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Being a mathematical genius and figuring out a real workable betting system that works makes one sharp.
Still need to be reasonably disciplined and even the sharpies get taken for ride in that department if they lack control. Most of us are guilty of this. Fine line between being compulsive and losing and or detached and winning.Comment -
Sharp bettor>
A sports investor who is among us but is never seen or heard from........
They have the same mystic abstruse as
Bigfoot, Loch Ness Monster and the 1% of the 1%............Comment -
Math the common theme hereComment -
You will not beat betting into -110 long term almost impossibleComment -
The way it's used makes me think it means someone who earns money making betsComment -
MMA props and player props in most major sports you can make money on consistently if you know what you are doing and what to look for.. I can swear by that.. MMA prop play has been absolutely golden for me over the past 10 years. Boxing props can work also. Follow the fighter strengths and trends. You can even hedge both ways to each fighters strengths in one fight if the prop odds are good enough and win money that way also..
I don't wanna hear you can't make money betting sports, that's a load of crap guys. Find your angle and system that works. It's very possible with proper discipline...Last edited by JIBBBY; 01-07-19, 09:33 PM.Comment -
keep it simple is key. Square, sharp, smart money lol those are meaning less term. Goal is to bet smart , volume and only guys that wager a few games , or spot bettors is hocus pocus to if you understand the power of basic % numbers, and money management there lies the key.
A monkey can win 50% throwing darts this theory was actually proven in a study where a monkey threw 10 darts at the stock market page on the wall 5 went up 5 went down. So how does one profit from this? just look to league trends and take the middle ranked teams against middle ranked teams or bottom teams against bottom teams where you get points or plus money, you will win out over the long haul. Look at mlb and hockey you will be hard pressed to find a 13%-17% win rate% if you look at the top 5 teams wins vs bottom 5 teams avg.
From there its a learning curve and making models, seeking value ect ect. A great way to start is looking at every +line for the day in all the sports you invest in normally that means in hoops college or nba 5 point spreads or less , totals everything and seek bias info based on facts not fantasy and you should have no problem keeping head above water, and the more water that is tread the more knowledge comes.Comment -
Great post guys
Are screen watchers sharp?Comment -
Depends on what you are watching on the screen.
Not sure you could be sharp, square, or anything if you don't know the line.Comment -
Thank You guys
Picking the brains here of some sharpsComment -
Those who bet Clemson ML at >+200Comment -
jj, get me roids and i'll fukkin show youComment -
beats the opening line, it's pretty clearly defined josiah jamesComment -
my question is if there are so many sharp players here and of course must be tons that hide in the bushes, how do the books stay open, most rec bettors I know bet a few hundred bucks a week and nothing near consistently. I just dont get it and if "the forum" can win why cant Pinnacle just do the same thing? if Everyone knew (in theory) that Clemson was way better and would win by 30 why cant Pinnacle know that, why take bets that they know(same as the forum sharps know) will lose more times than less. If I actually knew a team was gonna lose with any sort of certainty I would not take bets on it, would you?
I guess it could be kinda like the wholesaler world, why sell an iphone for 600 bucks when everyone else sells them for 1000. Different businesses do different things but I still have that question though, it just dont add up if so many people easily pick winners!Comment -
Good grief
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Regal your sharp as a bowling ballComment -
jj i'll spilt you like a 7-10Comment -
jj i still got guns, what you hthink i sold em all?
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I don't bet openers for two reasons really
1 if you are off modeling and bet an opener you can end up really way off
2 opening lines tend to have low limits and I only bet on a few books so I really dont have the ability bet all over the place
if you place a bet at -120 and it closes at -265 that could be assumed to be very sharp, of course it would take a huge margin to overcome that, some niche things like Nascar can have some high margins and lack of efficiency, but reality I do not know shit about Nascar or Nascar betting and could not tell you the efficiency or anything else about it for that matter.Comment -
well you should, cause it's penetrating amazing
i look like i should be a gq model and nascar is my fav thing on earth \*\*\*\*\*\*Comment -
I went a nascar race and it reminded me of watching traffic on the interstate. I will pass on that and as far as betting, I cant even figure out how to model the big 3 besides a new venture into Nascar but thanks for the invite!
I would say if you are betting an avg line of -120 and it on avg is closing at -265, I am very sure you love Nascar and probably own 2 teams by now with that kind of line value, maybe more not sure what they are worth but 120 to 265 is richville for sureComment -
i can tell you thihnik im talking shit, i only live in reality
follow alongComment -
i have 20 inch blades on the impala ffsComment -
A guy who always posts on SBR after his 4-1 days, and is nowhere to be found after his 1-4 days.Comment -
I can get every closing # on the Win odds from past few years, but will have to dig in my notebooks to find openers and what I got each of my plays at...and there are wild differences depending on the book for nascar..its just a totally different animal odds wise...and you cant really just play #s either, you have to know the sport and know it very well to be successful...and still not easy!
takes a ton of time for me each week to prepare
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