The public got eaten by the sharks once again, haha. Protip: when everyone and their mother bets on the dog, don't bet on the dog.
Comment
franz555
SBR Posting Legend
11-13-14
10744
#54
Originally posted by Gaze73
The public got eaten by the sharks once again, haha. Protip: when everyone and their mother bets on the dog, don't bet on the dog.
Again
The money was heavy on City all day long
Comment
Gaze73
SBR MVP
01-27-14
3291
#55
Originally posted by franz555
Again
The money was heavy on City all day long
There's a difference between money and tickets. Most people bet on Liverpool, because hey, they are undefeated and +300 looks like value. I said City had 60% to win and that's what happened.
Comment
franz555
SBR Posting Legend
11-13-14
10744
#56
Originally posted by Gaze73
There's a difference between money and tickets. Most people bet on Liverpool, because hey, they are undefeated and +300 looks like value. I said City had 60% to win and that's what happened.
WRONG
Check the #'s
You talk about an imaginary # of tickets being wagered on Liverpool while the line backs up .30 points today alone.
That's the FACT. Even LB knows that
Comment
Gaze73
SBR MVP
01-27-14
3291
#57
Originally posted by franz555
WRONG
Check the #'s
You talk about an imaginary # of tickets being wagered on Liverpool while the line backs up .30 points today alone.
That's the FACT. Even LB knows that
Well I don't know where you get your numbers from but a lot of people were all over X2 today. My bookie has a chat room and I've been telling people liverpool is a trap but they went big on it anyway. I've seen many dogs like Liverpool and it's always the same story, they win like 15% of the time.
Comment
franz555
SBR Posting Legend
11-13-14
10744
#58
Originally posted by Gaze73
Well I don't know where you get your numbers from but a lot of people were all over X2 today. My bookie has a chat room and I've been telling people liverpool is a trap but they went big on it anyway. I've seen many dogs like Liverpool and it's always the same story, they win like 15% of the time.
And even though all these people were betting Liverpool , inspite of all your excellent advice , the line got hammered back on Liverpool in the range of .30 to .35 points. Sounds like you know what your talking about. I don't know anyone who " went big on Liverpool " at over 4 to 1 odds. You are truly a gambling anomaly, defying all logic and reason.
Comment
Gaze73
SBR MVP
01-27-14
3291
#59
Originally posted by franz555
And even though all these people were betting Liverpool , inspite of all your excellent advice , the line got hammered back on Liverpool in the range of .30 to .35 points. Sounds like you know what your talking about. I don't know anyone who " went big on Liverpool " at over 4 to 1 odds. You are truly a gambling anomaly, defying all logic and reason.
Opening odds for City was 1.88, when I posted my 60% prediction it was 1.98, closing line was 2.00. My take is that people just read "Liverpool is unbeaten in 21 games in premier league" and bet X2 for that reason, and that's why the line moved in Liverpool's favor. But do you think bookies are that stupid to not see the same unbeaten trend? There was no "crazy value" to be had at Liverpool here, because it was a trap all along.
Comment
franz555
SBR Posting Legend
11-13-14
10744
#60
Originally posted by Gaze73
Opening odds for City was 1.88, when I posted my 60% prediction it was 1.98, closing line was 2.00. My take is that people just read "Liverpool is unbeaten in 21 games in premier league" and bet X2 for that reason, and that's why the line moved in Liverpool's favor. But do you think bookies are that stupid to not see the same unbeaten trend? There was no "crazy value" to be had at Liverpool here, because it was a trap all along.
That makes zero sense. The line , and value , on Liverpool moved 30 to 35 points as Man City was bet down ( as you even suggested ) and you call it a trap.
It was a great game played by #1 and #2 at City's home field, and it could have easily been 3 - 2 Pool. Had Liverpool drawn or won, you wouldn't have been back here making all these ludicrous assertions. Fact
Comment
Gaze73
SBR MVP
01-27-14
3291
#61
Coulda shoulda woulda, I knew pool was a bad play, Lakerboy knew it too, and you got burned. I keep track of many micro and nano trends and Manchester city was part of a 10-0 trend on home favs above 1.9 odds, today it went to 11-0. Coincidence? I think not.
Comment
franz555
SBR Posting Legend
11-13-14
10744
#62
Originally posted by Gaze73
Coulda shoulda woulda, I knew pool was a bad play, Lakerboy knew it too, and you got burned. I keep track of many micro and nano trends and Manchester city was part of a 10-0 trend on home favs above 1.9 odds, today it went to 11-0. Coincidence? I think not.
LMAO
I missed all your pre game wager posts. I definitely caught LB's Man City or tie chatter. An actual posted wager from either of you has yet to be seen.
I'm a Pool fan so I put $200 on DNB @ 2.77. Got burned ? Hardly
The only difference between the 3 of us is that I posted an actual wager with my price and wager amount 1 full day before kickoff. Real men do that. Only a sad attention seeking loser comes in to make false claims after the game is complete. I have ZERO doubt that you would have never returned to this thread if Pool won or drew.
Aligning yourself with LB makes perfect sense tho.....a familiar trend arises....
Coincidence ? I think not
Comment
Gaze73
SBR MVP
01-27-14
3291
#63
Originally posted by franz555
LMAO
I missed all your pre game wager posts. I definitely caught LB's Man City or tie chatter. An actual posted wager from either of you has yet to be seen. I'm a Pool fan so I put $200 on DNB @ 2.77. Got burned ? Hardly
The only difference between the 3 of us is that I posted an actual wager with my price and wager amount 1 full day before kickoff. Real men do that. Only a sad attention seeking loser comes in to make false claims after the game is complete. I have ZERO doubt that you would have never returned to this thread if Pool won or drew.
Aligning yourself with LB makes perfect sense tho.....a familiar trend arises....
Coincidence ? I think not
Go back to the first page, there's my prediction. You made a bet because you're a fan? Good for you, but that's not how money is made.
Comment
franz555
SBR Posting Legend
11-13-14
10744
#64
Originally posted by Gaze73
Go back to the first page, there's my prediction. You made a bet because you're a fan? Good for you, but that's not how money is made.
I made a wager on DNB @ 2.77 for small because , as the headline of this thread suggested , it was worth a punt at such a juicy price. Based on the way that the game played out , I would make that bet again and again. You made no predictions or actual wagers HERE or ANYWHERE.
Your Post...….
Exactly, this guy gets it. If Liverpool is so much better why are they a +300 dog? Imo the real 1X2 odds are 60% 25% 15%.
Comment
Gaze73
SBR MVP
01-27-14
3291
#65
Well since you're so thick I'm gonna spell it out for you. 60% at 1.98 = 19% roi for betting on the favorite. Your "juicy price" was not juicy at all, because it was a terrible bet.
Comment
franz555
SBR Posting Legend
11-13-14
10744
#66
Originally posted by Gaze73
Well since you're so thick I'm gonna spell it out for you. 60% at 1.98 = 19% roi for betting on the favorite. Your "juicy price" was not juicy at all, because it was a terrible bet.
I understand exactly how odds work
You stated you made an actual prediction and wager here. That sure as fukk is neither. You can call me whatever name you like but it wont change the FACTS. Everyone and anyone can clearly see that. Anytime you feel like being a man and posting an actual wager prior to kickoff or even live, we will all be waiting anxiously...…
So far its just a lot of Blah Blah Blah...…
Clearly no wager or prediction here in this thread
Comment
Gaze73
SBR MVP
01-27-14
3291
#67
I told you exact percentages, you can't get a clearer prediction than that. You're probably so square you can't even create your own lines.
Your Liverpool bet was a part of this bunch, so keep on believing it was good value.
Comment
franz555
SBR Posting Legend
11-13-14
10744
#68
I made money today. We know this because I posted actual wagers and keep track. You ?
Nuff said
Done
Comment
Gaze73
SBR MVP
01-27-14
3291
#69
Maybe you made money today but I'm pretty sure you're losing at soccer long term.
Comment
franz555
SBR Posting Legend
11-13-14
10744
#70
Originally posted by Gaze73
Maybe you made money today but I'm pretty sure you're losing at soccer long term.
And you would be mistaken.
My POSTED plays the past 11 years has me up over $32k
Again , i dont trash other peoples wagers because its classless. Its even worse to see someone judge anothers wagers when they dont put themselves on a level playing field. Post plays , keep track and let the results speak for you. Then you can remove words like " pretty sure " from the equation.