1. 01-17-12 11:38 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    Did You Know Kentucky Has Lost 13 Straight ATS?

    No, I have no action on Kentucky / Arkansas tonight but I just thought it was a fun fact to point out.
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  2. 01-17-12 11:42 AM #2
    HoulihansTX
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    Still like them in blowout fashion
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  3. 01-17-12 11:42 AM #3
    ebbearsfb1
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    Good stuff... fixing to cover but winning... no one will ever notice... that said ill take arkansas tonight and lose by 40
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  4. 01-17-12 11:44 AM #4
    FourLengthsClear
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    ....... and yet the line is still inflated by a point or so for tonight.
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  5. 01-17-12 11:44 AM #5
    dredmahawkus
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    they have found a way to lose every single game ATS. its insane......maybe have to start taking them till they actually win one ATS>
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  6. 01-17-12 11:47 AM #6
    CollegeOverUnder
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    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post
    ....... and yet the line is still inflated by a point or so for tonight.
    I like how your claiming it's inflated by 1 point when even if the line opened up at what you think it should be you would still say the line was inflated by 1 point
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  7. 01-17-12 11:49 AM #7
    Louisvillekid1
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    It's been discussed they are shaving points to repay their boosters...
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  8. 01-17-12 11:58 AM #8
    kgindy
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    Yep been fading UK, NYK, and the Pistons.
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  9. 01-17-12 11:59 AM #9
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by dredmahawkus View Post
    they have found a way to lose every single game ATS. its insane......maybe have to start taking them till they actually win one ATS>
    Never ever do this. People have started doing this after they lost 1 game ats, 2 games ats, 5 games ats, 10 games ats, etc. etc.

    It is now at 13. You ride the train until it stops if you are basing your plays based on streaks.
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  10. 01-17-12 12:03 PM #10
    FourLengthsClear
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    Quote Originally Posted by CollegeOverUnder View Post
    I like how your claiming it's inflated by 1 point when even if the line opened up at what you think it should be you would still say the line was inflated by 1 point
    Actually no, believe it or not I practice what I 'preach'.

    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post
    Regardless of what methods you use, the one thing I would encourage everyone to do is to try to derive their own line/odds without even looking at the spread.

    Put simply, if you cannot come up with a number which is within one point of what the books are offering 80-85% of the time, you are doing something wrong and it is very unlikely that you are part of the 5% that Sam refers to above. Real edges, are hard to come by these days in major sports. If your numbers consistently/significantly differ from those offered by the books you either a) are a genius and have found the 'holy grail' or b) might as well be throwing darts.
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  11. 01-17-12 12:06 PM #11
    ToPHeR
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    But Lang is on Arkansas...
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  12. 01-17-12 12:08 PM #12
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by ToPHeR View Post
    But Lang is on Arkansas...
    that means that only proper play is pass or play the total.
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  13. 01-17-12 12:11 PM #13
    Sacdaddy05
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    Im taking ark +16.5. Winner winner chicken dinner..
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  14. 01-17-12 12:13 PM #14
    jjgold
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    It means they are overrated
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  15. 01-17-12 12:17 PM #15
    Jaug
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    Sure they have lost 13 straight ATS but many of them by really small margins. Not as significant as if it would have been many games not even close to spread.
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  16. 01-17-12 12:41 PM #16
    dredmahawkus
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Never ever do this. People have started doing this after they lost 1 game ats, 2 games ats, 5 games ats, 10 games ats, etc. etc.

    It is now at 13. You ride the train until it stops if you are basing your plays based on streaks.
    Oh I know I can give a zillion examples where I have won doing that and lost doing that. Like 8 years ago when The devil rays were terrible they won like 6 in row. I started betting against them 50 100 200 ect. I stopped after they won 12 in a row. They won 13 before they lost. I was buried! I would only do a unit then another. Vegas can't let people win fading them all season. I have gone against them every game since that rigged Louville cover. So it's time to go the other way! It's been like 7 or so wins going against them.
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  17. 01-17-12 12:47 PM #17
    SiX111
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Never ever do this. People have started doing this after they lost 1 game ats, 2 games ats, 5 games ats, 10 games ats, etc. etc.

    It is now at 13. You ride the train until it stops if you are basing your plays based on streaks.
    I agree stick with the hot hand till it stops working.
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  18. 01-17-12 12:52 PM #18
    postal warrior
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    All that ends tonight as Langs paid play in on Arkansas.
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  19. 01-17-12 01:15 PM #19
    BiffTFinancial
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    sure sign of shit coaching, which has reached epidemic proportions in the Bluegrass State.

    i thought yesterday's Pitino rant was out of my system, but i guess there was a little left.
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  20. 01-17-12 01:48 PM #20
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by ToPHeR View Post
    But Lang is on Arkansas...
    Kentucky by a country mile.
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  21. 01-17-12 01:52 PM #21
    Sourbumpy
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Kentucky by a country mile.
    Fading Lang has made me a happy man
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  22. 01-17-12 01:58 PM #22
    BernardMadoff
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    Its known by many, the players know also.
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  23. 01-17-12 01:58 PM #23
    BernardMadoff
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post

    Kentucky by a country mile.
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  24. 01-17-12 01:59 PM #24
    BernardMadoff
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    Its been known before of guys with huge pockets telling kids, "We aint asking you to lose, but just dont beat them too bad".
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  25. 01-17-12 03:34 PM #25
    Romanov
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    Its not significant
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  26. 01-17-12 04:05 PM #26
    Bryan T
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    any thoughts on arknsas plus 9 first half?
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  27. 01-17-12 04:21 PM #27
    dotheopposite
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    Quote Originally Posted by ToPHeR View Post
    But Lang is on Arkansas...
    There goes my POD...err he has to be right every once in a while right?
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  28. 01-17-12 04:24 PM #28
    postal warrior
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    Quote Originally Posted by dotheopposite View Post
    There goes my POD...err he has to be right every once in a while right?
    It's only a 10 dime play so this may be the night he wins since this is his smallest play.
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  29. 01-17-12 04:52 PM #29
    thebestthereis
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    Quote Originally Posted by dotheopposite View Post
    There goes my POD...err he has to be right every once in a while right?
    Yes he will, and Kentucky has to cover at some point too
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  30. 01-18-12 12:02 AM #30
    CanuckG
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    Yep. Not a shocker they covered tonight.
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  31. 01-18-12 08:36 AM #31
    RyanLeafOfBets
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    I had Arkansas +17.5. Dang.
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  32. 01-18-12 08:42 AM #32
    dotheopposite
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    Yup..like I said, when Lang was on it, I knew it was over. Kentucky hasn't covered all year, I have taken and lost with them several times, the first time I bet against them, Lang goes the same way and I lose. Still won for the night though. I hedged at halftime of that game and took Kentucky -5.5..which they covered easily.
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  33. 01-18-12 09:45 AM #33
    iceaxe56
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    No concidence the coach caps brother in law is a lwayer in vegas==HMMMMM
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  34. 01-18-12 11:06 AM #34
    thetrinity
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    this wasnt entirely true, they had a half point cover against loyola md (maybe a push depending on your closer) around christmas and they covered the first 3 games. still sick about the louisville game. only a calipari lead team could have a streak like that

    the total was quite crazy both teams pushing at the end of a complete massacare to put the game over or give bettors a push on 149.
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  35. 01-18-12 11:09 AM #35
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by thetrinity View Post
    this wasnt entirely true, they had a half point cover against loyola md (maybe a push depending on your closer) around christmas and they covered the first 3 games. still sick about the louisville game. only a calipari lead team could have a streak like that

    the total was quite crazy both teams pushing at the end of a complete massacare to put the game over or give bettors a push on 149.
    I show a push on Loyola MD game was was 0-13-1 ATS previous 15 before last night with one non-lined game.
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