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The Birthday Problem. Set the line...
Imagine that you work for a Sporstbook and you are in charge of Setting this Line: There are 23 random people in a room... what are the odds that 2 of them share the same Birthday(not year). Set the line:
Yes, 2 of them have the same Birthday.
No, none of them have the same Birthday.
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Yes +1400
No -1800
Last edited by UntilTheNDofTimE; 01-27-12 at 08:25 PM.
50.632301%
CorrectOriginally Posted by milwaukee mike
But I prefer to be more positive
yes -105
no -105
Damn... you guys are too good. I guess I'm the last person to know about this. Can I bet Yes at your Sportsbook UntilTheNDofTimE?
im sure the op will explain after but how is this a even proposition. Ive met thousands in my lifetime and only had 1 who had the same birthday as mine and only know a handful of people who share birthdays. 23 random people in a room would yield a nearly 50% proposition? interesting.
sure cause mine isnt open for business, already got busted
With just 57 people it becomes a 99% chance.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem
i just used google to find the answer.
just searched now
It is not a question of them sharing a birthday with only you. Any 2 of the 23 people can share a birthday for the result to be YES.
Last edited by FourLengthsClear; 01-27-12 at 08:48 PM.
I took that into consideration still found it somewhat farfetched, after reading into it i understand.
what you need is a birthday distribution chart if you want to bet those odds. if you can find some clumping of birthday's wouldn't yes be a +EV bet?
Everyone ***** in the holiday season. Many august n september birthdays
i have a theory here - almost all the people i know with november/december birthdays are FEMALE.
since we all start out female until about the 2nd or 3rd month, i thought it's so damn hot and humid here in june/july that babies are too hot/lazy to change into males
I think this is why men have nipples?
I have a theory on Birthdays too... I was the 5th born in my family. My parents had me in their early 30's. I like to pretend that they only had sex a total of 5 times but I came up with a different theory that isn't too far off. Birthday sex... I was born just slightly 9 months after my Mom's birthday. And I was slightly late... If I was given -110 odds I would be willing to be that I was conceived on my Mothers birthday. Anyone else have this experience? Do the math. I just figured this out a couple of years ago.
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