1. 06-07-12 12:17 AM #1
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Belmont Stakes - what will Favorite close at?

    Heard 4/5 quoted today. Maybe that is the program line, or Morning Odds line.

    Does he close under EVEN $$??
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  2. 06-07-12 02:44 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    Yeah 4/5 sounds right. I am betting against him though.
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  3. 06-07-12 02:56 AM #3
    married2themoney
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    Closes at even
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  4. 06-07-12 02:58 AM #4
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Thx, boys. He looks good so far. We'll see.
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  5. 06-07-12 03:02 AM #5
    ttwarrior1
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    people want a winning ticket as a souvenir
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  6. 06-07-12 04:03 AM #6
    floridagolfer
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    Somewhere between even and 3-to-5, I'd guess.

    I'm betting others.
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  7. 06-07-12 04:58 AM #7
    EmpireMaker
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    I'm guessing 6-5 or 7-5
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  8. 06-07-12 05:48 AM #8
    Petey Wheatstraw
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    7-5 and 1978 remains in tact. I Affirmed that.
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  9. 06-07-12 06:33 AM #9
    sweep
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    Quote Originally Posted by ttwarrior1 View Post
    people want a winning ticket as a souvenir
    Then bet $2 to win on every horse in field u fat hamburger...$24 ticket fatty
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  10. 06-07-12 07:07 AM #10
    LT Profits
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    IHA is 4/5 on the MORNING LINE, so if he goes off at Even or 6/5, it should be seen as a major negative given his current popularity.
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  11. 06-07-12 07:12 AM #11
    LT Profits
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    I WOULD bet Union Rags IF I could find higher than +600 on the futures (5 Dimes only has +500).
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  12. 06-07-12 09:02 AM #12
    mrpooh
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    Yes, it will be under 1/1, I see it ending at 3/5. No reason to bet him. There will be 3 horses between 5/1 and 10/1 that are all good bets.
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  13. 06-07-12 09:50 AM #13
    Reload
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    Should close under 4/5 - all the souvenir ticket betting really drives it down.
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  14. 06-07-12 09:50 AM #14
    allabout the $$$
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    im going to go to the track to get a $2 ticket as a souvenir tomm. that place is going to be mobbed on saturday have to be there by 830 if you want to beat the traffic and get a good spot for the day
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  15. 06-07-12 11:13 AM #15
    will2survive
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    The favorite won't be less than even money. A winning ticket from an OTB would look lame. IHA is the perfect horse for this race; sit's right off the pace. These horses never are able to seal the deal with the Triple Crown. This horse has flown under the radar and the competition sucks. IHA has a real shot here.
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  16. 06-07-12 11:20 AM #16
    yahoonino
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    whach out for painter,,with mike smith,,,,for me union rag or painter,,,,i decede near post time and odds wise
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  17. 06-07-12 02:41 PM #17
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by yahoonino View Post
    whach out for painter,,with mike smith,,,,for me union rag or painter,,,,i decede near post time and odds wise
    Paynter looks too cheap to me. All he won was an allowance I believe.
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  18. 06-07-12 02:49 PM #18
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Paynter looks too cheap to me. All he won was an allowance I believe.
    Maybe, but he has the 2nd best beyer in the field next to IHA at 106. Paynter will take some money.
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  19. 06-07-12 02:50 PM #19
    ThaWoj
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    Quote Originally Posted by sweep View Post
    Then bet $2 to win on every horse in field u fat hamburger...$24 ticket fatty
    umm no, hes talking about the ML will be lower than it should (but not by much imo) because everyone will want a "souvenir" of a triple crown winner. any other winning ticket wont be a souvenir to the general public. not trying to play the for/against TT thing that seems to be all the rage at sbr nowadays but if your gonna jab at him at least know what youre talking about...
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  20. 06-07-12 02:56 PM #20
    Holtgetsback
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    Dullahan is the bet here fellas.
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  21. 06-07-12 03:07 PM #21
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    Maybe, but he has the 2nd best beyer in the field next to IHA at 106. Paynter will take some money.
    Yeah but I don't trust higher Beyers vs. weaker competition.
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  22. 06-07-12 04:27 PM #22
    Jeff Grant
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    Some 2012 Belmont Stakes information for you guys:
    -Of the 143 pervious runnings of the Belmont Stakes, 61 have been won by the betting favorite (41.9 percent)
    -Of the 33 at odds-on, 12 have won
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  23. 06-07-12 04:37 PM #23
    str
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yeah but I don't trust higher Beyers vs. weaker competition.

    LT, you are very right about this. Do know that I watched Paynter run at Pimlico and he was in hand from the gate to the wire. It was as easy as it could have been. Baffert was quoted in February as saying the his best male 3 year old in the barn at the time was Paynter, for whatever that is worth.

    Also, do not trust low Beyers at minor tracks when dealing with claimers. So much depends on the day of the week that the race was run, other races carded, and track maintenance.
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