1. 12-30-11 07:43 AM #1
    stevenash
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    Tulsa -1.5 over BYU

    Both teams have solid run offenses, game should come down to who runs the ball better.

    Tulsa has the better running attack, they average 5 yards per carry, and I am not convinced BYU can get enough stops on defense.

    I'm not buying into the BYU end of the season hype either.

    Oh sure, they won their last three 42-7, 42-7, 41-20, against who? The three crappiest teams in the WAC, Idaho, New Mexico State, and Hawaii.
    Add up the win totals of those three teams (12) and you still don't equal LSU.

    Plus, I'm reading where Tulsa will be doing things on defense this game, which tells me Tulsa isn't mailing this game in, they are prepping hard.

    Tulsa is going to be stunting, and bringing the house on BYU QB Riley Nelson.
    Nelson's tough, he's coming off bruised lungs and broken ribs, and Tulsa will be pressuring Nelson all afternoon.
    Just one big hit is all it's going to take to get inside the kids head, you see, first big hit, Nelson will be off his game.

    Now here's the important part, and I'm not rooting for anybody to get knocked out of any game with lung or rib injuries, but the QB who filled in for Nelson the games he missed due to ribs (Heaps) is out, gone, he transferred, he's not on the team anymore, the backup QB for this game for BYU is a nobody, with 10 pass attempts his whole career.

    Now, if Tulsa is successful in getting into Nelson's face, and forces BYU to run, they are going to be running into a vastly underrated, strong run defense of Tulsa.

    Tulsa's run defense is ranked 37th in the nation, they only allow slightly 3 yards per rush.

    I'm expecting BYU to be all sorts of out of synch all game.

    Tulsa has those two backs that can rip off yards too, Douglas and Watts.
    Both ran for over 800 yards, I particularly like Douglas and his 8 yards per run.
    Now BYU does have a good run defense the two of them are not going to go off for 100 and change each, but they should move the ball.

    Keeping it real here, Tulsa QB GJ Kinne is not my favorite passing QB, but if Tulsa gets the ground game going, and they should, Kinne shouldn't have to go up top.

    This game isn't the pick'em game Las Vegas makes it out to be.
    Tulsa is going to be prepped, especially on defense, and if Kinne doesn't get picked, I wouldn't be surprised if Tulsa wins by 14
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  2. 12-30-11 08:40 AM #2
    arnoldrothstein
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    Stevie you been hot you really like this or what. I was gonna take buy but I will tail you if you really like it?
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  3. 12-30-11 08:41 AM #3
    arnoldrothstein
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    Steve BUY is ranked 24th nationally on defense. You thing then can run on them?
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  4. 12-30-11 08:42 AM #4
    Br0nxer
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    Nice write up

    Tough game
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  5. 12-30-11 08:50 AM #5
    arnoldrothstein
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    Bronxer I gave you vandy yesterday you prikk you did you take them and Sid you roll with FSU like I said you should.
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  6. 12-30-11 08:54 AM #6
    Br0nxer
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    No play on vandy

    Nice call

    Had fsu ML big

    You didnt give me fsu you prikk fukk
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  7. 12-30-11 08:55 AM #7
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by arnoldrothstein View Post
    Steve BUY is ranked 24th nationally on defense.
    I am aware of that, but defending who?
    New Mexico State? Idaho? Idaho State? Bottom feeding WAC teams.

    Show me the run defense today.
    I don't think they can stop the Tulsa run enough today.

    I've been wrong before, I will be wrong again, but I need to be shown that the conferenceless gypsies that is BYU can stop a good run attack.

    p.s. this is not an all in game, or even a 5 star bomb game, this is a regular sized bet game on a team (Tulsa) that should get it done this afternoon.
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  8. 12-30-11 08:57 AM #8
    PAULYPOKER
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    I like under 57.5.........
    Last edited by PAULYPOKER; 12-30-11 at 10:52 AM.
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  9. 12-30-11 08:57 AM #9
    Br0nxer
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    Steve you work in the ceasars book?
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  10. 12-30-11 08:59 AM #10
    stevenash
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    ^
    My sister does
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  11. 12-30-11 09:06 AM #11
    katstale
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    Good thoughts here. For sure, Tulsa has more motivation than BYU in this game.
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  12. 12-30-11 09:10 AM #12
    Br0nxer
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    Im a little worried about tulsa pass defense

    When nelson gets hot him and hoffman can be lethal
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  13. 12-30-11 09:18 AM #13
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Br0nxer View Post
    Im a little worried about tulsa pass defense

    When nelson gets hot him and hoffman can be lethal
    Nelson will be under pressure all game, expect Tulsa to do some funky stuff on defense.
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  14. 12-30-11 09:28 AM #14
    RyanLeafOfBets
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    Line is down to 1... I might bite on this, not sure. I suck at college football bets
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  15. 12-30-11 09:47 AM #15
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by katstale View Post
    Good thoughts here. For sure, Tulsa has more motivation than BYU in this game.
    And why is that? Because the wheels fell off in their conf champ game last time out?
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  16. 12-30-11 10:50 AM #16
    katstale
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    Its not complicated. Tulsa is probably the smallest divison 1 school. Bowl games mean something to them. ANY bowl game. BYU can't be expected to get excited abt this game.
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  17. 12-30-11 10:54 AM #17
    griz
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    On byu +2.5
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  18. 12-30-11 12:00 PM #18
    stevenash
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    BYU is garbage

    Kinne looks like he really is enjoying himself and having fun too.
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