1. #1
    stevenash
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    Mets (Harvey) +150 over Cincy (Bailey) is my play this evening.

    Few reasons.

    I like Harvey, I liked him from his call up last month, I still think the kid will be a solid #2 starter (if not an ace) in the years to come.

    This is his fifth start, the novelty of 'being in the show' has worn off, I think he's settled in.
    Three of this four starts have been very good. SD roughed him up for five runs, take that out of the equation, his other three starts have been 2 earned runs, 2 earned runs, 0 earned runs in his debut.
    Not his fault, the Mets bats got him 1 run in the SF loss and 0 runs in the Brave loss, he held their bats down, he did his part.

    Kid strikes out more than 1 per inning, Cincy has a penchant for striking out a lot.
    Advantage to the Mets that Cincy has never seen his stuff before, ever.

    Bailey is a pedestrian like pitcher. pretty much mediocre numbers across the board, except for strikeouts, his K per nine ratio is good.

    Bailey has been awful his past three starts.

    David Wright has owned him in the past, 5 for 9 says so.
    Rest of the Mets has hit him in the past, overall 25 for 71 is just enough of a cross sampling that tells me Bailey doesn't really fool the Mets.

    Another factor, Mets don't roll over like some MLB teams (Red Sox come to mind)
    Mets haven't looked sharp in their last two, doesn't mean they pack it in tonight.
    Mets play for Collins, I expect them to get to Bailey for five tonight, I expect a seven inning eight K performance from Wonder Kid tonight also.

    If you aren't comfortable backing the Mets, pass or fade, I got a good feel for this one tonight, doesn't mean it hits, I just like the 3:2 value here.

    A lot

    200 gets me 300.

    Good luck all
    Points Awarded:

    ridims gave stevenash 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Balco10 gave stevenash 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    Balco10
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    On it at +144 Nash...BOL

  3. #3
    You mad bro
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    Gl !!!

  4. #4
    KingKolzig
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    good write up makes sense

  5. #5
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    i wouldn't bet on the mutts. they're last in runs scored in august. unless you think harvey's gonna pitch a shutout, they certainly aren't gonna out hit cincy.

  6. #6
    Hawkeye2011
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    Ill tail ya....gl

  7. #7
    Smoke
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    Good luck stevie

  8. #8
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    i wouldn't bet on the mutts. they're last in runs scored in august. unless you think harvey's gonna pitch a shutout, they certainly aren't gonna out hit cincy.
    It's not a play for everybody, I like it, I can relate as to why you may not.

    g/l tonight

  9. #9
    shimeon40
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    only reason i'm on mets is because the pricks got wiped yesterday and 9 times out of ten teams then reverse the result..mlb is like a bad movie script

  10. #10
    shimeon40
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    all this analysis is bs..just try follow part 2 of a bad movie...the good guys end up winning.

  11. #11
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by shimeon40 View Post
    all this analysis is bs..just try follow part 2 of a bad movie...the good guys end up winning.
    Thanks for dropping by, your astute, painstaking analysis is always appreciated.

  12. #12
    shimeon40
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  13. #13
    TheJettylife
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    Nash your picks are always well calculated and have great reasoning. Thanks for posting and giving such great insight I will always tail your plays. GL on it with ya!

  14. #14
    shimeon40
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    oh shit..sorry..can see you put alot of thought into this pick..all i'm saying i hope your right and all your hard work pays off later.

  15. #15
    You mad bro
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    Quote Originally Posted by shimeon40 View Post
    Look I can laugh to

    Feel so special

  16. #16
    shimeon40
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    You are "special" mad bro..your unique.

  17. #17
    Brock Landers
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    Fuk the Mets, that team is complete garbage, they really are a disgrace

  18. #18
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Fuk the Mets, that team is complete garbage, they really are a disgrace
    Spot play Brock, it's a spot play my man.

  19. #19
    Big Bear
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    Dude u might as well burn your money if your going to bet on the Mets.

    Mets can't score. They will be lucky to put up 2 runs.

  20. #20
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Dude u might as well burn your money if your going to bet on the Mets.

    Mets can't score. They will be lucky to put up 2 runs.
    Fade me, it's all good.

  21. #21
    shimeon40
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    should i take the mets..they were pathetic yesterday..dad picked them and they didn't give a yelp...mets just might lose 2 in a row..did u see a spark there yesterday steve?..anything that makes u feel they can turn it around in a day..not talking stats..a spark ...something yesterday.

  22. #22
    ridims
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    Fuk the Mets, that team is complete garbage, they really are a disgrace
    pounding mets now. thanks brock

  23. #23
    ridims
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Dude u might as well burn your money if your going to bet on the Mets.

    Mets can't score. They will be lucky to put up 2 runs.
    bookies love you.

    thanks steve, i'm with you.

  24. #24
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by shimeon40 View Post
    should i take the mets..they were pathetic yesterday..dad picked them and they didn't give a yelp...mets just might lose 2 in a row..did u see a spark there yesterday steve?..anything that makes u feel they can turn it around in a day..not talking stats..a spark ...something yesterday.
    How many times have you seen a team score 13 runs on a Friday, 9 on a Saturday, you bet them up on a Sunday, just to see the team you backed lose 7-1.

    How many times have you seen a team lose 5-0 on Friday, then lose 9-2 on a Saturday, you fade that team on Sunday, just to see you get burned 11-4?

    This is a spot play, I look for live dogs in spots that have value, the Mets have a live arm going for them tonight, with hitters that have hit the opposing pitcher before. I've said it earlier, I'll say it again, this is a team managed by a manager that won't let them lay down, because he'll put his size ten up their collective asses.

    If the Mets go down, so be it, but the team I'm backing will put out an effort tonight.

  25. #25
    shimeon40
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    thats all we ask...effort!

  26. #26
    pattymayo
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    Haven't you guys figured out baseball yet??

    What happened yesterday or the day before that has zero bearing on what happens in the next days game.

    I'm on mets too... Only problem with Harvey is he's been a bit wild , walking a lot of guys . But Homer is nothing special , if Mets are to hit tonigt is the night

  27. #27
    R.P. McMurphy
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    On the Muts with ya Nash and nice write -up. Spot plays boys.... nobody except myself and a few others probably thought the Muts would beat the Braves Sunday and what happened

  28. #28
    SteelRain
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    Good Luck

    I took the Mets and As in a parlay for +248

  29. #29
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by SteelRain View Post
    Good Luck

    I took the Mets and As in a parlay for +248
    Thank you sir.

  30. #30
    konck
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    Im a Mets fan I watch the guys go thru the minor league system. Watched Harvey AA and AAA coming up each time he was a slow stater so it surprised me he won his first game. Here's what I think about the kid...great stuff of course but in SD he got shell shocked right away 1st inning they tagged him. Watching him that game reminded me of watching Pelfrey, he was lost Harvey seemed dazed. Then last game he gets tagged for an HR 1st ininng again but this time he battles he doesnt go strange. I think the kids going to be a good 3 or 4 man in the rotation. I have been watching Wheeler they kept him to long in AA he lost interest moved him up to Buff had the usual adjustments but seems like his sinking FB is the real deal he has a wider range of pitches than Harvey but Harvey's duece is better. Met have 3 guys in Advanced A ball that throw 95 to over 100 Tapia breaks triple digits Montero maybe be the best of the 3 with his combo of pitches (he has been shut down for the season on pitch limit) Fulmer is a nice future Met also.
    Going with ya on Harvey tonight I bet him last game also.
    Last edited by konck; 08-16-12 at 04:54 PM.

  31. #31
    konck
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    Nice thing about living in Florida I get to watch some of the kids coming up.

  32. #32
    2daBank
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    like muts myself but havnt played yet, debating between 1st 5 or gm? kinda like the idea of taking mets pen out of the equation..

  33. #33
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by konck View Post
    Nice thing about living in Florida I get to watch some of the kids coming up.
    Hardly a Mets fan, I'm a baseball fan first, Yankees fan second, not the other way around, Mets have some pieces, and minor league system is good. I like Thole for some reason, I just do, Valderspin rubs me the wrong way, but he's got hustle........
    Love Collins as your skipper.

    I'm in Fairfield Ct, I watched Harvey pitch HS out of New London Ct (Fitch HS) when he was striking out every Connecticut hot shot batter, where he was the talk of the state. Used to watch Charlie Morton out of Redding HS Ct. here too.

    Harvey was a good kid in HS, good head.

  34. #34
    Mantle7
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    I watched the Mets game yesterday and it just seems they have zero confidence in their bats. David Wright was just hacking at sliders in the dirt that weren't even close. Ad then you got the pen... Then again sometimes the best plays are "gut" plays though. I'm gonna take the Under. BOL. I would actually like to see the Mets win.

  35. #35
    briedward
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    I would love to tail Steve, but unfortunately I can't get my bet placed at the moment. BOL.

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