1. #1
    captrobey
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    Captrobeys 1st betting thread

    I mentioned i took $500 to $10000 2xs in the last month. Several have asked me to post my plays. I have always been weary of posting because i would feel bad if i lose people cash. But when i do get in my runs i do very well. But nothing is guaranteed. Overall though i am up nicely. So i will try to do this and my goal is $5000 starting with my own cash and since i have some FP in here too. I want to start off quick . If i hit with the FP and my cash i deposited there i will be up to $818 . So everything is on this game tonight. I was gonna take a break after my hit but Lets give it a go....

    Here is the first game. It will put me at $818 if i hit . Then we will go from there. I will also give the reasons that i am picking what i am.


    The pick is the OVER 6.5 runs in the Nationals game tonight. Here is why...
    Looking at both these teams they both combine an average so far this season for over 8 runs . They also give up combined a total average of over 7 runs. The last 17 of 24 games these two teams have played the total has gone Over . The last 10 games these teams have played against each other if we are looking at the winning amount needed being 7 runs - 9 out of 10 (90%) of the games have scored at least 7 runs combined. The Nationals / Astros game at 6.5 (Important to get it at 6.5 too because in THIS case that extra .5 point could make a difference) because in the last 10 games these teams combined for 7 total runs 3 times so get it while it is 6.5.

    It may be 7 now still go with it if the numbers stay true the worst that should happen is a push.

    Pick 1 Nationals -6.5 (maybe 7)

  2. #2
    captrobey
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    Bases loaded 1 out -this may be the best chance to get the Over

  3. #3
    spankie
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    The ole hollywood trends huh.

    good luck capt.

  4. #4
    captrobey
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    Would have liked to see more then 2 there but it keeps the over alive. Pity i got this at 7 because i was not planning on betting today so if they score 7 i hope you guys got it at 6.5

  5. #5
    captrobey
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    Yea Spankie i love those number trends they have normally served me well

  6. #6
    frizzelli
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    Good luck

  7. #7
    captrobey
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    Another huge spot-bases loaded 2 outs a guy 3 for 3 up

  8. #8
    captrobey
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    Thanks Frizzeli

  9. #9
    captrobey
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    Yayyyyyyy lol i hope i won some guys some cash !!!! Shoulda been more with the bases loaded and 0 outs earlier .

  10. #10
    spankie
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    Nice call.

  11. #11
    frizzelli
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    Nothing better than winning a bet 66% thru the game.

  12. #12
    captrobey
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    Ty i hope someone out there won with me !!!!!! 1-0 : )

  13. #13
    captrobey
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    Quote Originally Posted by frizzelli View Post
    Nothing better than winning a bet 66% thru the game.
    Lol shoulda been sooner with the bases loaded and 0 out earlier . This is why i love and almost always go with overs. Once in A blue moon i go with the under but rarely . If you look at the list on the thread i did when i made the run to $10000 you will see almost every O/U bet is on the Over.I hope you guys won some cash it will make me feel really good if you did.

  14. #14
    captrobey
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    Ok get this inn Phillies ist 5 innings to win 210
    Last edited by captrobey; 04-16-12 at 09:19 PM.

  15. #15
    captrobey
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    Sorry it was late guys i know there was just a couple minutes left but i had to wait for the last game to end. This is the 2nd bet to take a shot to get us over $1000. I do not think it will make a difference 5 innings or 9 with Halladay. SF is 1-4 against Phils at home and it is Halladay with a 0.60 era against Lincecums 12.92 -i know he is a better pitcher then that at home but i like the Phils here 4-1 last 5 in SF .

  16. #16
    captrobey
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    So right now we are 1-0 . If this hits in the 1st 5 innings it will put us at over $1000

  17. #17
    captrobey
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    4-0 Phils looking 4-0 and Halladay on the mound .

  18. #18
    captrobey
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    Ok thats a win (5-2 phillies in 5 innings) and that puts us at $1100 with that $210

    2-0 now at $1100
    Last edited by captrobey; 04-16-12 at 10:51 PM.

  19. #19
    captrobey
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    Tomorrow i have a meeting and appointment so depending if i can get research done will dictate if we do a bet tomorrow. If so i will put in plenty of time before game.

  20. #20
    captrobey
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    Currently 2-0 at $1104

    Next bet i like the Dbacks. It is a higher juice but i like the numbers. Dbacks on runs given up are slightly not as good as Pitt but in scoring so far they more then double Pitt on average. Also Ariz is 15-6 against Pitt playing at home. Pitt is 2-8 last 10 on the road .

    Ariz -165 risking $1073 to win $650

    Update risking the last 31 to win 19 so all in !!!
    Last edited by captrobey; 04-18-12 at 02:16 PM.

  21. #21
    mynameismud
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    bol.

  22. #22
    captrobey
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    Oh well that bloop single cost me . I will try again i wanna take a break for a bit

  23. #23
    captrobey
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    Ok lets try again-- probably shouldn't have did it but the remaining $5000 in RW i placed a bet and hit for $800 with the Lakers so i will try to take the $800 to $5000 . Monday i will be cashing out that other $5000 to make it that $10000 i won. So i have $800 to work with now.

    I put to win $500 on the Over in the Cubs game at 7 . Again i like the numbers. Combined both teams score slightly higher then 7 but give up closer to 8 average, 5 of the last 7 cubs games have gone Over on the road. And the last 10 games against each other The teams have looking at 7 as the line 7-2-1 meaning 7 out of 10 last meetings went Over.

    So the Play here is to win $500 on the Over in the Cubs game.

  24. #24
    ngates815
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    cool thread.

  25. #25
    captrobey
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    Ok there is the win so that will put me at 1-0 in this run again and totally since i started this thread 3-1 . I will do some research and post for tonight's game.

    Total after this win $1200 trying to reach $5000

  26. #26
    captrobey
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    Tonights pick i am going heavy on the Houston game. Houston has lost a few in a row and need some help to get in still. I think they will come and score some points. As long as the Hornets contribute which i think they will at home-We should be good. Both teams score an average of 188 points a game but also give away an average of over 190 a game. Get the Over at 187.5 that is my pick.

    Houston Rockets and New Orleans Hornets Over 187.5 Risking $1100 to win $1000

  27. #27
    mynameismud
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    must win for houston. bol.

  28. #28
    jjgold
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    This guy will be bust in 4 weeks

    I see it daily

  29. #29
    captrobey
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    This guy will be bust in 4 weeks

    I see it daily
    Your saying i will lose all the money i won in 4 weeks? Yea i am way ahead and i take these shots when i am ahead and playing with money i won. I am well ahead especially since i have made a NY resolution to stay out of online casinos where i kept losing playing BJ. Since i stay out of there i have already cashed out twice for $10000 .

  30. #30
    crackerjack
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    There will always be haters...just ignore

  31. #31
    captrobey
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    Yea your right cracker lets just win some cash !!!

  32. #32
    fitguy67
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    Quote Originally Posted by captrobey View Post
    Ok there is the win so that will put me at 1-0 in this run again and totally since i started this thread 3-1 . I will do some research and post for tonight's game.

    Total after this win $1200 trying to reach $5000
    Hmmm...the win referred to above is "described" in post#23 and refers to a play he "made" (and, not surprisingly, won) THE NIGHT BEFORE...

    As Mike Wallace used to say when his credulity was challenged..."Oh, Come On..."
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    Last edited by fitguy67; 04-19-12 at 06:53 PM.

  33. #33
    captrobey
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    Quote Originally Posted by fitguy67 View Post
    Hmmm...the win referred to above is "described" in post#23 and refers to a play he "made" (and, not surprisingly, won) THE NIGHT BEFORE...

    As Mike Wallace used to say when his credulity was challenged..."Oh, Come On..."
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    Yea i played the Lakers and won and did not count it in my 3-1 since it was last sec . I posted every play before they started . I said i was starting it at the $800 and i did.So what is the problem.

  34. #34
    fitguy67
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    WHEN u post stuff is as important as WHAT you post...if you want to reboot with a fresh 1200 just do it...

    but don't claim that a "mulligan" $400 win from the night before boosted you from 800 to where you want to start from...

    it unnecessarily triggers our manure-detectors...
    Last edited by fitguy67; 04-19-12 at 07:52 PM.

  35. #35
    captrobey
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    Quote Originally Posted by fitguy67 View Post
    WHEN u post stuff is as important as WHAT you post...if you want to reboot with a fresh 1200 just do it...

    but don't claim that a "mulligan" $400 win from the night before boosted you from 800 to where you want to start from...

    it unnecessarily triggers our manure-detectors...
    Ok i get that but i think you are misreading my thread. I never started with 1200 i started with $800 half of that was from Lakers but i did not count that since it was last sec so i just started from $800. From $800 i won with the cubs which put me at 1200 . The bet was made clearly before the game started
    Last edited by captrobey; 04-19-12 at 08:08 PM.

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