Pounding Blue Jays Tomorrow

**mth61** · 08-19-15, 02:45 AM

Originally posted by gregmav1

Every now and then they are in a spot that I absolutely love, and I hit them for a ton. I'm 2 for 2 on doing it this year, and tomorrow I'm doing it again.

Phillies bats can get hot lately, but Jays will win this one. Probably will put some on the Run line -1.5 too. I see the score being something like 7-4 tomorrow. Buerhle + Jays lineup vs. Phillies and an average starter, that's a high probability of a win. I'll lay the juice and pound it. Go Jays.

I am waiting for the team total than I'll put my dick in those mashed potatoes

**Big Bear** · 08-19-15, 09:19 AM

The Jays do hammer LHP

**jjgold** · 08-19-15, 09:26 AM

HAMMER TIME!!

Good luck Cuz

**badgerguy** · 08-19-15, 09:29 AM

Oh fuk. I'm in it!

**Covy** · 08-19-15, 09:43 AM

Adam Morgan very prone to the HR ball.

Got it at -188 last night

**Ballerholic** · 08-19-15, 10:31 AM

take phillies

**RavensFan2k3** · 08-19-15, 10:51 AM

Originally posted by Ballerholic

take phillies

just to be different or you have reasons?

**Big Bear** · 08-19-15, 10:51 AM

Originally posted by Ballerholic

take phillies

**icecapper** · 08-19-15, 11:18 AM

Steep line to swallow with old man Buerhle. Jays do mash lefties though. Best of luck.

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 11:40 AM

Yeah I just think combo of best of both worlds. Tulo + Donaldson + Bautista + Encarnacion vs. a lefty, and Buerhle has been very solid even though he's old. Been pitching very well for the last two months. Should be a W. Nothing in gambling is certain at all, but I like Jays to win and I think tonight we see them do just that. Not overcomplicated.

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 11:42 AM

Just saw the line jumped to -220 today, nice. Got it at -190 that 30 cents is huge! I could just lay $100 on Phillies and make a profit already based purely on the line movement haha. But no, Jays win. Lock it!

**jjgold** · 08-19-15, 11:44 AM

I think the line is inflated now so I would not play it

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

I think the line is inflated now so I would not play it

Yeah I was going to post yesterday when it was -190 that I wouldn't be surprised if it got over -200 but I didn't want to sound cocky, but man it really flew up there, -220.

That being said, I've read some prominent gamblers posting recently about how people need to stop worrying about "value" so much. Yes, getting a good line is extremely important and saves you money in the long run, but what is more important is being on the right side. If you think a team at +160 has value because you think the line should be +155, but you still don't think they win the game, don't do it. Worry about picking winners, not laying the juice.

Obviously you need to be a little careful on that, you can't be picking Dodgers -180 every night or you will have a hugely losing season. But yeah, if you think a team is going to win, unless the line is outrageous like -500, go ahead and take a shot. Most likely you'll get a winner.

I always think big ML favorites on MLB aren't that bad. If this was NFL, Toronto would be like -12.5 vs. Phillies today. They would be like -350 moneyline. I know you can't really and shouldn't compare MLB to NFL, but this is a game that Toronto wins 8 out of 10 times. That's better than -220 odds. And that's all I have to say about that.

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 03:13 PM

Was going to go double down on Blue Jays, and the line is up to -250!! Glad I got in at -190, wow. Might throw some more on -1.5 and -2.5 with my Yankees win money. Go Jays backers.

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 03:15 PM

Ryan Howard and Maikel Franco out today, Phillies lineup very depleted. Jays win this easy.

**Covy** · 08-19-15, 04:19 PM

Utley about to be traded

Triple whammy and depression in Philly

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 04:36 PM

Originally posted by Covy

Utley about to be traded

Triple whammy and depression in Philly

Honestly this scares me more than makes me happy about the bet haha. Patrick Ewing effect - big player gets traded, everyone steps up suddenly. Hopefully doesn't happen today.

**jjgold** · 08-19-15, 04:41 PM

Let's get this game to go over the total also

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Let's get this game to go over the total also

Buerhle has been solid and lots of good Phillies bats are out. 6-3 or 7-2 jays is my guess. GL on total jj.

**cankid** · 08-19-15, 04:55 PM

Seems real one sided but that's why the games are played

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by cankid

Seems real one sided but that's why the games are played

I agree, you still have to play the game. But it's not a trap or anything, the line is huge for a reason, Toronto will probably win the game. Buerhle has been solid, Jays lineup unstoppable, versus an average Phillies starter and depleted garbage lineup. No trap, no trick... Jays could somehow lose the game, but like I said, 8 out of 10 times they will win. Most likely they will tonight.

**biggie12** · 08-19-15, 06:06 PM

i got 5 dimes on 1st inning tie

good luck

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 06:18 PM

Originally posted by biggie12

i got 5 dimes on 1st inning tie

good luck

what were the odds on that? blue jays not scoring looks good for you obviously

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 06:21 PM

Awful start. Better not get buried. Radio silence.

**Covy** · 08-19-15, 06:21 PM

Quick 3-0 game.

That's why they play these games...

Jays bats won't be silent from here on out though

Revere should've had the guy at home to keep it 0-0 end 1 but poor throw. Same with guy to make it 2-0

**johnny99** · 08-19-15, 06:22 PM

What the fuq

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by Covy

Quick 3-0 game.

That's why they play these games...

Jays bats won't be silent from here on out though

It's the Patrick Ewing effect!! Players that don't do shit suddenly stepping up once a big player traded.

Let's go Blue bats.

**bluetooth3** · 08-19-15, 06:25 PM

You called it, the Patrick effect. ALWAYS happens, still TONS of game left but I felt for ya when I see the line jumping up, hate being on that side...hoping you cash!

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 06:25 PM

Two singles that got thrown in by the outfield to home both hit the runner... two times. Both times the throw was probably going to beat the runner. Bad luck, jesus.

**drfunkmaster** · 08-19-15, 06:29 PM

jays live bet +206

**gregmav1** · 08-19-15, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by drfunkmaster

jays live bet +206

great play.

**AceChampion** · 08-19-15, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by gregmav1

great play.

Damn, I only got +178

**drfunkmaster** · 08-19-15, 06:38 PM

come on jays get some runs get some hits...

**drfunkmaster** · 08-19-15, 06:39 PM

Originally posted by AceChampion

Damn, I only got +178

always take jays live bet after the top of any inning.... You get a better line.