[stevenash]

Giants with Cain against Reds with Latos.

Latos has been pretty much a gas can since opening day.

REGULAR SEASON GAMES THROUGH APRIL 22, 2012															YEAR TO DATE
DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit	BF	GSc	Dec.	Rel.	ERA
Apr 18	@ STL	L 11-1	5.2	9	8	8	1	3	6	6	12	112	27	22	L(0-2)	-	8.22
Apr 12	@ WSH	L 3-2	5.0	5	2	2	0	3	1	9	10	99	23	47	-	-	5.59
Apr 7	vs MIA	L 8-3	4.2	7	4	4	1	2	4	8	8	81	22	36	L(0-1)	-	7.71
Monthly Totals			15.1	21	14	14	2	8	11	23	30	292	72	--	0-2	0 sv	8.22
			IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit	BF	AGS	W-L	S-BS-H	ERA
Totals			15.1	21	14	14	2	8	11	23	30	292	72	35	0-2	0-0-0	8.22

Matt Cain has back to back shutouts, 2 hitter and a 1 hitter, and has looked like Greg Maddux, Pedro Martinez, and 1968 Bob Gibson all rolled into one pitcher while doing so.

REGULAR SEASON GAMES THROUGH APRIL 23, 2012															YEAR TO DATE
DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit	BF	GSc	Dec.	Rel.	ERA
Apr 18	vs PHI	W 1-0	9.0	2	0	0	0	1	4	7	17	91	29	86	-	-	1.88
Apr 13	vs PIT	W 5-0	9.0	1	0	0	0	0	11	11	6	106	28	96	W(1-0)	-	3.00
Apr 8	@ ARI	L 7-6	6.0	6	5	5	2	2	4	4	16	97	26	42	-	-	7.50
Monthly Totals			24.0	9	5	5	2	3	19	22	39	294	83	--	1-0	0 sv	1.88
			IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit	BF	AGS	W-L	S-BS-H	ERA
Totals			24.0	9	5	5	2	3	19	22	39	294	83	75	1-0	0-0-0	1.88

Giants are coming off a sweep against the Mets yesterday, are actually scoring runs, and the Reds don't hit Cain very well.

This game is -105 'pk, on paper Cain and the Giants should be -128 road favorites in this spot.

I think the Giants are going to be a very square public play tonight at -105, Joe Hamburger thinking "I'll take the Giants with the hot pitcher against the gas can Latos at even money, can't lose, right?"

Didn't say I was going to wager the Reds (I might, I might not) but I got this feeling Cain doesn't pitch a lights out near perfect shutout for the third time straight.

Just saying...........

[konck]

Good game to worry about but I like SF here low price and they are streaking I love betting streaks in MLB.

[konck]

Mostly I fade the public so this isnt the norm for me
But im on the Yanks tonight as my main play
Then I parlayed SF n Phils

[Jaug]

80% of bets coming in on SF

[stevenash]

Giants are such the logical play.
Did Vegas make a small error with the opening line is what I am asking really?
Will there be a correction this afternoon?

I'm going to watch the line movement on this game. I'm curious.

[stevenash]

80% of bets coming in on SF

That's what I'm saying, Giants are going to be the public darling tonight with Cain.

[RoadDog]

Lay off game.

[Madison]

Thought it was a misprint in the paper this morning. Very curious.

[JC02]

Thought the same thing was gonna book the giants but looked way to fishy. I think it's the reds or nothin

[stevenash]

Games like this **** with my mind, if you bet the Giants, and they lose, you say to yourself "I knew I should have laid off" If you bet the Red and they lose, you say to yourself "I'm an idiot for fading Cain, and I got mindfucked by the opening line"

[MarkTX]

Sometimes you just have to go with the better pitcher and better team. I love the price and don't care if it is square. It's about $$ not about looking SHARP.

Public bets win sometimes too ya know ...

[Ra77er]

No play for me...gun to my head its Red's to the bank

[stevenash]

Sometimes you just have to go with the better pitcher and better team. I love the price and don't care if it is square. It's about $$ not about looking SHARP.

Public bets win sometimes too ya know ...

I get all that, that's why I'm laying off.

[Big Bear]

you honestly think the books have some inside info and they are trying to trick us?


This is MLB not NBA there are no fixes in baseball.

[konck]

you honestly think the books have some inside info and they are trying to trick us?


This is MLB not NBA there are no fixes in baseball.

Hmm tell that to the Black Soxs

[KingJD31]

Games like this **** with my mind, if you bet the Giants, and they lose, you say to yourself "I knew I should have laid off" If you bet the Red and they lose, you say to yourself "I'm an idiot for fading Cain, and I got mindfucked by the opening line"

then dont bet on the gm pretty simple

[stevenash]

This is MLB there are no fixes in baseball.

You'd be surprised, for the most part, MLB runs a clean game, but every now and than, there's a suspicious game, not saying this is one of them, but when you got a league that plays 4800 or so games a schedule, there are a few that slips in there.

[stevenash]

then dont bet on the gm pretty simple

I'm not going to, it's a good topic to talk about on a Tuesday afternoon. I'm off all week, vacation, just chilling out locally, thought I'd throw it out there while I was farting around on the computer.

[jstblaze]

You have two pitchers that are on completely different levels.

[Pete0]

Pass. Never bet on teams that swept last series. Let down spot usually.

[dudekid]

yeah, this one looks very fishy...you have latos, who although has not started well, is a solid pitcher (and i believe he has seen a LOT of the giants from back in his SD days) and also throwing 18 innings in 2 games has to be at least a little taxing for cain...i think its either reds or no play, i personally am staying away

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Reds have some great OPS numbers against Cain...forget the avg. Won't be able to say this too often, but Ludwick might actually matter tonight. GL!

[zoo youk]

simple really. Giants just coming off a double header, than traveling. going to have a hang over affect. Posey probably wont be in the line up. and I noticed alot of the times when teams put up good amount of runs in double headers the bats are quiet the next day. just a theory

[konck]

Good call Steve ...Brock is on the Giants ....which means Im off them

[blackbeSSt]

you're all over thinking it. if there was a sure fire way to predict outcomes base on days off, double headers, what the starting pitchers ate for breakfast, then we'd all be rich

[jjgold]

lol


You guys think that 80% number of bets is accurate???
That number means nothing and is not accurate and just say it was fairly accurate it does not have enough wide range of books to make it worth anything

[JMon]

Takes awhile for Latos to warm up...he is a stellar 0-8 on the month of April since 4/26/10 getting blasted by an average of 4.7 runs. Conversely, he is 19-12 since 2010 in the month's May (8-4), June (6-4) and July (5-4).

[dj_destroyer]

On Giants but not happy about it lol

[MarkTX]

I just pounded the crap out of the Giants. I'm going very big here. GL whatever you do!

[ZorroToy]

From mlbpredictions.org kevin is on Gaints too and hes like 9-1 with picks or something near that ... i am too scared to lay on giants , but i think i go small.

[thebestthereis]

Cain is a home pitcher, Latos isn't a pitcher. Pass.

[Pete0]

San Francisco has lost five straight games at Cincinnati.

[guil0000]

simple really. Giants just coming off a double header, than traveling. going to have a hang over affect. Posey probably wont be in the line up. and I noticed alot of the times when teams put up good amount of runs in double headers the bats are quiet the next day. just a theory

This and the fact that Latos is a better pitcher then he showed last few games

[Mikail]

lol


You guys think that 80% number of bets is accurate???
That number means nothing and is not accurate and just say it was fairly accurate it does not have enough wide range of books to make it worth anything

yeah it's not perfect. My source says 79%
Saying the % # means nothing is false.

[MagicDiceFlow]

LATOS has allowed the opponent to score first in every one of his three starts this year. Reds may keep it tight late in the game , however with the heavy hitters both starting today(Sandoval/Posey) I think Giants will strike early on Latos. I see great value in this bet. Good Luck!