Put your house on Murray

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  • FlipsideRM
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-28-11
    • 10518

    #1
    Put your house on Murray
    Or bicycle, moped, even hot dog cart.

    Murray -120

    i initially liked fed just looking at the line at +105 currently. But nah that's rookie thinking. Face it...

    Murray has only lost 3 matches since February. All 3 of those to no one other than Djokovic himself. As the tournament progresses the baseline wears down and plays more like a clay court. Guess who just won a clay title and went to the semis at the French? Okay let's take that out of the equation since could be meaningless...

    Guess who's playing in their backyard? Guess who will have the fan support? Guess who's almost 6 years younger ? guess who's the more motivated player?

    Look I know it's hard to press submit on a wager against fed at + money but it's pretty simple in my eyes. Or...you could do what the books want you to do and slobber all over Fed being + money at Wimbledon.

    The line is spot on at this point in their careers and current form.

    Good luck
  • FlipsideRM
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-28-11
    • 10518

    #2
    All my documented plays from Wimbledon so far.

    Talk tennis handicapping, betting, picks, matchups, player odds and tournaments in the tennis forum.
    Comment
    • stevek173
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-29-08
      • 27598

      #3
      Lol at hot dog cart, who has one of those!
      Comment
      • FlipsideRM
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-28-11
        • 10518

        #4
        Not sure. You don't?
        Comment
        • sluggy1616
          SBR MVP
          • 07-21-13
          • 1317

          #5
          The key to the match rests on the Murray cross court backhand which is by far his best shot. Feds strategy is simple and has been consistent. Hit the inside out forehand to the right handed opponents backhand. For anyone with a 2 handed back hand this puts alot of pressure on them as the have to be quick about getting around the ball so they can hit cross court. Fed rushes the net, covers the backhand down the line and is in position for 85% of the backhands as a 2 hander does not have time to hit an acute cross court angle.

          Fed has had trouble recently with:

          Kohlscriber- 1 handed backhand
          Staniamal - 1 handed backhand

          Murrays forehand sucks and if Fed is able to hit the forehand up the line a few times if Murray tries to cheat the backhand the match outcome will be pretty straight forward in Feds favor.

          I'm on Feds. 2 units. Not a mortgage.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            Fed is known to choke against good players in big moment for the last five years

            Flip for you don't own a house but I'm sure you have a nice amount on the game
            Comment
            • FlipsideRM
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-28-11
              • 10518

              #7
              Originally posted by jjgold
              Fed is known to choke against good players in big moment for the last five years

              Flip for you don't own a house but I'm sure you have a nice amount on the game

              yes sir! I rolled all my winnings from my top play on Gasquet and Cilic +7 yesterday onto this single match.

              Murray is England's savior. He will bring it home in front of the royal family tomorrow.
              Comment
              • sluggy1616
                SBR MVP
                • 07-21-13
                • 1317

                #8
                Flip will be upside down on his house after tomorrow.
                Comment
                • FlipsideRM
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-28-11
                  • 10518

                  #9
                  Originally posted by sluggy1616
                  Flip will be upside down on his house after tomorrow.
                  Haven't lost a top play all tournament. Check my thread in tennis section.

                  hit on kyrgios over raonic, hit on Cilic over isner and hit on Cilic +7 vs djok.

                  andy Murray is my strongest one of them all. Good luck fading him, he's been a different player since tapping that Kim Sears ass every night
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    Murray quietly having a very good season so he could be ready for this one
                    Comment
                    • Chi-Bears82
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 07-09-15
                      • 29

                      #11
                      I agree.....I think Murray gets it done behind the home crowd to setup an epic final against Novak
                      Comment
                      • ManeOnFire
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-13-14
                        • 851

                        #12
                        Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                        Haven't lost a top play all tournament. Check my thread in tennis section.

                        hit on kyrgios over raonic, hit on Cilic over isner and hit on Cilic +7 vs djok.

                        andy Murray is my strongest one of them all. Good luck fading him, he's been a different player since tapping that Kim Sears ass every night
                        You mean Andy Murray's coach Amelie Mauresmo.
                        Comment
                        • sluggy1616
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-21-13
                          • 1317

                          #13
                          Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                          Haven't lost a top play all tournament. Check my thread in tennis section.

                          hit on kyrgios over raonic, hit on Cilic over isner and hit on Cilic +7 vs djok.

                          andy Murray is my strongest one of them all. Good luck fading him, he's been a different player since tapping that Kim Sears ass every night
                          We will see. With the big 3 it's about strategy, court surface and mental toughness in big spots. I think feds strategy on this court surface will be successful. If Murray is painting the line with the down the line backhand then hopefully Fed can adjust. Otherwise outside of God like serving up to which this point has not been happening for Murray I think Fed wins.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            It will be close
                            No straight sets
                            Comment
                            • FlipsideRM
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-28-11
                              • 10518

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ManeOnFire
                              You mean Andy Murray's coach Amelie Mauresmo.
                              Lol I assume she's lesbian right?
                              Comment
                              • Blackballer
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-12-14
                                • 1117

                                #16
                                JJ you almost reached the 200k mark!!
                                Comment
                                • Big Bear
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-01-11
                                  • 43253

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  Murray quietly having a very good season so he could be ready for this one
                                  dude he is favored.
                                  Comment
                                  • FlipsideRM
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-28-11
                                    • 10518

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                    dude he is favored.
                                    Barely
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      Changing mind


                                      Fed is the play
                                      Comment
                                      • FlipsideRM
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-28-11
                                        • 10518

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Changing mind


                                        Fed is the play
                                        I don't want you to lose your money JJ, Fed is not the play. Do what you wish
                                        Comment
                                        • sluggy1616
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-21-13
                                          • 1317

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                          Lol I assume she's lesbian right?
                                          I wouldn't assume it's a natural female.
                                          Comment
                                          • brodie
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-25-13
                                            • 2212

                                            #22
                                            "guess who's the more motivated player?"

                                            Comment
                                            • Snowball
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 11-15-09
                                              • 30050

                                              #23
                                              The Roger Federer has never lost a Wimbledon Semifinal.
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388179

                                                #24
                                                Snowy forget trends

                                                Everyday match is different
                                                Comment
                                                • Ra77er
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 06-20-11
                                                  • 10969

                                                  #25
                                                  My question is who would MiDnIghT be on in this match?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • FlipsideRM
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-28-11
                                                    • 10518

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by brodie
                                                    "guess who's the more motivated player?"

                                                    This isn't even a question in my eyes. Fed loses and he will go home, hop on twitter and explain his wimbledon in emojis while being happy hes 33 with 17 slams to his name. Murrays in his back yard with all the fans, searching for just his 3rd. The days of Federer/Nadal are over. Sorry to burst your bubble. Bet how you want, but you're betting the wrong guy
                                                    Comment
                                                    • El Nino
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-03-12
                                                      • 18426

                                                      #27
                                                      Leaning Club Fed.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • FlipsideRM
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 09-28-11
                                                        • 10518

                                                        #28
                                                        Lets put it this way, 90% of this forum doesn't bet tennis, nor know much about it but the big names. The fact that almost everyone in here is "team Fed" is an eye opener. Vegas fully expecting and loving the fact that most tennis noobs will be on Fed at a line of + money.

                                                        Dont do it.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Snowball
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 11-15-09
                                                          • 30050

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                                          Snowy forget trends

                                                          Everyday match is different
                                                          The Swiss Maestro hasn't looked this good since 2014 Basel.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lotterypick87
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 06-16-15
                                                            • 99

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                                            Lets put it this way, 90% of this forum doesn't bet tennis, nor know much about it but the big names. The fact that almost everyone in here is "team Fed" is an eye opener. Vegas fully expecting and loving the fact that most tennis noobs will be on Fed at a line of + money.

                                                            Dont do it.
                                                            I have to agree. Fed beating Murray or Djok at his age would have to be considered a pretty big upset imo. I love Fed though. It's hard for me to watch him lose to the new generation.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • FlipsideRM
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-28-11
                                                              • 10518

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by lotterypick87
                                                              I have to agree. Fed beating Murray or Djok at his age would have to be considered a pretty big upset imo. I love Fed though. It's hard for me to watch him lose to the new generation.
                                                              I love Fed as well, he's my favorite player of all time but that doesn't mean he's winning tomorrow
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brodie
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-25-13
                                                                • 2212

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                                                This isn't even a question in my eyes. Fed loses and he will go home, hop on twitter and explain his wimbledon in emojis while being happy hes 33 with 17 slams to his name. Murrays in his back yard with all the fans, searching for just his 3rd. The days of Federer/Nadal are over. Sorry to burst your bubble. Bet how you want, but you're betting the wrong guy
                                                                motivation is never a fukking factor in a grand slam semis match.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • UncleChael
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-30-13
                                                                  • 3979

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Don't fukk me here, pal. Let's get ittttttttttttt Cheers, mate.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • steelheaddan
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 09-04-10
                                                                    • 148

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Coin toss…. leave it alone and take Serena at -600 if want want to make money… Lay the juice and and see it unfold in 38 minutes.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • FlipsideRM
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-28-11
                                                                      • 10518

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by brodie
                                                                      motivation is never a fukking factor in a grand slam semis match.
                                                                      Yeah no shit, but if theres an edge to who's more motivated it's gotta be Murray. Fed loses, oh well. Big Stain on Andy Murray if he loses this with a prime chance to win another final vs Djoker at HOME.

                                                                      I like the way you point out 1 of my statements like it's the fuking key to my pick. NO! You even said yourself in a previous post that you look at "current form" as you sharpest angle to predicting a match. But then you rag on Murray for the way he beat Posp in straights lol. Fact is Murray has been playing out of his mind tennis the past few months on every surface. Now he's playing on arguably his best surface with home crowd behind him, in a tournament he just won 2 years ago vs an aging Fed.

                                                                      Can it, youre annoying the way you attack every single post and hang on the tip of my cok everyday. We'll see tomorrow
                                                                      Comment
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