1 Unit Carlos Condit +185
I see this fight closer to where the line originated around PK. Taking the + value with Condit. I don't like the story lines of StPiere/Diaz as if it goes to dec, judges will probably fukk Condit.
1 Unit Roy Nelson +140
Honestly don't love how long Werdum has been out of action and BigCountry finds a way to win this fight.
3 Units Josh Koscheck -240
This is one favorite where his line is playable. I see it should be closer to -300. Only way he doesn't get the KO or dec is if he leaves his jaw open.
1 Unit Scott Jorgensen +220
I like Jorgensen's chances at keeping this fight where he wants it. Jorgensen has great takedown offense and I believe his wrestling is much stronger than Pegado has seen in his recent opponents. I like Jorgensen's chances of a decision here at these odds.
.5 Unit Clifford Starks +260
This fight should be blazing with both guys coming out and trying to make a statement. I see Starks holding his own in this contest and looking for a finish to impress.
I think we see a couple of the dogs cash tonight.
Undercard value:
I hate Chris Cope but if he climbs past +300 he has a chance to scrape out the dec.
Same with Caceres. LeRoy has a shot at plus odds as well.
Everybody, party starting at my place around 5pm tonight so I won't be too active on the boards tonight. Hope everyone has a profitable evening.