LONDON (MarketWatch) — The news over the holiday weekend is that the Obama administration may be moving towards legalizing online poker.
An opinion by the Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel, written in September but only published on Friday, may open the door to online poker once again. It argues that the federal Wire Act may only prohibit betting on things like sporting events.
Poker has been subject to a crackdown since President George Bush signed the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act in 2006.
If this is reversed, investors can expect a gold rush into online poker companies. To cut to the chase, one of the stocks to watch is bwin.Party Digital Entertainment UK:BPTY +19.65% , traded in London. It is a market leader overseas, has a clean balance sheet, strong profits, and a joint venture ready to go with two big U.S. companies.
Online poker was promising to become a very big deal before 2006. Even though the industry had only been around for a few years it was already growing fast and had hit critical mass.
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At the time the biggest operator, PartyPoker, was handling 32 online poker hands a second, and $125 million in wagers a day. Nearly all of that was in the U.S. Its revenues had rocketed eighty-fold, to nearly $900 million, in four years.
The crackdown caused its stock to collapse. Even though it was an overseas company, it ended up paying Uncle Sam $105 million in settlement to atone for the sin of taking U.S. bets.
There are reasons to think the door to online poker may be opened again.
Forget the “positive reasons” — like freedom, pursuit of happiness, or the absurd hypocrisy of our gambling laws.
The real reasons are negative.
State governments are desperate for revenue. Yet taxpayers don’t like paying taxes. They want paved roads, educated (sort of) fellow citizens, police, and clean air. But they don’t really want to pay for them.
As a result, state governments are raising revenues through other means. One of their favorites? Gambling.
It’s the only tax Americans don’t mind. Indeed it’s the only tax Americans actually line up to pay. The same people who will scream blue murder over $50 in extra taxes will happily drop $1,000 in slot machines or on lottery tickets without a whimper.
States everywhere are licensing more casinos and slot machines. They are selling lottery tickets as fast as they can.