1. #1
    Keelo
    Keelo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-10
    Posts: 880
    Betpoints: 471

    Packers -3.5 against Chargers!!

    Lock the Pack in early you know this line will move. Chargers most overrated team in football almost every year. Chargers with 6 days rest while the Pack coming off a bye.

  2. #2
    brahmabull117
    brahmabull117's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 8,622
    Betpoints: 42

    teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all

  3. #3
    DrStale
    DrStale's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 9,692

    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
    Looked like it worked out pretty well for the Eagles

  4. #4
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
    seaborneq's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-06
    Posts: 22,556
    Betpoints: 13422

    Chargers must be at home. I would take the over, the chargers are cursed or too spooky to put my money on right now.

  5. #5
    Sunde91
    Sunde91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 8,325
    Betpoints: 255

    where

    that isnt up at BetOnline unlike what it says on sbrodds

  6. #6
    Keelo
    Keelo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-10
    Posts: 880
    Betpoints: 471

    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
    Yeah teams coming off a bye were 5-1 this week.

    Plus the Pack is not a normal team.

  7. #7
    Avenger
    Avenger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-15-11
    Posts: 2,119
    Betpoints: 13

    line is fishy as tuna.

    Waaaay better games on next week's board.

    I'm through playing road favs.

    after tonight, Charger's fan are looking for blood. With Rivers, Turner and Co., it'll still be a sh*tfest, but I'm staying away.

  8. #8
    Keelo
    Keelo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-10
    Posts: 880
    Betpoints: 471

    The first 12 teams that had byes are currently a collective 20 games below .500. I don't read to much into that but thanks Brahma.

  9. #9
    jazzyj7
    jazzyj7's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-02-09
    Posts: 859
    Betpoints: 1160

    I like the chargers +3.5. Chargers will bring the A game, need the win more. It'll be a close game, but I think it'll come down to 3 points.

  10. #10
    InTheDrink
    Drinker of the Year
    InTheDrink's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-23-09
    Posts: 23,983
    Betpoints: 527

    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
    Of all the reasons not to play GB, this is the worst of them all.

    Nice work brahman!

  11. #11
    GunShard
    Invest In Ethereum And Bitcoin
    GunShard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 9,983
    Betpoints: 1920

    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all
    This is where I fade you.

    Joe Flacco and the Ravens has not lost out of the bye week. WIN
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...ore-7-5-a.html

    Andy Reid has not lost out of the bye week SU. WIN

  12. #12
    brahmabull117
    brahmabull117's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 8,622
    Betpoints: 42

    Quote Originally Posted by InTheDrink View Post
    Of all the reasons not to play GB, this is the worst of them all. Nice work brahman!

    I didn't say people shouldn't play GB - I just said that people need to stop using the reasoning that a team off a bye week has some sort of an advantage - so far the numbers this year point the other way



    I don't think it will matter too much in this case, Green bay plays so much smarter on both sides of the ball that they should be able to win by 7-10 points

  13. #13
    floridagolfer
    floridagolfer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-08
    Posts: 2,757
    Betpoints: 12339

    Quote Originally Posted by Keelo View Post
    The first 12 teams that had byes are currently a collective 20 games below .500. I don't read to much into that but thanks Brahma.

    What does having an off week have to do with a team's season record?

  14. #14
    coop
    coop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-11-11
    Posts: 616
    Betpoints: 127

    Quote Originally Posted by floridagolfer View Post
    What does having an off week have to do with a team's season record?
    He's saying if the first 12 teams that have had bye weeks have overall losing records (inferior teams), the stat that teams coming off their bye weeks are doing awful and losing is greatly misleading and not worth noting.

    For example: off of their week 5 bye weeks, these were the teams: Baltimore (won), Cleveland, Dallas (lost), Miami, St Louis, Washington (Baltimore and Dalls being quality teams.)

    Off of their week 6 bye weeks, these were the teams: Arizona, Denver, KC (won), San Diego (lost), Seattle, Tennessee. (with KC and SD being considered quality)

    Off of their week 7 byes: Buffalo (won), Cincinatti (won), New England (loss), NYG (won), Philadelphia (won), San Fran (won). These higher quality team coming off their byes had a lot more success, while the first 12 were pretty much shit.

    So basically, teams that would be considered good are 7-3 off their bye (and thats including Dallas and SD who are trainwrecks), with a large remaining number of quality teams such as ATL, GB, NYJ, CHI, TB, OAK, DET, HOU, NO, and PITT still not having come off their bye week yet.

  15. #15
    Ricki Roma
    Ricki Roma's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-03-10
    Posts: 737

    Hate to say it but packers look good here, I was thinking the line would be 7 or higher.

    I would take the packers and the over no doubt. Probably tease both for insurance. There just too good. And chargers know,how to troll it up so well its,insane.

  16. #16
    obamaismyuncle
    obamaismyuncle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-31-08
    Posts: 17,801

    You never know which Chargers team will show up...only safe bet with San Diego is betting on them not to cover when they're on the road.

  17. #17
    Mr Handicapable
    Mr Handicapable's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-23-07
    Posts: 6,067
    Betpoints: 174

    Quote Originally Posted by obamaismyuncle View Post
    You never know which Chargers team will show up...only safe bet with San Diego is betting on them not to cover when they're on the road.
    I disagree...I've seen the same SD team all year! They roll up 450 yards and about 17-20 points while leaving atleast 14 points on the field because of penalties and unforced turnovers. GB doesn't have a lockdown D by any means though so it will probably be close like the Pack/Vikings game.

  18. #18
    crustyme
    dont i look killer?
    crustyme's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-29-10
    Posts: 16,896
    Betpoints: 39

    chargers ml.


  19. #19
    letitride87
    letitride87's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-06-09
    Posts: 55

    I don't think vegas is factoring in what is wrong with rivers. It's clear as day there's something wrong with him and if I had to guess I'd say he's having elbow issues. His throws are really off and against rodgers and co. you better be razor sharp to keep up. Chargers will get blasted if rivers doesn't get his arm back.

  20. #20
    no1here
    no1here's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-23-09
    Posts: 5,914
    Betpoints: 6547

    not a true statement especially against team on short rest

    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    teams off the bye have a horrible record this year - not at an advantage at all

  21. #21
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    The line will be more like -5.5, the 3.5 was an early line.

    Either way won't be surprised to see the Chargers cover and win SU here.

  22. #22
    crustyme
    dont i look killer?
    crustyme's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-29-10
    Posts: 16,896
    Betpoints: 39

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    The line will be more like -5.5, the 3.5 was an early line.

    Either way won't be surprised to see the Chargers cover and win SU here.

    chargers are undefeated at home and could easily be 6-1 and the favorites if not for 2 uncharacteristic turnovers.

    but you think the line will be -5.5?


  23. #23
    nato3713
    nato3713's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-11
    Posts: 46
    Betpoints: 198

    -6 (-110) at 5dimes just now

  24. #24
    Keelo
    Keelo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-10
    Posts: 880
    Betpoints: 471

    Quote Originally Posted by crustyme View Post
    chargers are undefeated at home and could easily be 6-1 and the favorites if not for 2 uncharacteristic turnovers.

    but you think the line will be -5.5?

    Wow the Chargers are undefeated at home against who? Chiefs, dolphins, Vikings. Those are some stellar teams.

  25. #25
    Full Time Hobo
    In a Box
    Full Time Hobo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-16-10
    Posts: 2,778
    Betpoints: 3676

    Does SD have a healthy RB?

  26. #26
    DJ Dana
    DJ Dana's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-11-11
    Posts: 342
    Betpoints: 241

    Quote Originally Posted by crustyme View Post
    chargers are undefeated at home and could easily be 6-1 and the favorites if not for 2 uncharacteristic turnovers.

    but you think the line will be -5.5?


    I wouldn't call those home wins by San Diego encouraging for that team. They held off a lousy Minn team that was being led by a worn out McNabb, barely held off a KC team that was still dinged up AND also narrowly beat Miami. SD is just not the same this year.
    Last edited by DJ Dana; 11-01-11 at 11:21 AM.

  27. #27
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    With the theatrics of the NFL,San-Diego along with Rivers debacle on national TV, this opens the door for an epic upset over the Packers this weekend................

  28. #28
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    Quote Originally Posted by crustyme View Post
    chargers are undefeated at home and could easily be 6-1 and the favorites if not for 2 uncharacteristic turnovers.

    but you think the line will be -5.5?

    Am I wrong? Check the lines now....

  29. #29
    Keelo
    Keelo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-10
    Posts: 880
    Betpoints: 471

    Looks like the line is -6 or -7
    I would still take it. Anything under 7

  30. #30
    veeds1690
    veeds1690's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-11
    Posts: 178
    Betpoints: 624

    Quote Originally Posted by Full Time Hobo View Post
    Does SD have a healthy RB?
    Matthews groin injury, Brinkley with concussion. I'm sure as the week goes on we find out who'll be in there.

  31. #31
    Full Time Hobo
    In a Box
    Full Time Hobo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-16-10
    Posts: 2,778
    Betpoints: 3676

    Quote Originally Posted by veeds1690 View Post
    Matthews groin injury, Brinkley with concussion. I'm sure as the week goes on we find out who'll be in there.
    + Tolbert with Hamstring and Hand injury

  32. #32
    bigsmitty
    bigsmitty's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-12-10
    Posts: 3,026
    Betpoints: 370

    Quote Originally Posted by letitride87 View Post
    I don't think vegas is factoring in what is wrong with rivers. It's clear as day there's something wrong with him and if I had to guess I'd say he's having elbow issues. His throws are really off and against rodgers and co. you better be razor sharp to keep up. Chargers will get blasted if rivers doesn't get his arm back.
    Agreed. Haven't had time to scope anything out for details but GB -6 would have my vote. Ciao

  33. #33
    marcojuiceman
    marcojuiceman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-25-11
    Posts: 2,873

    I will take the Chargers for the Money Line they just lost and its time for the Pack to Loss Using the 360> rule

  34. #34
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    Unless this line hits -7 at sharp shops, take the Chargers with a sprinkle on the ML.

    Line is way inflated.

  35. #35
    tokio
    tokio's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-10
    Posts: 2,150
    Betpoints: 2886

    be glad anyone who got it at -3.5, i see it at -6 and -7 some places already.

1234 ... Last
Top