1. 08-02-12 10:36 AM #1
    frogsrangers
    Zackary > Angelito
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    Is there any way the Reds don't win today?

    I am not seeing it

    Going to make a sizable wager on the Reds -1.
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  2. 08-02-12 10:43 AM #2
    Chi_archie
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    its baseball

    the best teams lose 30-40% of the time

    the worst teams win 35-405 of the time

    but yeah reds lose this 31.23% of time
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  3. 08-02-12 10:47 AM #3
    hubie69
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    Seems like a majority of SBR is jumping on this, so entirely plausible they lose.
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  4. 08-02-12 10:53 AM #4
    riffraff24
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    its baseball

    the best teams lose 30-40% of the time

    the worst teams win 35-405 of the time

    but yeah reds lose this 31.23% of time
    How did you calculate this?
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  5. 08-02-12 10:56 AM #5
    jayc88
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    i will try to get back to even today with reds ml
    should be easy , 5 u on cueto
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  6. 08-02-12 10:57 AM #6
    ronzer
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    Quote Originally Posted by hubie69 View Post
    Seems like a majority of SBR is jumping on this, so entirely plausible they lose.
    i dunno seeing alot of people taking SD
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  7. 08-02-12 10:57 AM #7
    Jeff Grant
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    Cueto's 8-0 record and 1.36 ERA in 10 daytime starts is hard to ignore, but he's also 8-13 combined during the months of August/September in his career
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  8. 08-02-12 10:58 AM #8
    ronzer
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    I really want to jump on the reds big, but somethings not letting me pull the trigger yet.
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  9. 08-02-12 10:59 AM #9
    sportsguy04
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    Did you see our lineup?
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  10. 08-02-12 11:00 AM #10
    pattymayo
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    Paul LF, Stubbs CF, Bruce RF, Rolen 3B, Frazier 1B, Cozart SS, Cairo 2B, Hanigan C, (Cueto P)

    Not that much punch there...
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  11. 08-02-12 11:02 AM #11
    k22t
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    On the Padres for a good amount.. GL! http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-b...ays-today.html
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  12. 08-02-12 11:03 AM #12
    iifold
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    I would take a look at some of the Padres Hitters #'s off Cueto before I layed that much juice...
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  13. 08-02-12 11:04 AM #13
    ngates815
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    Quote Originally Posted by ronzer View Post
    I really want to jump on the reds big, but somethings not letting me pull the trigger yet.

    Probably your brain telling you that alot of people saying reds will win on SBR.
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  14. 08-02-12 11:09 AM #14
    zoo youk
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    Quote Originally Posted by pattymayo View Post
    Paul LF, Stubbs CF, Bruce RF, Rolen 3B, Frazier 1B, Cozart SS, Cairo 2B, Hanigan C, (Cueto P)

    Not that much punch there...
    basically same thing as last night and they hung a 7 spot
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  15. 08-02-12 11:14 AM #15
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by zoo youk View Post
    basically same thing as last night and they hung a 7 spot
    Ya...but Ludwick has been the hottest hitter in baseball - not in the lineup today
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  16. 08-02-12 11:14 AM #16
    ngates815
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    Quote Originally Posted by zoo youk View Post
    basically same thing as last night and they hung a 7 spot


    Ludwick was 3-4 last night with 4 RBI's...
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  17. 08-02-12 11:24 AM #17
    ronzer
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    maybe under's the play
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  18. 08-02-12 11:28 AM #18
    travisgraves10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    its baseball

    the best teams lose 30-40% of the time

    the worst teams win 35-405 of the time

    but yeah reds lose this 31.23% of time

    I can't speak for certain, but I believe he's doing simple odds math. Or what the books believe the odds% is. a -200 favorite is expected to win 67% of the time, I'm not doing the math for it but I'd assume the reds at -220 or whatever they are right now would be around 70% to break even if this bet was played multiple times. Just my guess as to what he's doing
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  19. 08-02-12 11:30 AM #19
    thirtytwo
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    a lot of automatic outs in padre lineup today, Maybin Amarista and Forsythe is 5 for 47 last 7 days combined... plus they have some random minor league body at catcher

    including pitcher, thats 5 of 9 barely capable bats
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  20. 08-02-12 11:30 AM #20
    oiler
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    price is way to high
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  21. 08-02-12 11:51 AM #21
    balls2wall
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    Quote Originally Posted by travisgraves10 View Post
    I can't speak for certain, but I believe he's doing simple odds math. Or what the books believe the odds% is. a -200 favorite is expected to win 67% of the time, I'm not doing the math for it but I'd assume the reds at -220 or whatever they are right now would be around 70% to break even if this bet was played multiple times. Just my guess as to what he's doing

    you are giving him a lot of credit there

    I say he just pulled a number out of his ass
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  22. 08-02-12 11:53 AM #22
    kramerthekid
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    Cueto looks to be on fire today
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  23. 08-02-12 11:57 AM #23
    Regul8er
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    It's baseball, so yes, there is a way they dont win today.
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  24. 08-02-12 11:59 AM #24
    BigDeem5
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    I'm on em 10U-5U and 4U- 4u on run line
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  25. 08-02-12 12:00 PM #25
    LT Profits
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    Based on pinny no-vig close, Reds lose 34.1% of the time. I got a bad number with Padres +182.
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  26. 08-02-12 12:00 PM #26
    Regul8er
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    Although it is 2-0 Reds early.
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  27. 08-02-12 12:05 PM #27
    thirtytwo
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    terrible park and terrible lineup to face for soft tosser like ohlendorf
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  28. 08-02-12 12:19 PM #28
    easyliving
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    on REDS RL big
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  29. 08-02-12 12:20 PM #29
    jayc88
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    that was easy

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  30. 08-02-12 12:21 PM #30
    pattymayo
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    Good God how many pitches has Olendorf threw this inning?
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  31. 08-02-12 12:28 PM #31
    hubie69
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    And he gets yanked. Tough break on the bad number LT
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  32. 08-02-12 12:49 PM #32
    LT Profits
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    Actually I have a pulse, 6-3. But yeah, bad number nonetheless. Happens.
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  33. 08-02-12 12:50 PM #33
    frogsrangers
    Zackary > Angelito
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    At least they are going to make it interesting
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  34. 08-02-12 12:54 PM #34
    frogsrangers
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    A 6-0 lead isn't safe these days I guess
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  35. 08-02-12 12:56 PM #35
    The Bet Master
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    Not when it's only the 3rd inning it's not.
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