Originally Posted by
Mac4Lyfe
$50 bet paid $6750. First game of the season. I Hedged with Houston for $2750, -15 (+100). Guaranteed $3,950 profit if they win, $2,700 if they lose. Yep, they were dominating the game, yep they were up big BUT have you seen weird shit happen in football before? Have you seen a team compete for 2 quarters only to shit their pants in the 2nd half? This is football, anything can happen. 17 points can be made up very quickly with momentum for a home fave.
My momma always said that "For sure money beats no money" and "a bird in the hand beats 2 to 3 in the bush (Blackjack reference)". If someone told me they would give me $4k or $2.7k guaranteed OR they'd give me $6.7k or nothing. I'm not rolling the dice on a sure winner that didn't cost me much to begin with. Plenty of football left to play. It's the first week. Why take a chance when their is so much unknown. Don't get emotional, don't get greedy (not in week 1) and pick your spots. I have no problem giving back a bit hedging to ensure guaranteed profit. That 2nd half was very stress free.
I regret not putting more on the ML as I talked myself out of it twice. I was locked and loaded for $200 on the ML but cancelled the confirmation.