1. 04-14-12 10:19 PM #1
    ebbearsfb1
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    is that stat about home teams mlb true?

    A home team only gets swept about ten percent of the time in baseball, and some teams even less.


    true?

    false?
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  2. 04-14-12 10:23 PM #2
    mathdotcom
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    Sure, why not?

    Even if it's only a 3 game series, if the home team is about a -115 favorite on average then the odds of them being swept are 10%. It'd be even lower for a 4 game series. And home teams are greater than -115 favorites on average.
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  3. 04-14-12 10:24 PM #3
    rm18
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    Yeh I would of guessed about 10%, 3 coinflips is 12.5%
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  4. 04-14-12 11:05 PM #4
    milwaukee mike
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    i agree with the above statements, no idea why you would expect the number to be greatly different than 10%
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  5. 04-14-12 11:50 PM #5
    ebbearsfb1
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    Where did I say I didn't agree? I'm not a stat guy, so 10% would seem low at first glance... Its an interesting stat... and could be of major use around here, if you catch my drift
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  6. 04-14-12 11:55 PM #6
    SilverTongueFox
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    For Sunday, the following home teams look to avoid the 3 game sweep.
    Twins
    Phillies
    Blue Jays
    Royals
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  7. 04-14-12 11:56 PM #7
    mathdotcom
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    Quote Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1 View Post
    Where did I say I didn't agree? I'm not a stat guy, so 10% would seem low at first glance... Its an interesting stat... and could be of major use around here, if you catch my drift
    No.. it isnt
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  8. 04-15-12 12:01 AM #8
    mnpickle
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    Twins will lose... No doubt about it...
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  9. 04-15-12 12:14 AM #9
    superjeff24
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    yeah its a totally reliable stat. Follow the JM chase system, you'll make millions.
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  10. 04-15-12 12:18 AM #10
    samgurt
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    Quote Originally Posted by mnpickle View Post
    Twins will lose... No doubt about it...
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  11. 04-15-12 05:22 AM #11
    floridagolfer
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    I would say the number is closer to 5 percent, but I don't have enough interest to go do the research.
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  12. 04-15-12 06:25 AM #12
    Sportsbetting123
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    I had never even thought of this particular scenario, but I hardly ever bet baseball. Just out of curiousity, I would like to see a few years worth of data on this.
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  13. 04-15-12 06:37 AM #13
    thebestthereis
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    If its the Padres that number is close to 100%, the Padres haven't seen home plate in years.
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  14. 04-15-12 06:57 AM #14
    Joe Dogs
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    You can throw the cubs into the 100% category.

    Cubs have one of the worst home field records in MLB.
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  15. 04-15-12 08:12 AM #15
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1 View Post
    Where did I say I didn't agree? I'm not a stat guy, so 10% would seem low at first glance... Its an interesting stat... and could be of major use around here, if you catch my drift
    but once the first 2 are in the book, then the odds of a 3 game sweep turn from 10% to right around 50% depending on the line
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