1. 04-23-12 11:32 AM #1
    Jayvegas420
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    Bucks vs. Raps

    Bucks have covered 8 of last 9 meetings.
    Straight up Bucks have won last 6 meetings.

    • Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.


    Raps point guard is out tonight. Besides Delfino who actually might play tonight, the Bucks dont have any significant injuries.

    • Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
    • Bucks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
    • Bucks are 38-11-2 ATS in their last 51 vs. NBA Atlantic.
    • Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

    Toronto just does not match up well vs. the Bucks
    Toronto NBA
    Average    		 Milwaukee
    Offense Defense Offense Defense
    Points
    1st Quarter
    2nd Quarter
    3rd Quarter
    4th Quarter    		 90.7
    21.7
    23.2
    22.0
    23.0    		 94.5
    23.9
    22.8
    23.0
    24.3    		 96.3
    24.3
    24.1
    23.6
    23.5    		 99.7
    26.4
    25.1
    23.5
    24.6    		 99.3
    26.3
    24.4
    24.6
    23.7
    Avg Margin -3.8 0.5
    FG%
    FGM
    FGA    		 44.0
    34.3
    78.0    		 43.9
    34.1
    77.6    		 44.8
    36.5
    81.4    		 44.5
    38.2
    86.0    		 45.2
    37.2
    82.4
    3P%
    3PM
    3PA    		 33.7
    5.5
    16.3    		 32.7
    6.1
    18.6    		 34.9
    6.4
    18.4    		 34.5
    6.7
    19.4    		 35.3
    6.7
    18.9
    FT%
    FTM
    FTA    		 76.9
    16.5
    21.5    		 74.4
    20.2
    27.2    		 75.3
    17.0
    22.5    		 77.7
    16.6
    21.4    		 76.9
    18.2
    23.6
    Rebounds
    Offensive
    Defensive    		 41.6
    10.5
    31.1    		 40.5
    10.2
    30.3    		 42.2
    11.4
    30.8    		 42.2
    12.5
    29.7    		 44.6
    12.4
    32.2
    Assist : TO
    Assists
    TO
    Points off TO    		 1.45
    20.9
    14.4
    0.0    		 1.61
    20.2
    12.6
    0.0    		 1.50
    21.0
    13.9
    0.0    		 1.76
    23.7
    13.5
    0.0    		 1.40
    21.6
    15.4
    0.0
    Starter Points
    % points
    % minutes
    Starting 5 avg min.    		 56.4
    62.3
    60.9
    28.9    		 62.9
    66.6
    62.6
    29.7    		 64.6
    67.1
    63.3
    30.0    		 65.6
    65.8
    61.9
    29.1    		 70.9
    71.4
    65.0
    30.6
    Bench Points
    % points
    % minutes    		 34.2
    37.7
    39.1    		 31.6
    33.4
    37.4    		 31.7
    32.9
    36.7    		 34.1
    34.2
    38.1    		 28.4
    28.6
    35.0
    Steals 6.5 7.2 7.7 8.2 7.4
    % 3PA to FGA 20.9% 23.9% 22.6% 22.6% 23.0%
    Blocks 4.9 4.9 5.1 5.0 4.5




    Good luck!!!!
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  2. 04-23-12 11:38 AM #2
    SparJMU
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    Every single word about the Bucks ATS records and the Raptors ATS record is completely meaningless. Those are the kind of stats fake touts try to use to trick naive rookie bettors.
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  3. 04-23-12 11:43 AM #3
    SpreadSniper
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    Im not betting on Milwaukee or Houston until next season.
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  4. 04-23-12 11:52 AM #4
    Demonata
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    I like the under in this game.
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  5. 04-23-12 12:12 PM #5
    Jayvegas420
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    Quote Originally Posted by SparJMU View Post
    Every single word about the Bucks ATS records and the Raptors ATS record is completely meaningless. Those are the kind of stats fake touts try to use to trick naive rookie bettors.
    So what should I basing my decision on tonight?
    Which uni's they dress in or the temperature outside at tip off?
    I think what you meant to say is that those treands or stats were meaningless in your opinion because you are not considering those stats.
    I don't that because you chose to disregard information, that information becomes meaningless.
    I am interested, however in what a NON-FAKE, NON-NAIVE, experienced bettor relies on.
    Please, bless me with some of your knowledge.
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  6. 04-23-12 12:13 PM #6
    celtics3388
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    under looks dece
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  7. 04-23-12 12:17 PM #7
    Jayvegas420
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    I read JMU asking another member what method he used to calculate over/unders.
    I'd like to know if he has one & what it is.
    I can see the Raps posting a sub 19 quarter tonight so, I wouldn't have a problem taking the under either.
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  8. 04-23-12 12:26 PM #8
    Demonata
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    Raptors have not scored much. Under should be the play.Bucks basically need a miracle to make the playoffs so who knows how focused they will be too. Both teams could have a hard time scoring.
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  9. 04-23-12 12:26 PM #9
    zilchy
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    You're overthinking it with all those stats at this stage of the regular season. Raptors are tanking and even the Bucks lousy defense won't compensate for that. Under looks good, not taking a side though.
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  10. 04-23-12 12:34 PM #10
    SpreadSniper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post

    So what should I basing my decision on tonight?
    Which uni's they dress in or the temperature outside at tip off?
    I think what you meant to say is that those treands or stats were meaningless in your opinion because you are not considering those stats.
    I don't that because you chose to disregard information, that information becomes meaningless.
    I am interested, however in what a NON-FAKE, NON-NAIVE, experienced bettor relies on.
    Please, bless me with some of your knowledge.
    at this point in the season ATS stats and pretty much all other stats are meaningless..... If you don't have anything to play for its hard to get up for meaningless games.
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  11. 04-23-12 01:14 PM #11
    Jayvegas420
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    Sounds like the general opinion is that stats dont mean much at the end of the season & maybe even in the playoffs for that matter.
    I just dont know what else to go by.
    When you throw stats out the window members tend to get on you about how you are just guessing. When you try to utilize stats, this may be detrimental as well.
    Either way I think the Raps are in trouble tonight & tanking games for a shot in the lottery is always a risky assumption.
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  12. 04-23-12 02:46 PM #12
    jason326
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    TOR are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Mon. games.
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  13. 04-23-12 02:54 PM #13
    SpreadSniper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    Sounds like the general opinion is that stats dont mean much at the end of the season & maybe even in the playoffs for that matter.
    I just dont know what else to go by.
    When you throw stats out the window members tend to get on you about how you are just guessing. When you try to utilize stats, this may be detrimental as well.
    Either way I think the Raps are in trouble tonight & tanking games for a shot in the lottery is always a risky assumption.
    you are where I was a couple years ago.... 1+1 should equal 2, right? Its only easy after the game is over.
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  14. 04-24-12 11:24 AM #14
    Jayvegas420
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    You're right snipe.
    That was easy!
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  15. 04-24-12 12:43 PM #15
    SpreadSniper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    You're right snipe.
    That was easy!
    So what? You heeded the advice given and took the points?
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