1. #1
    TheCentaur
    TheCentaur's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-28-11
    Posts: 8,108
    Betpoints: 68

    Some anomalies I've noticed about sportsbetting

    A neutral crowd at a sporting event will pull for the underdog (Olympics, NCAA bk tourney), but the betting public will tend to bet the favorite.

    A casino takes a lot of action on, in fact depends on gamblers betting the longshot. They make tons of money on people betting the eleven at craps, trying to get dealt a royal at let it ride, or looking to hit a jackpot on a slot machine.
    Sportsbettors however almost never bet a single straight bet getting 50 or 100 to 1. If there is a longshot sportsbettors usually are laying the chalk to make a seemingly sure score or as part of some combination of huge favorites in a parlay, the total opposite of what goes on in a casino.

    Would you agree with this? Any explanation you can think of?

  2. #2
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    There is skill involved yes

  3. #3
    tb1984
    tb1984's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-08
    Posts: 3,112
    Betpoints: 1083

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCentaur View Post
    A neutral crowd at a sporting event will pull for the underdog (Olympics, NCAA bk tourney), but the betting public will tend to bet the favorite.

    A casino takes a lot of action on, in fact depends on gamblers betting the longshot. They make tons of money on people betting the eleven at craps, trying to get dealt a royal at let it ride, or looking to hit a jackpot on a slot machine.
    Sportsbettors however almost never bet a single straight bet getting 50 or 100 to 1. If there is a longshot sportsbettors usually are laying the chalk to make a seemingly sure score or as part of some combination of huge favorites in a parlay, the total opposite of what goes on in a casino.

    Would you agree with this? Any explanation you can think of?
    My two cents

    About the neutral crowd, If they don't have any money in it, of course they pull for underdogs to make games entertaining. They don't want one-way games, also why would they root for the "bad guys"? The betting public want sure-winning bets, so they go with favorites.

    At casino, most of people bet long shots with 1 or 2 dollars, max is probably 10 dollars. You rarely see people bet $50 or $100 on 11 at craps or being dealt Royal Flush. Same thing in sportsbetting, people do take long shots with small amount of money. You see people in this forum bet $10 on parlays that pay 100:1 or 200:1

  4. #4
    TheCentaur
    TheCentaur's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-28-11
    Posts: 8,108
    Betpoints: 68

    Quote Originally Posted by tb1984 View Post
    My two cents

    About the neutral crowd, If they don't have any money in it, of course they pull for underdogs to make games entertaining. They don't want one-way games, also why would they root for the "bad guys"? The betting public want sure-winning bets, so they go with favorites.

    At casino, most of people bet long shots with 1 or 2 dollars, max is probably 10 dollars. You rarely see people bet $50 or $100 on 11 at craps or being dealt Royal Flush. Same thing in sportsbetting, people do take long shots with small amount of money. You see people in this forum bet $10 on parlays that pay 100:1 or 200:1
    Ok good point about the bet size with longshots. But with the neutral crowd thing, the public bets the favorite against the spread, not moneyline, so its not about the win percentage

  5. #5
    tb1984
    tb1984's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-08
    Posts: 3,112
    Betpoints: 1083

    Quote Originally Posted by TheCentaur View Post
    Ok good point about the bet size with longshots. But with the neutral crowd thing, the public bets the favorite against the spread, not moneyline, so its not about the win percentage
    Even you're talking about spread, it would be still the same mentality. For people that don't do any handicapping, they want to put their money in better teams. Of course, not all of public bet favorite.
    Last edited by tb1984; 07-26-12 at 09:16 PM.

  6. #6
    tb1984
    tb1984's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-08
    Posts: 3,112
    Betpoints: 1083

    Also, in your neutral crowd example, I think you compare two different things. One is for entertainment, the other is mainly for money.
    Last edited by tb1984; 07-26-12 at 09:47 PM.

Top