Fading Cam and Carolina in the right spot during the playoffs is going to be glorious

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  • BigDofBA
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-30-09
    • 19313

    #211
    Coin isn't taking Seattle. What is all the fuss about?

    He could still take the Cardinals the following week.
    Comment
    • POOLSIDE
      SBR MVP
      • 09-06-14
      • 2839

      #212
      Originally posted by 2daBank
      almost certain ill be on sea ml simply cause i dont mind if i gotta come back even stronger on zona if they win.
      Yeah we're getting a lot of perception value with Seattle. Yes, they should have lost today. But everyone is acting like they're not that good and Minnesota is the better team or something. This game was an anomaly. There have only EVER been two games in the history of football that had harsher weather conditions. Somehow we're still buying low with Seattle, and obviously selling high with Carolina. I'll take the +3 when it gets there, as well as the ml. I've got the more experienced and, in my opinion, better team getting points.
      Comment
      • BigDofBA
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-30-09
        • 19313

        #213
        The fact that so many people think Seattle is "the better team" makes me feel better and better about Carolina.

        Guess we'll find out.
        Comment
        • SEAHAWKHARRY
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-29-07
          • 26068

          #214
          Originally posted by POOLSIDE
          Yeah we're getting a lot of perception value with Seattle. Yes, they should have lost today. But everyone is acting like they're not that good and Minnesota is the better team or something. This game was an anomaly. There have only EVER been two games in the history of football that had harsher weather conditions. Somehow we're still buying low with Seattle, and obviously selling high with Carolina. I'll take the +3 when it gets there, as well as the ml. I've got the more experienced and, in my opinion, better team getting points.
          not to mention your a great NFL capper makes me excited to see u are backing SEATTLE here
          Comment
          • paco
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-07-09
            • 62873

            #215
            Recipe for disaster
            Comment
            • KRIT
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-11-14
              • 12878

              #216
              There is no doubt Carolina is the better team. But Seattle has the experience on their side. Cam really hasn't proven himself as a winner in this league yet. We will find out a lot about Cam next week.
              Comment
              • ChiLLx
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-24-11
                • 5412

                #217
                Originally posted by ChiLLx
                Seahawks coming for Cam
                Here they come!
                Comment
                • POOLSIDE
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-06-14
                  • 2839

                  #218
                  Originally posted by KRIT
                  There is no doubt Carolina is the better team. But Seattle has the experience on their side. Cam really hasn't proven himself as a winner in this league yet. We will find out a lot about Cam next week.
                  No doubt? There is zero doubt? None at all?

                  Well Vegas clearly has doubt, as they opened the line with Seattle as a half a point better than Carolina. They also opened a line begging for Carolina money, otherwise it would have opened at -3

                  I also have doubt. Well actually, I wouldn't call it doubt. I'm firmly on the other side. I think Seattle has the better quarterback and the better defense, and I know for damn sure they've got the better coach.

                  Meanwhile the Panthers are giving me value because of their lofty and misleading 15-1 record. In my opinion, they've only played two good teams all year. One being Seattle and the other Green Bay. Both of those were wins, but certainly nothing convincing. The Seattle game was a come from behind td with under a minute left and the Packers win was a game where they just barely held on to a large lead. I'm not sold. They had a number of games that they very easily could have lost this season.

                  @ New Orleans
                  vs New Orleans
                  @ Seattle
                  vs Green Bay
                  vs Indianapolis
                  @ Giants

                  Had they lost even two of those, which is not at all inconceivable, they'd be the two seed and more importantly they'd be much less talked about because they didn't almost go 16-0. Seattle meanwhile is muuuuch better than their record indicates. Plus, they're used to the pressure. Carolina is not. Expect the pressure to get to the Panthers, keeping in mind that this is the first time they're "supposed" to win a playoff game. Seattle takes care of business, 27-16.
                  Comment
                  • Bigh2001
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-18-11
                    • 346

                    #219
                    Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                    No doubt? There is zero doubt? None at all?

                    Well Vegas clearly has doubt, as they opened the line with Seattle as a half a point better than Carolina. They also opened a line begging for Carolina money, otherwise it would have opened at -3

                    I also have doubt. Well actually, I wouldn't call it doubt. I'm firmly on the other side. I think Seattle has the better quarterback and the better defense, and I know for damn sure they've got the better coach.

                    Meanwhile the Panthers are giving me value because of their lofty and misleading 15-1 record. In my opinion, they've only played two good teams all year. One being Seattle and the other Green Bay. Both of those were wins, but certainly nothing convincing. The Seattle game was a come from behind td with under a minute left and the Packers win was a game where they just barely held on to a large lead. I'm not sold. They had a number of games that they very easily could have lost this season.

                    @ New Orleans
                    vs New Orleans
                    @ Seattle
                    vs Green Bay
                    vs Indianapolis
                    @ Giants

                    Had they lost even two of those, which is not at all inconceivable, they'd be the two seed and more importantly they'd be much less talked about because they didn't almost go 16-0. Seattle meanwhile is muuuuch better than their record indicates. Plus, they're used to the pressure. Carolina is not. Expect the pressure to get to the Panthers, keeping in mind that this is the first time they're "supposed" to win a playoff game. Seattle takes care of business, 27-16.
                    Panthers have been to the playoffs 3 years in a row and lost a very similar game to SF in 2013 divisional round. They have the playoff experience. it will be closer than 11 points.
                    Comment
                    • BigDofBA
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-30-09
                      • 19313

                      #220
                      Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                      Meanwhile the Panthers are giving me value because of their lofty and misleading 15-1 record.
                      I don't really see how it's all that misleading. This is the NFL. 15-1 is impressive no matter how you slice it. It's better than being 10-6. Don't act like the Seahawks didn't play some shit teams too.

                      49ers 2x
                      Rams 2x
                      Bears
                      Lions
                      Balty
                      Cleveland

                      Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                      In my opinion, they've only played two good teams all year. One being Seattle and the other Green Bay. Both of those were wins, but certainly nothing convincing.
                      And they won those games...Are you knocking them for winning? They went into "Seattle" and won already yet you're still not a believer?

                      Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                      They had a number of games that they very easily could have lost this season.

                      @ New Orleans
                      vs New Orleans
                      @ Seattle
                      vs Green Bay
                      vs Indianapolis
                      @ Giants
                      So you criticize Carolina for "winning" a bunch of games but you don't even mention the fact that Seattle flat out lost to the Rams TWICE this season? The Rams are worse than all of the teams listed above. Also, I could say Seattle should have lost to Detroit...another team that is worse than all the teams you listed.

                      You're living off Seattle being really good the last two years. This Seattle team is good but it's just not the same team.

                      Newton has turned into a really good NFL good. Guys typically don't start flourishing until they've had a few years under their belt and you're seeing it now.Carolina has a great defense. Great QB. Great Running game. They're at home and they will win imo

                      The fun part is one of us will be wrong and have to eat crow after the game. GL.

                      The Cardinals are really the team that you think Seattle is. They might be a play in the NFC title game.
                      Last edited by BigDofBA; 01-10-16, 11:40 PM.
                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94379

                        #221
                        Originally posted by ACoochy
                        Ok maybe not total weak sauce but when against teams of a similar ilk ie steelers, cards, panthers they've been exposed...

                        Zona exposed everyone.
                        Steelers exposed broncos d as well.
                        Panthers have been raking all season.

                        Don't act smart. Sea allowed 9 points on the road.
                        Comment
                        • JameisBrady
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-15-15
                          • 1023

                          #222
                          Originally posted by BigDofBA
                          The fact that so many people think Seattle is "the better team" makes me feel better and better about Carolina.

                          Guess we'll find out.
                          Yeah don't worry there are just a ton of pathetic ISIS cucks (seahawks fans) and suckers who believe what the cucks are preaching. The Panthers are unquestionably better than the Seahawks and the right spot to fade them comes next week.

                          These ISIS cucks POOLSIDE and SEAHAWKHARRY loaded up on Seattle spread (v. the Vikings). Tells you all you need to know about their cognitive capabilities.
                          Comment
                          • lakerboy
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-02-09
                            • 94379

                            #223
                            Originally posted by BigDofBA
                            No they won't.

                            With that said, the Cardinals are the only team I might back on the road at Carolina. Seattle is on the ropes. Their season ends next week.

                            100% zona would be favored in carolina. Zona would be -1 at least. That's a no brainer.
                            Comment
                            • SEAHAWKHARRY
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 11-29-07
                              • 26068

                              #224
                              Originally posted by JameisBrady
                              Yeah don't worry there are just a ton of pathetic ISIS cucks (seahawks fans) and suckers who believe what the cucks are preaching. The Panthers are unquestionably better than the Seahawks and the right spot to fade them comes next week.

                              These ISIS cucks POOLSIDE and SEAHAWKHARRY loaded up on Seattle spread (v. the Vikings). Tells you all you need to know about their cognitive capabilities.
                              Loaded up in being two bets of 50$ and a 25$ 1st qtr bet

                              Yup I'm barreled in bud you said no way in hell SEATTLE wins you were wrong bud
                              Please stop pming me and again I feel sorry for your issues
                              Comment
                              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 11-29-07
                                • 26068

                                #225
                                Oh and Poolside just won 25000$ in west gates NFL handicapping pool paid 1500 won 25 large so he's kinda smart in the NFL picking asswipe
                                Comment
                                • Yazworm91
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-01-13
                                  • 2397

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                  Oh and Poolside just won 25000$ in west gates NFL handicapping pool paid 1500 won 25 large so he's kinda smart in the NFL picking asswipe
                                  Off topic but well done Poolside on the 25k. Very well done.
                                  Comment
                                  • JayDr3am
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-06-14
                                    • 18260

                                    #227
                                    ima let the line breathe a little bit and snag it at +3.5 or +4. seahawks should have very well lost today but the NFL gods let them in.. I'm sure they wanna take advantage of that opportunity.
                                    Comment
                                    • JameisBrady
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-15-15
                                      • 1023

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                      Oh and Poolside just won 25000$ in west gates NFL handicapping pool paid 1500 won 25 large so he's kinda smart in the NFL picking asswipe
                                      Counting another man's money? That's pretty much what I would expect from an ISIS cuck.
                                      Comment
                                      • JameisBrady
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-15-15
                                        • 1023

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                        Loaded up in being two bets of 50$ and a 25$ 1st qtr bet

                                        Yup I'm barreled in bud you said no way in hell SEATTLE wins you were wrong bud
                                        Please stop pming me and again I feel sorry for your issues
                                        LMAO at this delusional cuck. You were the one who PM'd me from the get-go crying about how upset you were on some Pete Carroll esque "what's your deal man?" shit and I responded once. Trying to turn the tables and flat out lie to win sympathy on an Internet forum....yikes.
                                        Comment
                                        • POOLSIDE
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-06-14
                                          • 2839

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by JameisBrady
                                          Yeah don't worry there are just a ton of pathetic ISIS cucks (seahawks fans) and suckers who believe what the cucks are preaching. The Panthers are unquestionably better than the Seahawks and the right spot to fade them comes next week.

                                          These ISIS cucks POOLSIDE and SEAHAWKHARRY loaded up on Seattle spread (v. the Vikings). Tells you all you need to know about their cognitive capabilities.
                                          Not that you're worth replying to, but this is absurd. I'm not a Seahawks fan. They're not my team. No idea where you got that idea. I also didn't bet a dollar on them this week, as documented in my thread. In fact, it's the only game I didn't bet this weekend. Panthers are unquestionably better than Seattle? Unquestionably better means there is no room for debate. They are not unquestionably better. The two teams are very, very closely matched, regardless of what happens this weekend.

                                          The real kicker though, Isis cuckolds? I think the Seahawks stand a good chance to beat the Panthers this weekend and that makes me an Islamic terrorist whose wife openly sleeps with other men? Dude, I'm not even married. Even if I was, this seems like a bit of a stretch.

                                          Lastly, if this is a comparison of our cognitive capabilities, I suggest you run and hide somewhere. You are so far out of your league, to the point where you think the opposite is true.
                                          Comment
                                          • JameisBrady
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-15-15
                                            • 1023

                                            #231
                                            Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                                            Not that you're worth replying to, but this is absurd. I'm not a Seahawks fan. They're not my team. No idea where you got that idea. I also didn't bet a dollar on them this week, as documented in my thread. In fact, it's the only game I didn't bet this weekend. Panthers are unquestionably better than Seattle? Unquestionably better means there is no room for debate. They are not unquestionably better. The two teams are very, very closely matched, regardless of what happens this weekend.

                                            The real kicker though, Isis cuckolds? I think the Seahawks stand a good chance to beat the Panthers this weekend and that makes me an Islamic terrorist whose wife openly sleeps with other men? Dude, I'm not even married. Even if I was, this seems like a bit of a stretch.

                                            Lastly, if this is a comparison of our cognitive capabilities, I suggest you run and hide somewhere. You are so far out of your league, to the point where you think the opposite is true.
                                            Deflection, deflection, deflection. This is what a deluded ISIS cuck looks like. Hate to break it to you but you're not that bright. Having another guy hold your cape just because you two love the same team doesn't reflect (in any positive way for sure) any advanced cognitive capabilities.
                                            Comment
                                            • POOLSIDE
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-06-14
                                              • 2839

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by JameisBrady
                                              Deflection, deflection, deflection. This is what a deluded ISIS cuck looks like. Hate to break it to you but you're not that bright. Having another guy hold your cape just because you two love the same team doesn't reflect (in any positive way for sure) any advanced cognitive capabilities.
                                              Too much Jameis. Not enough Brady. We're done here.
                                              Comment
                                              • MRG0112
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 12-17-15
                                                • 55

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                                                The real kicker though, Isis cuckolds? I think the Seahawks stand a good chance to beat the Panthers this weekend and that makes me an Islamic terrorist whose wife openly sleeps with other men? Dude, I'm not even married. Even if I was, this seems like a bit of a stretch.
                                                Comment
                                                • KRIT
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-11-14
                                                  • 12878

                                                  #234
                                                  305 - Seattle Seahawks
                                                  306 - Carolina Panthers

                                                  Market Avg.

                                                  Open
                                                  +2.5 111
                                                  -2.5 -123
                                                  Current
                                                  +2.5 107
                                                  -2.5 -118







                                                  Like I said, majority will be on Carolina. Squares love getting the "better" team at less than a FG. I'd expect lots will eat the juice on the ML at -140, which is very do-able for most people. I don't like to look much into lines anymore, but IMO this is a Seahawks line. Carolina is as healthy as you can get for a playoff game and can't even be favored by a FG at home against a team that will likely start a 3rd string RB.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                    • 38099

                                                    #235
                                                    Originally posted by KRIT
                                                    305 - Seattle Seahawks
                                                    306 - Carolina Panthers

                                                    Market Avg.

                                                    Open
                                                    +2.5 111
                                                    -2.5 -123
                                                    Current
                                                    +2.5 107
                                                    -2.5 -118







                                                    Like I said, majority will be on Carolina. Squares love getting the "better" team at less than a FG. I'd expect lots will eat the juice on the ML at -140, which is very do-able for most people. I don't like to look much into lines anymore, but IMO this is a Seahawks line. Carolina is as healthy as you can get for a playoff game and can't even be favored by a FG at home against a team that will likely start a 3rd string RB.

                                                    Those numbers mean nothing KRIT lets be real. Can't just take that at face value and accept it as being accurate. Besides, the public doesn't bet this early.

                                                    Also, it doesn't take into account moneyline bets.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Grits n' Gravy
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 06-10-10
                                                      • 13024

                                                      #236
                                                      The thing with looking at betting numbers and piecharts is very misleading. Books have zero obligation to release what they are holding. It is done as a courtesy and from past experience of being someone who could see a major casino's action I can tell you the numbers we see online are not accurate at all. Vegas papers have an annual oddsmaker handicapping contest and entries are filled by different writers but credited to head oddsmaker. Numbers posted online are just a small sample a $10/hr desk clerk relays out to services.

                                                      You guys give oddsmakers way too much credit. Many of them are degenerate gamblers living paycheck to paycheck. Sportsbooks are still just an amenity to the casino. If they generated significant revenue, the casinos would not turn them over to 3rd parties like Will Hill and CG. They are there to draw traffic to real money makers like slots, tables, clubs and restaurants.

                                                      I think the Panthers are being underrated with a 2.5/3 line but it is the best number to draw 2 way action. At the number it should be IMO(4.5), the action would be all Seattle. People like Seattle's overall edge in playoff experience, the Russell Wilson factor and Stewart's status being tbd. Should be a physical matchup and if Panthers play to form, I like them to advance.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Khiaao
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 05-12-12
                                                        • 650

                                                        #237
                                                        Interesting
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDofBA
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-30-09
                                                          • 19313

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy
                                                          The thing with looking at betting numbers and piecharts is very misleading. Books have zero obligation to release what they are holding. It is done as a courtesy and from past experience of being someone who could see a major casino's action I can tell you the numbers we see online are not accurate at all. Vegas papers have an annual oddsmaker handicapping contest and entries are filled by different writers but credited to head oddsmaker. Numbers posted online are just a small sample a $10/hr desk clerk relays out to services.

                                                          You guys give oddsmakers way too much credit. Many of them are degenerate gamblers living paycheck to paycheck. Sportsbooks are still just an amenity to the casino. If they generated significant revenue, the casinos would not turn them over to 3rd parties like Will Hill and CG. They are there to draw traffic to real money makers like slots, tables, clubs and restaurants.

                                                          I think the Panthers are being underrated with a 2.5/3 line but it is the best number to draw 2 way action. At the number it should be IMO(4.5), the action would be all Seattle. People like Seattle's overall edge in playoff experience, the Russell Wilson factor and Stewart's status being tbd. Should be a physical matchup and if Panthers play to form, I like them to advance.
                                                          This an excellent post. Sportsbook revenue is a very small percentage of overal Cason revenue.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GT21Megatron
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-20-13
                                                            • 10818

                                                            #239
                                                            Panthers getting beat
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KRIT
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-11-14
                                                              • 12878

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                              Those numbers mean nothing KRIT lets be real. Can't just take that at face value and accept it as being accurate. Besides, the public doesn't bet this early.

                                                              Also, it doesn't take into account moneyline bets.
                                                              I agree that all those public money sites spew bs numbers, but can't ignore the fact that Carolina isn't even favored by a FG at Pinny. When is the last time a 1 seed wasn't favored by a FG over a wild card team. -2.5 most times is a sucker bet when the home team has a better record than the road team.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BigDofBA
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-30-09
                                                                • 19313

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by KRIT
                                                                I agree that all those public money sites spew bs numbers, but can't ignore the fact that Carolina isn't even favored by a FG at Pinny. When is the last time a 1 seed wasn't favored by a FG over a wild card team. -2.5 most times is a sucker bet when the home team has a better record than the road team.
                                                                When is the last time that the #1 seed hosted a team coming off back to back Superbowls?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • POOLSIDE
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-06-14
                                                                  • 2839

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                  I don't really see how it's all that misleading. This is the NFL. 15-1 is impressive no matter how you slice it. It's better than being 10-6. Don't act like the Seahawks didn't play some shit teams too.

                                                                  49ers 2x
                                                                  Rams 2x
                                                                  Bears
                                                                  Lions
                                                                  Balty
                                                                  Cleveland



                                                                  And they won those games...Are you knocking them for winning? They went into "Seattle" and won already yet you're still not a believer?



                                                                  So you criticize Carolina for "winning" a bunch of games but you don't even mention the fact that Seattle flat out lost to the Rams TWICE this season? The Rams are worse than all of the teams listed above. Also, I could say Seattle should have lost to Detroit...another team that is worse than all the teams you listed.

                                                                  You're living off Seattle being really good the last two years. This Seattle team is good but it's just not the same team.

                                                                  Newton has turned into a really good NFL good. Guys typically don't start flourishing until they've had a few years under their belt and you're seeing it now.Carolina has a great defense. Great QB. Great Running game. They're at home and they will win imo

                                                                  The fun part is one of us will be wrong and have to eat crow after the game. GL.

                                                                  The Cardinals are really the team that you think Seattle is. They might be a play in the NFC title game.
                                                                  You're taking what I said out of context. It was a response to someone's post that "there is no doubt Carolina is the better team". That's ridiculous. There is plenty of doubt.

                                                                  This wasn't a praise post of Seattle or their performance within their specific schedule this season. In fact, I think they severely underperformed this season. This was simply to point out that Carolina is, in my opinion, overvalued.

                                                                  I know how good Arizona is. I think Seattle is right there with them, with Carolina a not so distant third. I think this is a bad spot for the Panthers and I expect I'll take Seattle here unless I dig up compelling enough reasons to stay away.

                                                                  I've also taken futures on the Super Bowl matchup being any combo of Seattle, Arizona, Denver, and New England so admittedly, I have to back that up haha.

                                                                  I can say strictly from the competitive sports fan perspective, this is the most excited I've been for a football game this season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nyplayer33
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 09-27-06
                                                                    • 8303

                                                                    #243
                                                                    I don't think you can call a 15 n 1 record lofty or misleading. Carolina is home and they are a very good team. As to Vegas they are usually vorrect...but they also had Seattle minus 5 vs ninny and ninny should of won. Carolina can win this game by 7 or vice versa.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • POOLSIDE
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-06-14
                                                                      • 2839

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by nyplayer33
                                                                      I don't think you can call a 15 n 1 record lofty or misleading. Carolina is home and they are a very good team. As to Vegas they are usually vorrect...but they also had Seattle minus 5 vs ninny and ninny should of won. Carolina can win this game by 7 or vice versa.
                                                                      Anyone can win any game by seven or more. It's the nfl. Any of these teams can absolutely beat the hell out of any other team in any game. I just think there's a lot of value with Seattle getting three. I agree about Carolina. They're very good. But 15-1 gives people the perception that they're almost unbeatable. This adds line value to the other side. What would this line be if the Panthers were 12-4?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • LT Profits
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                                        • 90963

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Well, I am on Seattle +3 THIS week, so hopefully this is the right spot to fade Cam and the Panthers.
                                                                        Comment
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