1. 07-06-12 11:25 AM #1
    stevenash
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    Do what you want with this data

    I'm laying the -137 and backing Gallardo.

    Those who scoff at the past history of pitchers versus hitters (and I know who you are) are going to ignore it.
    I believe in this data, pass, tail or fade.



    J.A. Happ: From 2007 to 2012, Facing current players for Milwaukee Brewers,
    PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA ▾ OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GDP missG
    Norichika Aoki 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 .667 .667 1.000 1.667 0 0 0 0 0
    Rickie Weeks 13 11 6 2 0 1 1 2 4 .545 .615 1.000 1.615 0 0 0 0 0
    Nyjer Morgan 6 4 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    Travis Ishikawa 2 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 .500 .500 2.000 2.500 0 0 0 0 0
    Corey Hart 22 18 8 4 0 1 2 4 2 .444 .545 .833 1.379 0 0 0 0 0
    Cesar Izturis 6 5 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    Yovani Gallardo 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 .333 .333 .667 1.000 1 0 0 0 0
    Ryan Braun 22 20 6 1 0 2 5 2 6 .300 .364 .650 1.014 0 0 0 0 0
    Aramis Ramirez 9 7 2 1 0 1 4 2 0 .286 .444 .857 1.302 0 0 0 0 0
    Carlos Gomez 10 9 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 .222 .300 .222 .522 0 0 0 0 0
    George Kottaras 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    Manny Parra 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Randy Wolf 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Total 103 86 32 10 0 6 14 16 17 .372 .471 .698 1.168 1 0 0 0 0

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  2. 07-06-12 11:39 AM #2
    ParlayininHTown
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    Steve, you're not worried that the Brewer bullpen could sabotage this bet? I saw a lot of disgruntled posters venting about Milwaukee's pen during the Miami series.

    Good luck. The Astros look like they've already checked out for the All-Star break from what I've seen in the last week. The play looks solid.
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  3. 07-06-12 11:40 AM #3
    stevenash
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    ^
    Gallardo won't need bull pen help tonight.
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  4. 07-06-12 11:42 AM #4
    jjgold
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    Nashy this could be an easy winner

    Running data now
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  5. 07-06-12 11:44 AM #5
    stevenash
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    Brew bats should light up Happ like the 4th of July the other night over the Long Island Sound, I can't see Houston getting more than 6 hits.
    Maybe Altuive will get a couple of scratch singles, but if Gallardo is just decent tonight, Brews should cruise.
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  6. 07-06-12 11:50 AM #6
    Smoke
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    Stevie thanks


    Stevie call me the 360 line when u get a chance
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  7. 07-06-12 12:12 PM #7
    ebbearsfb1
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    No ones calling u.. put my monthly deposit on this play.. nash I know where your fairfield stag tickets are.. don't bury me
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  8. 07-06-12 12:16 PM #8
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1 View Post
    nash I know where your fairfield stag tickets are..
    Free throw line extended, back about 18 rows at Webster Bank Arena in Bridgeport Ct., I'm the one with the goatee and glasses.
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  9. 07-06-12 12:56 PM #9
    Inkwell77
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    Following here. Let's go!
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  10. 07-06-12 02:03 PM #10
    BennyFang
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    Throw in that it's Stros first game back after getting home late last night. Brewers probably got to Houston earlier after the day game. Hope Gallardo doesn't get wild....that's my only concern.
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  11. 07-06-12 02:06 PM #11
    TheLock
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    No way the books factored any of this data into the line.

    Sounds like an ALL IN to me.

    GET SOME
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  12. 07-06-12 02:49 PM #12
    Vinnie Paz
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    Brewers ov 4.5 cause a you stevey.
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  13. 07-06-12 03:18 PM #13
    dom75
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    If one is worried about the Brewers bullpen blowing it, then just bet the 1st 5 innings for the Brew to win.
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  14. 07-06-12 04:26 PM #14
    stevenash
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    This is what Gallardo is facing tonight


    Schafer CF
    Altuve 2B
    Moore RF
    Martinez LF
    Lowrie SS
    Johnson 1B
    Castro C
    Dominguez 3B
    (Happ P)
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  15. 07-06-12 04:50 PM #15
    Mike Huntertz
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    I might try Brew TT Over.
    Thanxs for the #'s and GL
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  16. 07-06-12 04:56 PM #16
    Smutbucket
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    I scoff at those who don't use batter history. the best ACCURATE indicator of history, no projectons, just facts
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  17. 07-06-12 05:18 PM #17
    a4u2fear
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    Always take notice when Steve is betting
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  18. 07-06-12 05:25 PM #18
    stevenash
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    Gomez CF
    Aoki RF
    Braun LF
    Ramirez 3B
    Hart 1B
    Weeks 2B
    Ransom SS
    Maldonado C
    (Gallardo P)
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  19. 07-06-12 05:25 PM #19
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear View Post
    Always take notice when Steve is betting
    I took the Brews +125 also on the -1.5 run line this morning, latest check shows Brews -1.5 +110 now.


    Wager Type : Spread (or run line)
    Wager Status : PendingRisk / To Win Amount : 200.00 / 250.00(USD)
    Accepted : 7/6/2012 9:45AM - PST


    Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game
    Selection : Milwaukee Brewers
    Time : 7/6/2012 5:05:01PM - (PST)
    Line : -1½ +125
    Pitchers : Y. Gallardo - R - Must Pitch / J.A. Happ - L - Must Pitch
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  20. 07-06-12 05:31 PM #20
    Nyjrkm06
    Mets
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    nash do you mind betting against houstons 6 game losing streak?
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  21. 07-06-12 05:46 PM #21
    stevenash
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    ^
    Eight game losing streak.
    Never fade a losing streak once a losing streak reaches three.
    Well that's my philosophy anyway.

    Until further notice Houston is auto fade, the team is a mess right now.
    Altuve can hit, Chris Johnson can hit a little bit, Lowrie now at SS is their main power supply, after that they are garbage.
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  22. 07-06-12 06:01 PM #22
    morningmoney
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    Thanks for the info, Nash, and welcome to LA. Maybe now the Lakers will win the 2005-2006 championship.
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  23. 07-06-12 06:12 PM #23
    stevenash
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    This isn't my team, I used some Brewers, but this guy went with a Brewer stack.




    ffhorseshoe
    0


    HITTERS GAMES STATS TODAY TOTAL
    Maldonado, Martin
    MIL-C ($4,486)
    10%
    		 MIL @ HOU
    08:05 PM    		 0-0 0 0
    Fielder, Prince
    DET-1B ($8,223)
    40%
    		 KC 0 @ DET 0
    Top of 1    		 0-0 0 0
    Weeks, Rickie
    MIL-2B ($5,326)
    10%
    		 MIL @ HOU
    08:05 PM    		 0-0 0 0
    Ramirez, Aramis
    MIL-3B ($7,343)
    10%
    		 MIL @ HOU
    08:05 PM    		 0-0 0 0
    Peralta, Jhonny
    DET-SS ($4,726)
    30%
    		 KC 0 @ DET 0
    Top of 1    		 0-0 0 0
    Braun, Ryan
    MIL-OF ($9,800)
    40%
    		 MIL @ HOU
    08:05 PM    		 0-0 0 0
    Gomez, Carlos
    MIL-OF ($9,360)
    10%
    		 MIL @ HOU
    08:05 PM    		 0-0 0 0
    Aoki, Norichika
    MIL-OF ($8,569)
    10%
    		 MIL @ HOU
    08:05 PM    		 0-0 0 0
    Hart, Corey
    MIL-OF ($8,274)
    10%
    		 MIL @ HOU
    08:05 PM    		 0-0 0 0
    Ransom, Cody
    MIL-3B ($5,852)
    10%
    		 MIL @ HOU
    08:05 PM    		 0-0 0 0
    HITTERS SALARY $71,959 0-0 - -
    TOTAL - 0.00 0.00
    PITCHERS GAMES STATS TODAY TOTAL
    Collmenter, Josh
    ARI-SP ($9,717)
    20%
    		 LAD @ ARI
    09:40 PM    		 0 0
    Sanchez, Jonathan
    KC-SP ($5,949)
    10%
    		 KC 0 @ DET 0
    Top of 1    		 0 0
    Hanrahan, Joel
    PIT-RP ($3,008)
    10%
    		 SF 0 @ PIT 0
    Top of 1    		 0 0
    Bedard, Erik
    PIT-SP ($9,186)
    30%
    		 SF 0 @ PIT 0
    Top of 1    		 0 0
    PITCHERS SALARY $27,860 - -
    TOTAL - 0.00 0.00
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  24. 07-06-12 07:16 PM #24
    stevenash
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    Brews with two in the first and still batting
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  25. 07-06-12 08:41 PM #25
    stevenash
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    Weeks with the stick.
    Points Awarded:

    ColdBeerHere gave stevenash 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  26. 07-06-12 09:42 PM #26
    ColdBeerHere
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    thanks for the info I took MIL
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  27. 07-06-12 09:44 PM #27
    jlee
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    this was a no-brainer. PvB was key here. good sample size with weeks/braun/hart. on the flip side, I recall gallardo being pretty good vs the astros hitters. Hit the run line easily tonight.
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  28. 07-06-12 09:46 PM #28
    big joe 1212
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    good call nash
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  29. 07-06-12 09:47 PM #29
    hawley
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    Nailed it Steve.
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  30. 07-06-12 09:54 PM #30
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by big joe 1212 View Post
    good call nash
    Thanks Joe, glad to help.
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  31. 07-06-12 09:58 PM #31
    KingJD31
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    Nice call
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  32. 07-06-12 10:02 PM #32
    stevenash
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    never mind
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  33. 07-06-12 10:03 PM #33
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I can't see Houston getting more than 6 hits.
    Lock it up, I'm going to bed, later fellas.
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  34. 07-06-12 11:09 PM #34
    TheLock
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    This may have been one of the sharpest calls in MLB sports betting history, boys.
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  35. 07-07-12 05:20 AM #35
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
    This may have been one of the sharpest calls in MLB sports betting history, boys.
    I wouldn't say it was one of the sharpest plays in history, but thank you for that.
    It was a play, on paper, that looked so logical, I had to share it with you all.

    Going to work, no plays today,
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