Originally Posted by
frogsrangers
San Antonio and Connecticut were winners, Chicago Sky was a loser, but had I factored in Sky was missing its best player I would have taken it off
If a team's actual line is -5.5 and my model says the line should be -9.7, that means that -5.5 is a bargain. Likewise if an actual line is +10 but my model says the team should only be +5, thats a bargain too.
A model like this can't pick winners or losers. It is just another set of data, another tool to help make a pick. It won't make you a winner, it all depends on how you interpret the data and what you do with it.