my book has msu -7.5 now.
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08-31-12 03:28 PM #36
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08-31-12 03:56 PM #37
Guess the pundits are starting to realize the mistake they made
Originally Posted by mynameismud
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08-31-12 04:21 PM #38
The coach is returning. You really think Boise St. got to where they are because they have superior athletes? I'll take Petersen + a full offseason preparing for a game. I'm on BSU in a four team parlay for shyts and giggs. I'm not saying this is my play of the week or trying to make the case that Boise St. is going to win it outright. I'm just saying at a certain point you gotta look at BSU in this spot and not be shocked if they pull it off. Originally Posted by greenhippo
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08-31-12 04:26 PM #39
This is my first pick in a loooong series of wins. Boise St. is an absolute must with the points. I believe they will win this game by 10-17 easy. Mich St. will not be able to move the ball much, and Boise has the weapons and SYSTEM to score 31-41. Final score should be 37-21 or about in that range. TAKE BOISE MONEY LINE AND POINTS. YOU CANNOT GO WRONG. I will keep posting, I expect to be 1-0 very easily after tonight. I'm playing 2k at Grand Sierra in Reno. NO JOKE
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08-31-12 04:28 PM #40
post pic of your ticket and gain instant credibility.
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08-31-12 04:28 PM #41
MSU is getting hammered with so much money every expert is pushing them to slaughter Boise if history repeats A)boise wins or B.)boise backdoor covers i could be very wrong and paranoid but if it was me i would put a smaller unit on Boise ML or points
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08-31-12 04:31 PM #42
post a pic of your ticket then highroller, otherwise stfu Originally Posted by mookafied
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08-31-12 04:37 PM #43
Take Boise 1H and thank me later......
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08-31-12 04:49 PM #44
Honestly I do not see the incentive for anyone to post tickets. Alot of winning bettors have many outs, therefore their bets are spread across mutiple accounts/casinos/bookies, unless only one source offers the best price. Most big winning gamblers do not want attention or recognition. In fact, quite the contrary, they are slightly paranoid and would rather be left alone. Touts would be most likely to post tickets or brag incessantly. Originally Posted by High3rEl3m3nt
You can generally read someone's analysis/thought processes and tell if they are a winning capper. Most likely they are just like the majority of people, mismanaging their bankrolls and betting all TV games for the sake of action.
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08-31-12 04:55 PM #45
Wish you were in south beach, I could save you a trip to the casino and juice. Gl with your bet, however, in the range of potential outcomes, I think your bet doesn't have long term +EV. Originally Posted by mookafied
Last edited by MeatWad; 08-31-12 at 05:18 PM.
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08-31-12 05:01 PM #46
Originally Posted by mookafied
This game will be won in the trenches, like most games . With 4 returning O line starters vs a D line with 1 returner, why won't St be able to move the ball some? MSU D is easily top 10 in the nation laden with future NFL players and all Big Ten members, they will likely score and enable the MSU O to score.
BSU's system works best with an NFL caliber QB and RB like they have had the past few years. Ask Mike Leach how his "System" worked out last night, that game turned out exactly like I posted in another thread, as well as the Vandy/under game. Do you realize the caliber of defense BSU is up against tonight?Last edited by MeatWad; 08-31-12 at 05:18 PM.
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08-31-12 05:01 PM #47
Appreciate the analysis Meatwad, tailing on MSU.
It does feel like everyone and their brother is in love with MSU though, which isn't usally the best feeling..
Let's start this thing off with a win.
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08-31-12 05:26 PM #48
It was his first post of the forum and he's telling people he wagered 2k on it. Instant crediblity for him....meant more as an isolated case. Originally Posted by MeatWad
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08-31-12 05:31 PM #49
seems like everyone is on msu tonight. i agree on some level but dont under estimate their coach Petersen.
just sayin..
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08-31-12 05:38 PM #50
Boise may lose but it will be a close. I took the points in this one.
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08-31-12 05:44 PM #51
Originally Posted by xpo136
They do start the season in fine form usually, a testament to their coach. Peterson, however, has said it feels odd this year. Basially saying that usually when players don't perform well in practice, he is relieved to know that the same player always shows up at gametime. But this year it is different with all the new faces he doesn't always have that feeling/confidence.
I think they have a year that they regress to the mean. It is impossible not to fall off after losing not only most of their starters, but most of their O production including 2 skill position players in the NFL.
Personally I have a typical bet on this game, nothing special, but I expect it to win around 60%+. Definitely could be wrong here, but East Lansing is a hostile environment(MSU undefeated there last year), and their top notch D at home should come out firing against a BSU offense full of inexperienced players trying to find their rythm.
GL whichever side you are one, someone will at least win!
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08-31-12 06:23 PM #52
Exactly... Petersen coached up 2 and 3 star players into NFL prospects. The guy is a genius, 6-0 in these opening games against top talent. BSU usually don't make a lot of mistakes and wait for other teams to shoot themselves in the foot. I love BSU first half as they seem to get out front in these games then have to hold off the better talented team in the 2nd half. I'm going with BSU first half then MSU second half. Originally Posted by Dirty Bay Player
Boise State 1st Half +160* vs Michigan State
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08-31-12 06:27 PM #53
I'm passing, and going to just enjoy the game...gun to my head, I'd take the points.
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08-31-12 06:29 PM #54
MSU touters BetIslands has MSU -1/2 per quarter...
JUMP ON MSU -1/2 in the 1st Q guys!!!
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08-31-12 06:34 PM #55
Originally Posted by MeatWad
youre absolutely right. jus fyi i took the points on this one with a small wager just to make things interesting while i watch the game. and boise's "unexperienced" qb did get plenty of play time last year: usually when teams were already blown out and moore was taken out of the game.
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08-31-12 06:37 PM #56
Boise St. +7.5 is the play here. Boise St. may have trouble moving the ball at times, but I don't think MSU is going to be able to just march down the field and score touchdowns. I think MSU wins 27-24 or something like that.
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08-31-12 06:42 PM #57
They don't need to march up and down the field, keep in mind that if MSU gets ahead early their defense will bury that BSU offense since Boise's QB will eventually be reduced to passing every down. Originally Posted by ShogunRua
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08-31-12 06:45 PM #58
I teased it to -1 with the under in th tenn game 59... Also taking -71/2. Boise has never been strong but a decent team. Only thing that gave them a chance against bigger teams was their ability to throw down the field. They've lost their qb now... Playing against a top 10... Not really sure... Defense. Mich state has an awesome hoss at rb. Don't buy into the Boise hype. Mich state wins by 13-20 GL boys
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08-31-12 06:47 PM #59
Im waiting to take state 2nd half. MSU usually comes out a little sluggish in openers. Think Boise mau get jump on em in 1st half.
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08-31-12 06:47 PM #60
Who Sao they were going to be able to march down the field on em? The line is 71/2... It's gonna be close but much st will pull away... I dont think they're gonna beat the 71-0 or anything lol Originally Posted by ShogunRua
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08-31-12 06:51 PM #61
Not a horrible strategy, as the physical strength and superior athletes of MSU will have a bigger advantage as the game develops. Clearly inferior teams such as BSU can sometimes run on adrenaline during the 1st half before their strength wears down and the inevitable ass kicking ensures. Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe
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08-31-12 07:15 PM #62
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08-31-12 07:19 PM #63
TD for Mich St on the opening drive
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08-31-12 07:23 PM #64
boise QB looks like whoreshit
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08-31-12 07:24 PM #65
How's it looking so far? I'm watching this circus known as Tenn vs. NCST
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08-31-12 07:30 PM #66
boise punting is so gay and ineffective. spartans dominating in every facet. boise is going to need a couple big fluke plays to have any chance at being competitive in this game.
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08-31-12 07:33 PM #67
Boise St cheerleader got rocked
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08-31-12 07:34 PM #68
Boise on the board
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08-31-12 07:34 PM #69
Looks like my 1Q lay will be safe...
What happened? Did Mich St. turn the ball over?
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08-31-12 07:37 PM #70
Yes and almost another pick right there
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