1. #1
    LeahMichele
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    Saints and Patriots in the SB

    I saw a bet at 5 dimes where you can get + 700 if you bet that Saints and the Patriots will both be in the superbowl. I like this bet. I bet it. It has a great chance.

  2. #2
    dredmahawkus
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    if houston beats cincy then the pats have to play pitt then balt.....going to be tough!

  3. #3
    Coolcanuck79
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    I have a sneaking suspicion that the Saints will come out of the NFC and being a Pats fan, I certainly hope they make it too. Good luck on your bet!

  4. #4
    GunShard
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    Remember when the Patriots were humiliated by the Jets and Ravens in the playoffs?

  5. #5
    Dabeergod
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    I have the same match up in the SB

  6. #6
    Dkid
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeahMichele View Post
    I saw a bet at 5 dimes where you can get + 700 if you bet that Saints and the Patriots will both be in the superbowl. I like this bet. I bet it. It has a great chance.
    where?

  7. #7
    Chi_archie
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    Seems like it should Pay more, good luck

  8. #8
    Big Bear
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    i love it!

  9. #9
    BettingWizard
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    terrible value

  10. #10
    seaborneq
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    I made the bet already. It not too late to cancel your bet.

  11. #11
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by BettingWizard View Post
    terrible value
    Ok smart guy. One of them is going to hit. Which one has "value"?



    NFL Super Bowl XLVI - matchup
    Sat 1/7 4:30PM
    New England vs Green Bay +300
    Baltimore vs Green Bay +475
    New England vs New Orleans +650
    Pittsburgh vs Green Bay +849
    Baltimore vs New Orleans +1000
    Pittsburgh vs New Orleans +1250
    New England vs San Francisco +1495
    Denver vs Detroit +2500
    Baltimore vs San Francisco +2550
    New England vs New York Giants +2850
    Houston vs Green Bay +3175
    Pittsburgh vs San Francisco +3475
    New England vs Atlanta +4275
    Baltimore vs New York Giants +4800
    Cincinnati vs Green Bay +4825
    Denver vs Green Bay +5450
    New England vs Detroit +5650
    Pittsburgh vs New York Giants +6000
    Houston vs New Orleans +6050
    Baltimore vs Atlanta +7450
    Baltimore vs Detroit +8400
    Cincinnati vs New Orleans +9200
    Pittsburgh vs Atlanta +9500
    Houston vs San Francisco +10000
    Pittsburgh vs Detroit +10000
    Denver vs New Orleans +10400
    Cincinnati vs San Francisco +18500
    Denver vs San Francisco +21000
    Cincinnati vs Atlanta +22000
    Cincinnati vs Detroit +23000
    Denver vs Atlanta +23000
    Houston vs New York Giants +23000
    Houston vs Atlanta +25000
    Cincinnati vs New York Giants +27500
    Houston vs Detroit +27500
    Denver vs New York Giants +30000

  12. #12
    ProfaneReality
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    I imagine you'd be better off taking your wager amount and rolling it over on each ML up to the superbowl

  13. #13
    eidolon
    USA
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    Baltimore vs New Orleans +1000

  14. #14
    mathdotcom
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    HORRIBLE odds

  15. #15
    baskets
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    not a chance in hell.

    Pats setting themselves up for a major crash. Those Miami and Buffalo games... down 38 pts combined.... that's called foreshadowing. Against real teams they lose in their own building. Good chance it'll happen again this year.

  16. #16
    SASH
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    pittsburgh vs giants +6000 is my bet

  17. #17
    john230
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    If New England had a better defense I would agree. Then again with Big Ben's bum ankle and Ravens struggles on the roadn it may be a good play.

  18. #18
    Monte
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Ok smart guy. One of them is going to hit. Which one has "value"?



    New England vs Green Bay +300
    Let's make an example out of this one...
    100 to win 300

    Will the Patriots win the AFC Conference? No -116 (Pinny line)
    116 to win 100

    Now if the Pats don't make it, you'd break even.
    If the Pats make it and GB doesn't, loss of 216.
    Your bets would be on GB making it to avoid a loss, odds for this are -130.

    But you don't *win* if NE doesn't make it, unlike with the -130 line. This will happen about 50% of the time. You bet 216 to win 300 with a 50% less chance of winning, which would roughly mean you bet 216 to win 150 instead of 130 to win 100. Or converted: 216 to win 150 instead of 195 to win 150.

    Result: A straight bet on Gb to win the conference at -130 is better value...confused alrdy?

  19. #19
    LeahMichele
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfaneReality View Post
    I imagine you'd be better off taking your wager amount and rolling it over on each ML up to the superbowl

    No because now the Patriots get to play the Broncos, when the +700 assumed 85% likelihood they would play Pitt. Now their raod is much easier. The Pats are -800 ML some places this week, the Saints are -180. They will both win this weekend and iF I put the $100 parlayed saints and Pats this week I would come out with about $200. Take the $200 and parlay them both next week I would probably come out with $650-$700 assuming Pats are -200 and Saints are +150. This way I will come out with 800. Would have worked better your way if the Steelers won because the pats wouldnt be -800 against the steelers, maybe only -250 against the steelers. Still I take the +700 because you never know who will win the other games. I still believe it will be pats and saints for the SB even though the pats Defense isnt great, they will still beat Denver then they face Balt or Houston at NE. also I think NYG might beat GB so if that happens then my teams are favs in every game they played so that way my 100 would only turn into 400 or 450. and come on everyone knows if doesnt matter that the pats got smoked a couple games during the season. every team got smoked some times, this is the playoffs its a whole new time and the Pats are at home.

  20. #20
    LeahMichele
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    Quote Originally Posted by mathdotcom View Post
    HORRIBLE odds
    I dont understand how you can say this when you dont know who they play. Is it still horrible odds if NE plays Denver then Houston both in NE. and if NO plays at SF then home against NYG ? NO then its great odds.

  21. #21
    will2survive
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    Saints vs. Patriots-- primary bet

    Packers vs. Patriots--backup bet (Never underestimate Rodgers but Brees is on fire)

  22. #22
    Muscles
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    The AFC is a little weaker this year and that's a good thing for a little down of a Patriots team. Especially on defense. I see a great showdown for the NFC between GB and the Saints but I don't see the Saints winning in that environment.

  23. #23
    LeahMichele
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    I think NYG gonna beat GB

  24. #24
    LeahMichele
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    Whether this play wins or looses, I think Its undeniable that those of us who bet this got great value. 5 dimes has now put up sides and Moneylines on the possible conf. championship matchups as well. So the 5 games look like this

    NO -600 against Detriot WINNER
    NE - 800 against Denver
    NO -190 against SF
    NE -250 against BALT ( even higher if its HOU, but I use -250 )
    NO + 175 against GB ( They are -250 if its against NYG )

    Using a parlay calculator and using the worst possible odds which is -600, -800, -190, -250, and + 175, the parlay calculator says it should have only been +565. And if Houston or NYG win this weekend, waiting to play this would have lowered the payout from +565 down into the range of +400 to +450, so no this bet is not "horrible odds" at all, it is in fact GREAT odds.

  25. #25
    LeahMichele
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    Quote Originally Posted by Coolcanuck79 View Post
    I have a sneaking suspicion that the Saints will come out of the NFC and being a Pats fan, I certainly hope they make it too. Good luck on your bet!

    Thanks. I think your Pats will be there.

  26. #26
    beerman2619
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeahMichele View Post
    I think NYG gonna beat GB


  27. #27
    BaLLcappin99
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    over/under 72.5

  28. #28
    GamblerSpirit
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Ok smart guy. One of them is going to hit. Which one has "value"?



    NFL Super Bowl XLVI - matchup
    Sat 1/7 4:30PM
    New England vs Green Bay +300
    Baltimore vs Green Bay +475
    New England vs New Orleans +650
    Pittsburgh vs Green Bay +849
    Baltimore vs New Orleans +1000
    Pittsburgh vs New Orleans +1250
    New England vs San Francisco +1495
    Denver vs Detroit +2500
    Baltimore vs San Francisco +2550
    New England vs New York Giants +2850
    Houston vs Green Bay +3175
    Pittsburgh vs San Francisco +3475
    New England vs Atlanta +4275
    Baltimore vs New York Giants +4800
    Cincinnati vs Green Bay +4825
    Denver vs Green Bay +5450
    New England vs Detroit +5650
    Pittsburgh vs New York Giants +6000
    Houston vs New Orleans +6050
    Baltimore vs Atlanta +7450
    Baltimore vs Detroit +8400
    Cincinnati vs New Orleans +9200
    Pittsburgh vs Atlanta +9500
    Houston vs San Francisco +10000
    Pittsburgh vs Detroit +10000
    Denver vs New Orleans +10400
    Cincinnati vs San Francisco +18500
    Denver vs San Francisco +21000
    Cincinnati vs Atlanta +22000
    Cincinnati vs Detroit +23000
    Denver vs Atlanta +23000
    Houston vs New York Giants +23000
    Houston vs Atlanta +25000
    Cincinnati vs New York Giants +27500
    Houston vs Detroit +27500
    Denver vs New York Giants +30000

    Pats/Saints is so square. Is this the year of the squares?

    Ravens/GB
    Ravens/NY
    Ravens/Niners
    Ravens/Saints
    Pats/NY
    Pats/GB

    Those are the only lines I would play and in this order. Ravens/GB is the the most realistic one IMO. It's only the second smallest line there is, too.

    P.S. Dark horse being the Texans.

  29. #29
    LeahMichele
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    so you would take lower payout odds ( +475 vs. +650 ) on a play that has less chance just so you can have the 15-1 and defending champion Packers ? and we are square ? LOL.

  30. #30
    GamblerSpirit
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeahMichele View Post
    so you would take lower payout odds ( +475 vs. +650 ) on a play that has less chance just so you can have the 15-1 and defending champion Packers ? and we are square ? LOL.
    Great bet. Stay in the kitchen.

  31. #31
    BettingWizard
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    Quote Originally Posted by BettingWizard View Post
    terrible value

  32. #32
    DOMINATER
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    pats will be there easy way in

  33. #33
    cankid
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    Quote Originally Posted by LeahMichele View Post
    I saw a bet at 5 dimes where you can get + 700 if you bet that Saints and the Patriots will both be in the superbowl. I like this bet. I bet it. It has a great chance.
    I guess that cant happen but the Patriots looked unbeatable today

  34. #34
    seaborneq
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    Great odds on baltimore vs giants +4800

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