you should never over analyze a line...too many people focused on the sharp or public money...you should know the teams as a result of watching and having wagered on them many, many times..you should know the players, the coaches and their overall tendencies...and you should also understand that all this is marginal at best..personally i kind of know what a line will be before it even comes out...and if im way off i take it as a good thing...i go with my number...the number that is in my head because i always felt i was sharp enough to make the line anyway...then i like to take it to the next level..which to me is the game within the game...the quarters, halves, and 2nd halves...i prefer these bets...i find them easier to cap....plus they are decided quicker.....we all know this is a tough game and scared money dont make none..so bet with confidence or dont bet at all...when you are scared you will push yourself to the losing side subconsciously.