1. #1
    milwaukee mike
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    huge line movement on nev/so miss tonight

    so miss went from -10 -110 at sia down to -8.5 +110 in the blink of an eye

    other shops are down to -7 -110

  2. #2
    sthrncross
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    the play is the OVER
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: cant call it

  3. #3
    Grits n' Gravy
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    Line just moved back to opening number. Nothing more.

  4. #4
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Somebody messing w/ the #, creating a middle.

    Was it really +10 for some time?

  5. #5
    sideloaded
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    why are you quoting sia numbers?

  6. #6
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by sideloaded View Post
    why are you quoting sia numbers?
    they were still higher than most
    lot of 9s out there this morning

  7. #7
    TEXAS MICKEY
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    Check the So Miss roster, somebody might have been surfing, missed team meeting, or missed curfew last night..................

  8. #8
    felon4wins
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    s miss will role big tonite take em up to 14 theyll cover

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    Loving my Nevada +9

  10. #10
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by TEXAS MICKEY View Post
    Check the So Miss roster, somebody might have been surfing, missed team meeting, or missed curfew last night..................
    Haven't heard anything, but possible. Head Coach has one foot out the door.

  11. #11
    paranoyd androyd
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    game blows and is meaningless neither team cares

  12. #12
    Madison
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Somebody messing w/ the #, creating a middle. Was it really +10 for some time?
    No disrespect BUT ... 9.5-7-5 these numbers are essentially meaningless. You need a safety, missed extra point something otherwise meaningless the majority of the time. If you're gonna bet football especially you need to understand the key #'s. BOL and HH to all.

  13. #13
    jeffdane
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    s miss won conf usa, they are happy to be in this bowl. s miss coach is leaving after this game, going to n carolina.

    i dont know about nevada but s miss will be up for this game.

    if you like nevada you should just play the over, s miss scores at least 35.

    s miss already explosive offense will pull some tricks out of the bag, in the coaches last game.

  14. #14
    Glitch
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    this current/recent line is more like what it was before it went way up there (originally)

  15. #15
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by Madison View Post
    No disrespect BUT ... 9.5-7-5 these numbers are essentially meaningless. You need a safety, missed extra point something otherwise meaningless the majority of the time. If you're gonna bet football especially you need to understand the key #'s. BOL and HH to all.
    those numbers aren't meaningless. over 2% of ncaa football games end in an 8 point margin of victory.
    combine that with 9 and you're well over 3% of the games. and i didn't say it moved from 9 1/2 i said it moved from 10, and i didn't say it moved to 7 1/2 i said it moved to 7.
    compare that with the # of games that land on 3 which is around 7% and landing on 7 which is 6% or so.

    so a move from 10 to 7 is hugely significant, including pushes you're accounting for about 13% of the expected results.

  16. #16
    5mike5
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    -7 at 5dimes right now

  17. #17
    iQon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Madison View Post
    No disrespect BUT ... 9.5-7-5 these numbers are essentially meaningless. You need a safety, missed extra point something otherwise meaningless the majority of the time. If you're gonna bet football especially you need to understand the key #'s. BOL and HH to all.
    We're talking about college football here. Quality kickers are a luxury at this level. Missed FG's and XP's are a regular occurrence.

  18. #18
    DrSize
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    I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda

  19. #19
    5mike5
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    anybody that thinks 1-3 points isnt a big difference

    that tells me all i need to know about your skills...

    and they arent very good

  20. #20
    sideloaded
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    Quote Originally Posted by Madison View Post
    No disrespect BUT ... 9.5-7-5 these numbers are essentially meaningless. You need a safety, missed extra point something otherwise meaningless the majority of the time. If you're gonna bet football especially you need to understand the key #'s. BOL and HH to all.
    you need a better push chart

  21. #21
    Puppy
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    Quote Originally Posted by paranoyd androyd View Post
    game blows and is meaningless neither team cares
    QB for s.miss cares a lot. hes trying to get drafted and has about a 50/50 chance to make it in the nfl. so unless his offensive teammates hate him look for him to do some things. i think over is the play here

  22. #22
    jeffdane
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    nevada return man and one of main running backs has been kicked off the team.

    if you didnt know.

    ball.

  23. #23
    tony_come
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    The man middle

    he's good

  24. #24
    Blazermaniac
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    "IN A BET THERE IS A FOOL AND A THIEF" I like your quote MilMike.

  25. #25
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrSize View Post
    I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda
    Muy Bueno!

  26. #26
    Jaug
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrSize View Post
    I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda
    Well well

  27. #27
    hawk 5
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrSize View Post
    I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda
    Nice

  28. #28
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by Blazermaniac View Post
    "IN A BET THERE IS A FOOL AND A THIEF" I like your quote MilMike.
    thanks

    got a 1/2 middle with so miss -7 -110 and nevada +10 -130
    had some money to rollover so didn't mind some excess juice for a middle chance

  29. #29
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrSize View Post
    I'm on SMiss -6.5 from early in the week and grabbed Neveda +10 even larger early this morning. Gonna be a monster of a night if SMiss wins by 7 but lean is to Neveda
    nice work
    now learn how to spell NEVADA - great state

  30. #30
    BigdaddyQH
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    A huge middle win. This line was played beautifully by the wiseguys who got Joe Pub to buy in on Southern Miss.

  31. #31
    sideloaded
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    A huge middle win. This line was played beautifully by the wiseguys who got Joe Pub to buy in on Southern Miss.
    Imagine all those sharps that won. moving that line.

    I had southern miss at pick-em, granted the juice was high but it WAS PICK'em
    Last edited by sideloaded; 12-25-11 at 12:41 PM.

  32. #32
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by sideloaded View Post
    Imagine all those sharps that won. moving that line.

    I had southern miss at pick-em, granted the juice was high but it WAS PICK'em
    A lot of newbies don't get the joke though.

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