1. 08-29-12 10:09 PM #1
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    This South Carolina/Vandy Game Seems Fishy

    Vandy getting 6.5 at home

    Squares all will be on SC

    What does this mean?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 08-29-12 10:11 PM #2
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Value all gone, I got Vandy +9 on the early lines.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 08-29-12 10:11 PM #3
    Br0nxer
    July 2012 Poster of the Month
    Br0nxer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-11
    Posts: 13,665
    Betpoints: 888

    On the over
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 08-29-12 10:12 PM #4
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,360
    Betpoints: 8792

    i'm on USC ML...i like money, and i'll take it here.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 08-29-12 10:13 PM #5
    JayHorne3
    1 Budlight Please
    JayHorne3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-11
    Posts: 1,130
    Betpoints: 37

    JJ, looking too much in to this one. Lines mean nothing in week 1, Gamecocks will roll
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 08-29-12 10:21 PM #6
    paranoyd androyd
    paranoyd androyd's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-01-11
    Posts: 6,459
    Betpoints: 134523

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Value all gone, I got Vandy +9 on the early lines.
    are you going to buy back any portion for the two key number middles?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 08-29-12 10:26 PM #7
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by paranoyd androyd View Post
    are you going to buy back any portion for the two key number middles?
    No I'd rather just sit on my +EV position. No big deal really, limits were low back then.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 08-29-12 10:29 PM #8
    firedawg
    firedawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-08
    Posts: 39,219
    Betpoints: 1066

    did we really need another thread on this game bady?
    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Vandy getting 6.5 at home

    Squares all will be on SC

    What does this mean?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 08-29-12 10:35 PM #9
    frogsrangers
    Zackary > Angelito
    frogsrangers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-12
    Posts: 5,792
    Betpoints: 5421

    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    i'm on USC ML...i like money, and i'll take it here.
    So you are laying $65,000 to win $100?

    If I were going to play a ridiculous favorite money line, I'd play Central Florida at -2000. It's a lock, but much cheaper
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 08-29-12 10:37 PM #10
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,360
    Betpoints: 8792

    Quote Originally Posted by frogsrangers View Post
    So you are laying $65,000 to win $100?

    If I were going to play a ridiculous favorite money line, I'd play Central Florida at -2000. It's a lock, but much cheaper
    the line is -270...will have USC to win a dime
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 08-29-12 10:38 PM #11
    frogsrangers
    Zackary > Angelito
    frogsrangers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-12
    Posts: 5,792
    Betpoints: 5421

    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    the line is -270...will have USC to win a dime
    Crap, thought you were talking about the USC Trojans

    With that being said, -270 should be good, but at that price I'd tease USC down to -.5 and throw in a team like BYU down to -6.5 or something for a better payout.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 08-29-12 10:40 PM #12
    firedawg
    firedawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-08
    Posts: 39,219
    Betpoints: 1066

    brocks a bookies best friend... do not try to help him
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 08-29-12 11:31 PM #13
    kmarinouofm
    Those who stay.. will be Champions!
    kmarinouofm's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 8,437
    Betpoints: 3457

    vandy is now a live dog people... alert!! alert!!!

    i love that i have vandy as a lean...


    i also hate that i like western mich.. because i know brock has it as a rubberband play
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 08-29-12 11:39 PM #14
    tatommack
    cowboys make the playoffs
    tatommack's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-10-08
    Posts: 4,171
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    i'm on USC ML...i like money, and i'll take it here.
    Great that was my play Vanderbilt it is then ****
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 08-29-12 11:46 PM #15
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Wasn't Vandy unbeaten at home ATS last year?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 08-29-12 11:48 PM #16
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Wasn't Vandy unbeaten at home ATS last year?
    Yes 6-0 ATS, 4-2 SU with the losses being by a combined total of 8 points vs, Georgia and Arkansas.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 08-30-12 12:28 AM #17
    TheCentaur
    TheCentaur's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-28-11
    Posts: 8,108
    Betpoints: 68

    USC wins by 14
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 08-30-12 05:58 AM #18
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    South Carolina always seems to fuk up a few big games

    They have to win in order to have any shot for big time bcs game
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 08-30-12 06:01 AM #19
    Dux90
    Dux90's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-22-12
    Posts: 523
    Betpoints: 0

    Does anyone know if Lattimore is completley fine or still somewhat hurt?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 08-30-12 06:12 AM #20
    ridims
    ridims's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-10
    Posts: 3,863
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Wasn't Vandy unbeaten at home ATS last year?
    ya and they open as big dogs at home season opener.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 08-30-12 06:23 AM #21
    agharah1
    agharah1's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-07-10
    Posts: 2,303
    Betpoints: 1191

    Quote Originally Posted by frogsrangers View Post
    So you are laying $65,000 to win $100?

    If I were going to play a ridiculous favorite money line, I'd play Central Florida at -2000. It's a lock, but much cheaper
    I don' know, but for some reason I'm having a very hard time believing that Akron isn't dramatically improved from last year now that Terry Bowden is coach. Combine that with the fact that I watched UCF lose to UAB last year and that game scares me. If I want -2000 or so I'll wait for Stanford and Ohio State.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 08-30-12 06:34 AM #22
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    gotta be careful betting too big on this one just because it is the first real college or pro game this new season
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 08-30-12 06:38 AM #23
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by ridims View Post
    ya and they open as big dogs at home season opener.

    This holds no weight because 80% of the bets are on South Carolina. Sharps were all over Vandy, squares love Gamecocks.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 08-30-12 07:19 AM #24
    thetrinity
    penetrate me to tears
    thetrinity's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-25-11
    Posts: 22,430
    Betpoints: 5536

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    This holds no weight because 80% of the bets are on South Carolina. Sharps were all over Vandy, squares love Gamecocks.
    people will use any angle possible to convince themselves they are on the sharp side
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 08-30-12 07:25 AM #25
    thetrinity
    penetrate me to tears
    thetrinity's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-25-11
    Posts: 22,430
    Betpoints: 5536

    i could easily see this game going over, under seems to be popping up every post, i think bronxer was first guy who said over. lattimore should be able to run on vandy and vandy brings most of their offense back while south carolina lost over half their defense.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 08-30-12 08:04 AM #26
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    jj , a Vandy SU win would sink the board on the 1st gm of the season...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 08-30-12 08:18 AM #27
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by thetrinity View Post
    people will use any angle possible to convince themselves they are on the sharp side
    Well this is obvious, as RLM usually is. Obviously the sharps don't always win and it is too late to follow now with the drop below 7. But it is easy to see who they were on.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 08-30-12 08:20 AM #28
    hubie69
    I am JJs bookie
    hubie69's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-10
    Posts: 7,329
    Betpoints: 617

    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    jj , a Vandy SU win would sink the board on the 1st gm of the season...
    Indeed, as a majority of this board cant figure out bankroll management.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 08-30-12 08:22 AM #29
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,360
    Betpoints: 8792

    South Carolina winner here, should be close though
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 08-30-12 08:25 AM #30
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    And a 7-point South Carolina win would be a nightmare for the books. Not that they can't afford it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 08-30-12 08:25 AM #31
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    game will be decided by a late FG
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 08-30-12 08:30 AM #32
    utmoody10
    utmoody10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-19-08
    Posts: 304
    Betpoints: 725

    What Jordan Rodgers shows up? SC's weakness is the secondary, but the best pass defense is a good pass rush which the Cocks definitely have. Keep in mind Rodgers can be very inaccuate. In 4 of 9 games where he saw extensive action, his completion % was under 50%. The line movement screams Vandy, for them to be in this one, I think it needs to be a low scoring game.

    Vandys D has a lot of returning experience but the loss of Chris Marve and their two best DBs are major losses. Whereas South Carolina can replace a Melvin Ingram with Clowney, Vandy has no such luxury. A side note is that Vandy is reportedly having trouble selling out for tonight, some seats are still available. Maybe the excitement for Vandy football is a little exaggerated at this point.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 08-30-12 08:36 AM #33
    ShawNee922
    A fool thinks himself to be wise ..
    ShawNee922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-22-08
    Posts: 469
    Betpoints: 817

    Spurrier is already behind the 8-ball considering Georgia has a lighter schedule. He is 21-1 all-time in season openers and will find a way to exploit a Vandy Defense that lost its 3 top tacklers from a year ago...

    Vandy's Qb ; 50% completion pct.- 9 TD's last season and 10 Interceptions ... 8 of the TD's were to the same receiver...

    Stack the box, make him throw and double Matthews...

    Gamecocks 30 Vanderbilt 20 ...


    Maybe the sharps just aren't as sharp as they used to be???

    I may even throw something down on Wash St +12 ... A trash TD late could keep them inside this number...
    Last edited by ShawNee922; 08-30-12 at 08:43 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 08-30-12 08:42 AM #34
    Big_Slim
    Big_Slim's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-04-12
    Posts: 409
    Betpoints: 410

    I'm on Vanderbilt +220 for 2 units.....I like big V in this 1...home dog...gotta love that!!!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 08-30-12 08:50 AM #35
    MikeZaW
    MikeZaW's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-08
    Posts: 472
    Betpoints: 31

    I've been loving S. Carolina all week. was looking to buy down to 6 just take at 6.5 but now I'm feeling that this game could stay close. Now I'm leaning toward Washington State tonight. I'm hoping I can get WSU at +14.5 or something insane like that. I think Mike Leach bringing his offense to WSU will help them keep it close tonight.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
123 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »