1. #1
    zoo youk
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    seriously how does the Reds game NOT go OVER and why is the total only 9.

    every game in this series has flew over the total and I don't see why it is going to stop now. Kip Wells is going for SD who is due to absolutely blow up and will get crushed in this ball park. his xERA is 5.17, almost a full 2 points higher than his smoke and mirros 3. something ERA. the guy is a time bomb. Arroyo has been slipping lately with a ERA above 4 in his last 3 starts and the Padres are actually putting up a lot of runs. the line is throwing me off though.

    maybe the Reds TT would be the better play?

  2. #2
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by zoo youk View Post
    every game in this series has flew over the total and I don't see why it is going to stop now. Kip Wells is going for SD who is due to absolutely blow up and will get crushed in this ball park. his xERA is 5.17, almost a full 2 points higher than his smoke and mirros 3. something ERA. the guy is a time bomb. Arroyo has been slipping lately with a ERA above 4 in his last 3 starts and the Padres are actually putting up a lot of runs. the line is throwing me off though.

    maybe the Reds TT would be the better play?
    No Phillips, no Votto will keep that line in check Youker. I agree with your assessment though and bought both of those this morning.

  3. #3
    Chi_archie
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    Wells does suck

  4. #4
    CarpeDime
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    also dont forget cincy has a sick pen

    ff over might be better

  5. #5
    BIGDAY
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    Losher, your avatar turns me on. I plan on working out while at the bash... Will you spot me?????

  6. #6
    Chi_archie
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    Good point carper

  7. #7
    zoo youk
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    No Phillips, no Votto will keep that line in check Youker. I agree with your assessment though and bought both of those this morning.
    they have been on a tear without Votto anyway. ehh Phillips than can do without, Drew Stubbs is absolutely locked in right now. I agree with someone who mentioned the Reds bullpen. Plus Arroyo might be too crafty for the young Pads.

    TT it is.

  8. #8
    Smoke
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    The total is only 9 because they want all the degenerates to bet the OVER

  9. #9
    ttwarrior1
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    b phillips is out and 2 or 3 other normal starters are out as well for both teams
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 11/21/2022

    175 pts

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  10. #10
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by CarpeDime View Post
    also dont forget cincy has a sick pen

    ff over might be better
    Carper I did better than 9 here beat the steam on the game total. Will probably beat the close on the TT as well. Good point though, if I had a choice between o9 at plus money and o5 for 5 at plus, I would definitely take the FF.

    Pending Bets
    TICKET ACCEPTED EVENT DATE TYPE DESCRIPTION RISKING TO WIN BET STATUS
    257222702-1

    1
    7:47am 1-Aug-12 4:10pm 1-Aug-12 Baseball
    Total
    San Diego Padres/Cincinnati Reds (O 8.5) for Game. -113 Pending
    MLB (K. Wells must start / B. Arroyo must start)
    257225274-1

    2
    8:08am 1-Aug-12 4:10pm 1-Aug-12 Baseball
    Team Total
    Cincinnati Reds (O 4.5) for Game. -119 Pending

  11. #11
    Reload
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    I'm with the OVER also here. Should be some octane on both sides.

  12. #12

  13. #13
    zoo youk
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    really doesn't matter though. Houston could light up Kip Wells in the Reds ball park.

  14. #14

  15. #15

  16. #16
    Doughboy22
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    Im gonna roll with u guys

  17. #17
    billysink
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    Light breeze right now 7 mph from third base to right field foul line. Conditons will hold steady with a slight diminish in speed as the game continues. A little help for the 7 lefthanded hitters the Padres will use tonight

  18. #18
    CHR1S
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    These two pitchers had a matchup earlier in the year at petco it was only 6-0 CIN

  19. #19
    billysink
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    A sprinkling on the Padres alternate run line as well @ +257

  20. #20
    CarpeDime
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  21. #21
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by CarpeDime View Post
    hmm no carlos quentin, no Yabundhi Grandal
    Grandal is out and on 15 day DL

    Quentin out for rest. Kotsay in. Quentin with no history against Arroyo, no hits in 4 AB. I will take Kotsay a lefthanded stick there who has a career .OPS at an unheard of 1.048 against Arroyo in 28 AB's

    Positive change here Carper.
    .

  22. #22
    CarpeDime
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    Grandal is out and on 15 day DL

    Quentin out for rest. Kotsay in. Quentin with no history against Arroyo, no hits in 4 AB. I will take Kotsay a lefthanded stick there who has a career .OPS at an unheard of 1.048 against Arroyo in 28 AB's

    Positive change here Carper.
    .

    yeah i hear you, i have liked seeing those guys in there when betting on sd or overs recently, but more just making the observation

    still though lets not go nuts with fukin kotsay just because of something coming from a 28 AB sample size, hommie was born in fukin 75 and was never exactly barry bonds but still i hear you
    Last edited by CarpeDime; 08-01-12 at 05:56 PM.

  23. #23
    zoo youk
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    Quote Originally Posted by CHR1S View Post
    These two pitchers had a matchup earlier in the year at petco it was only 6-0 CIN
    thats a pretty big score for PETCO

    haha

  24. #24
    zoo youk
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    anyway...i've totally backed off the over. Bronson might be too crafty for these young cats

    staying with tt over 4.5

    Kip Wells

  25. #25
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by CarpeDime View Post
    yeah i hear you, i have liked seeing those guys in there when betting on sd or overs recently, but more just making the observation

    still though lets not go nuts with fukin kotsay just because of something coming from a 28 AB sample size, hommie was born in fukin 75 and was never exactly barry bonds but still i hear you
    Just showing value Carper. Lots would just look at Quentin and Grandal out and right the Pads off. Not going nuts just a 1 unit play on each total. Halfer on the RRL. 28 AB is a medium sized sample and enough to use in a prediction.

    Good Luck with whatever you have.

  26. #26
    CHR1S
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    They didnt score off Kip either. It was their bullpen that did the damage in the last few innings

  27. #27
    Madison
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    Quote Originally Posted by zoo youk View Post
    every game in this series has flew over the total and I don't see why it is going to stop now. Kip Wells is going for SD who is due to absolutely blow up and will get crushed in this ball park. his xERA is 5.17, almost a full 2 points higher than his smoke and mirros 3. something ERA. the guy is a time bomb. Arroyo has been slipping lately with a ERA above 4 in his last 3 starts and the Padres are actually putting up a lot of runs. the line is throwing me off though.

    maybe the Reds TT would be the better play?
    I must be looking at different numbers as I have Arroyo 9 runs in his last 35 inn with 5 runs in one of the 5 starts. 4 total in the other 2. I'm one of the first guys to jump on Arroyo if/when he regresses but ...

  28. #28
    zoo youk
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    Im happy theres all these runs already but dusty baker drives me insane. Kip wells cant throw a strike if his life depended on it and he goes and gives stubbs the steal sign and he gets caught. How can u be so stupid to send a runner when the guy cant find the plate and is handing u free bases. I only mention it cause ive seen him do this multiple times. Thankfully this time it didnt kill the inning. Granted we could have another run on the board

  29. #29
    Pauulzcappin
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    I feel like a fukking sucker for not taking Reds TT over like I planned all afternoon.

  30. #30
    CarpeDime
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    Just showing value Carper. Lots would just look at Quentin and Grandal out and right the Pads off. Not going nuts just a 1 unit play on each total. Halfer on the RRL. 28 AB is a medium sized sample and enough to use in a prediction.

    Good Luck with whatever you have.
    thanks pal cashed bay-BEE

  31. #31
    zoo youk
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    Wells is being what u call effectively wild. Guy has thrown more balls than strikes

  32. #32
    zoo youk
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    Let's go Rolen, cash this!

  33. #33
    Doughboy22
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    Over is at least a push. Gl zoo u need cinci to get it right here so u can shut this shit game off

  34. #34
    zoo youk
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    Bangggggggggggggggg

  35. #35
    flipside2469
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    One more run! !!

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