1. 01-08-12 02:47 AM #36
    warriorfan707
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    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post
    Odds on Betfair to win the Superbowl are currently 17.00 (+1600).

    Without having gone through the various permutations, that looks much more realistic to me than the heavily juiced 5Dimes offer.
    Has that changed recently? Friend told me yesterday that it was +1300

    And do they take a 5% cut if you win?
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  2. 01-08-12 02:52 AM #37
    YouMama
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    Odds on the Texans were +2500 the last wk of the regular season ... I gave them just as much of a chance as the niners ... double the payout
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  3. 01-08-12 02:58 AM #38
    FourLengthsClear
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    Quote Originally Posted by warriorfan707 View Post
    Has that changed recently? Friend told me yesterday that it was +1300

    And do they take a 5% cut if you win?
    Only slightly, was +1500 to +1550 prior to the Saints/Lions game.
    Yes, if you are a new customer there would be a 5% commission on net winnings.
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  4. 01-08-12 03:01 AM #39
    warriorfan707
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    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post
    Only slightly, was +1500 to +1550 prior to the Saints/Lions game.
    Yes, if you are a new customer there would be a 5% commission on net winnings.
    Weird, my friend told me he got the Niners yesterday to win the SB at +1300 on betfair
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  5. 01-08-12 07:11 AM #40
    bachngocduong
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    Quote Originally Posted by FindTheLock View Post
    +1225x500=6125 this is what we are going to subtract from
    lol
    100 to win 1225
    1225 x5 =6125
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  6. 01-08-12 09:25 AM #41
    k13
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    Why did you not get it at the start of the season?

    Then you would have some hope and value with hedging.
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  7. 01-08-12 11:34 AM #42
    moses millsap
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    If you run an accumulator with the 49ers, you will over 25 to 1 to win the Super Bowl if they end up playing Packers and either Pats or Ravens.

    1 unit on them to beat Saints will return 2.8 (already +180 now, so you can get that now). Then put the 2.8 against the Pack where they will be +330ish, leaving you with 12.04 to bet with. They will be underdog depending on who they play in SB, so at worst you'll get around 25 to 1, more likely over 30 to 1 if they play the Pats.
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  8. 01-08-12 11:58 AM #43
    FindTheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by bachngocduong View Post
    lol
    100 to win 1225
    1225 x5 =6125
    His base bet was 500 not 100 so I shortened the process because

    +1225 is the same as saying 12.25 for multiplication purposes.
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  9. 01-08-12 12:02 PM #44
    skjjb4
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    Quote Originally Posted by peeiempee View Post
    There should be a loop hole scenerio or x-factor you didn't take into account here. Vegas does not give away free money.
    So true
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  10. 01-08-12 01:48 PM #45
    warriorfan707
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    What do you guys think the ML will be for Packers/Niners?
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  11. 01-08-12 01:52 PM #46
    FourLengthsClear
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    Quote Originally Posted by warriorfan707 View Post
    what do you guys think the ml will be for packers/niners?
    -350
    +320
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  12. 01-08-12 01:59 PM #47
    rockaflocka
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    You cant buy a future with the anticipation of hedging every opportunity, you will break even at best
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  13. 01-08-12 02:00 PM #48
    warriorfan707
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    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post
    -350
    +320
    I was thinking Packers -335
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  14. 01-08-12 02:05 PM #49
    warriorfan707
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    so 1k to win 500 on Saints

    Niners win you gotta win 1500 on Gb to break even

    Yep clearly this wont work unless you bypass the first game
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  15. 01-15-12 09:01 PM #50
    FourLengthsClear
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    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post
    Odds on Betfair to win the Superbowl are currently 17.00 (+1600).

    Without having gone through the various permutations, that looks much more realistic to me than the heavily juiced 5Dimes offer.
    Hope you made this play dude.

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  16. 01-16-12 12:12 AM #51
    isotopes
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    Biggest problem you have is that you assumed the packers were going to beat the giants
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  17. 01-16-12 12:16 AM #52
    paco
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    FLC, how old are u? And do u have a degree in math or finance? U seem like the best dude when it comes to numbers on this site hands down.
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  18. 01-16-12 12:57 AM #53
    FourLengthsClear
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    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    FLC, how old are u? And do u have a degree in math or finance? U seem like the best dude when it comes to numbers on this site hands down.
    I am 40, Paco.

    My major was actually in physics (aerodynamics) although there is obviously a big crossover with maths.
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