imagine that, Kansas a Contrarian play in conference play...lol.

                      But with this play, this strategy, the market analysis and contrarian looks don't quite apply.

                      I know it's general, but here's the idea behind the Technical Value strategy...

                      Originally posted by KVB
                      The KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund will track NCAAB plays derived from a stacking percentages forecast that is enhanced by a few technical, statistical tweaks. The forecast with these adjustments, when compared to the market, give us another decent spread opportunity throughout the seasons.

                      This Fund will also be comprised of underdogs, exploiting some of the public thirst for favorites, but gets its plays mainly from focusing more on the weightings of a few specific areas. These areas include defensive stats like field goal %, forced turnovers per game, opponents free throws, etc, and combine them with things like pace to find those teams that are just better than the number indicates and control the game more than the betting market realizes...
                      I posted 14 at even money but I have 14.5 and 15. I forgot to post it at the open, where it triggered.

                      It's tough to bring that raw forecast off of a 20 point victory and get the +15 or +14 but when those Technical value factors are applied we get a play. I'm purposely not posting the revised forecast, but it's market beating even if this is one of it's worst years.

                      It looks like it might close under the 15 opener, but we'll see.

                      When we think of traps, Kansas could actually be the trap here. Often times, the contrarian bettor who sees the public on a large dog but thinks it's not all that large envisions the blowout, and he gets trapped, along with other bettors there for their own reasons.

                      Then again, staring at such a fat line with Texas seems to be trapping most bettors, early on here, including some technical strategies.

                      It's my inclination that maybe the Texas line isn't as fat as it seems, but it's true it was fat enough, barely, to draw me in.

                      I guess the laugh is on me when Kansas becomes a contrarian Fund trigger and I end up on both sides of the game.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        KVB never stops
                        Comment
                        • SamsNCharge99
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-22-08
                          • 41242

                          #13
                          of course we are betting, there's always action JJ
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            Sammy a pathological gambler
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65459

                              #15
                              A lot of parity in the NBA games tonight.
                              Im looking at Boston.
                              Comment
                              • Mackballs
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-01-16
                                • 5810

                                #16
                                Great night to bet the board
                                Comment
                                • BigOrange
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-13-09
                                  • 6745

                                  #17
                                  Played these last night. 2 are moving against me and one moving in my favor:

                                  Laf +1
                                  N AZ -1
                                  Bay -7
                                  Comment
                                  • trillz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-02-16
                                    • 1668

                                    #18
                                    Parlay Indy ML/Baylor 1h ML +120
                                    Under 212 76ers heat
                                    Celtics -5

                                    GL
                                    Comment
                                    • flyingillini
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 41219

                                      #19
                                      JJ, I’m on an airplane coming back from China and gambling the whole trip
                                      המוסד‎
                                      המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                      Comment
                                      • asiagambler
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 07-23-17
                                        • 6827

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Crickets I think this week
                                        Yep, some ODIs tomorrow South Africa vs England and New Zealand vs India

                                        Also U19 World Cup going on
                                        Comment
                                        • veriableodds
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-22-17
                                          • 5093

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by KVB
                                          About to buy a car, but I bought Texas first...



                                          best places to buy is hertz, and enterprise phoenix locations seems to be cheapest for some reason. Save yourself thousands just by slightly used. Can pick up a Nissan versa, or rougue(or like car) for way way less than any dealer. They are maintained and looked after pretty well. So it has less than 50k mi on it who cares(less than 9k). Takes a while for negotiations on phone but they will bid war each other down, they will haggle a no haggle price.We are talking cars not trucks that's a diff story
                                          Comment
                                          • JIBBBY
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-10-09
                                            • 83686

                                            #22
                                            Sexton over 20.5 prop looks like a winner again to me.. He's been cashing like clock work for the Cavs with his Over points prop totals lately, I've been riding it.. He's been in a good scoring groove bottom line.

                                            At home again tonight against the Nets I don't see him slowing down unless he's extremely hung over from the Super bowl weekend..

                                            Sexton covered the last 4 games.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/

                                            Pending2/3/20 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4117 C.Sexton points/. Over 20½ -125*
                                            Comment
                                            • krk1030
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-08
                                              • 17610

                                              #23
                                              UNC +5 1st half
                                              Comment
                                              • stevenash
                                                Moderator
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 65459

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                Sexton over 20.5 prop looks like a winner again to me.. He's been cashing like clock work for the Cavs with his Over points prop totals lately, I've been riding it.. He's been in a good scoring groove bottom line.

                                                At home again tonight against the Nets I don't see him slowing down unless he's extremely hung over from the Super bowl weekend..

                                                Sexton covered the last 4 games.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/

                                                Pending2/3/20 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4117 C.Sexton points/. Over 20½ -125*
                                                Cavs got the Knicks tonight.
                                                Suns got the Nets.
                                                Easy mistake to make.
                                                Still a good prop.

                                                I love the over in the Nets game.
                                                Booker should go off.

                                                Best of luck amigo.
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #25
                                                  The Contrarian Fund is in action tonight...

                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  The KVB NBA Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                  556 ATL+5 (-105)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #26
                                                    Also picked up some spreads...

                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                    KVB NBA ATS/ML FFund...

                                                    546 WAS -6.5 (-105)

                                                    549 ORL -5.5 (+100)

                                                    554 MIA -2.5 (-105)

                                                    Buying a Passat, stopped process to bet...lol...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #27
                                                      Also bought a NBA UNDER, I’ve been terrible at these this season...

                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                      The KVB NBA Totals Fund...

                                                      554 PHI/MIA UNDER 212 (-105)

                                                      Seriously, I literally said, “hold on, I need to place some bets” while she’s trying to process the transaction.

                                                      She’s like “Oh, uh, of course, take your time.”



                                                      Just waiting for final DMV processing now.


                                                      ...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JIBBBY
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-10-09
                                                        • 83686

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by stevenash
                                                        Cavs got the Knicks tonight.
                                                        Suns got the Nets.
                                                        Easy mistake to make.
                                                        Still a good prop.

                                                        I love the over in the Nets game.
                                                        Booker should go off.

                                                        Best of luck amigo.
                                                        Knicks have a chance for sure on the straight.. Two shiittt teams I couldn't touch it even Steven myself. It's like flipping a coin to me.. Basement dwellers have a tendency to throw games to get an extra ping pong ball in the upcoming lottery draft.. ..



                                                        Good luck brother. If I had to pick I'd probably take the Knicks as well but the Cavs will be hungry for a win..

                                                        Knicks slightly hotter team of late.. GL BUD!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #29
                                                          Picked up a play today for tomorrow...

                                                          Originally posted by KVB
                                                          The KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund has picked up...

                                                          614 E MICH +4 (-105)

                                                          This is for tomorrow, Feb 4th...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bostongambler
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 02-01-08
                                                            • 35581

                                                            #30
                                                            No Marcus Smart tonight for Celts , but Kanter is back.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JIBBBY
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-10-09
                                                              • 83686

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                                              No Marcus Smart tonight for Celts , but Kanter is back.
                                                              More minutes for J Brown most likely which will contribute to his point total runs of late. He scored 32 points playing 36 minutes of play in his last game. The game before that only 18 points but his minutes were limited to just 26 minutes.. .https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/5602/

                                                              If he plays 36 to 40 minutes tonight or so which I think he will this prop most likely covers..


                                                              5347 J.Brown points o23½ +100
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JIBBBY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-10-09
                                                                • 83686

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                Sexton over 20.5 prop looks like a winner again to me.. He's been cashing like clock work for the Cavs with his Over points prop totals lately, I've been riding it.. He's been in a good scoring groove bottom line.

                                                                At home again tonight against the Nets I don't see him slowing down unless he's extremely hung over from the Super bowl weekend..

                                                                Sexton covered the last 4 games.. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/

                                                                Pending2/3/20 7:05pm NBA Props Basketball 4117 C.Sexton points/. Over 20½ -125*

                                                                Sexton with 22 points now in the 3rd quarter.. Easy money cash it.. Next..

                                                                Ride this boy against soft defenses now as he's cashing game after game. https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/players/6019/
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stevek173
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 03-29-08
                                                                  • 27598

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Dallas delivers.

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BIGDAY
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 02-17-10
                                                                    • 48245

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Love starting the week out 2-0
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                                      • 83686

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                                                      UNC & KState plus the numbahs
                                                                      Nice...
                                                                      Comment
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