1. #71
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by DHK View Post
    LOL what do you know..this clown is on another underdog. Ravens will win by 20+, they are playing like serious competitors against a team that is 2nd worst in the league.
    You know how I know you're a shitty gambler?

    The fact that LB has a spreadsheet and is still getting hated on is amazing.

  2. #72
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Bodog is giving me +11 (-105)

    Does that surprise you? I bet you'll be able to get +11.5 there at some point.

  3. #73
    WvGambler
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    They're not a dog anymore when you factor the spread. When will guys understand this?

    With the spread, its back to even.

  4. #74
    BernardMadoff
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    Well historically, home teams win 58% of the time in the NFL, start with that nugget and make your decision people.

  5. #75
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Does that surprise you? I bet you'll be able to get +11.5 there at some point.
    No but SBR odds has them at +10.5 (-115)

  6. #76
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    No but SBR odds has them at +10.5 (-115)
    SBRodds is borderline fraudulent.

  7. #77
    BigDan
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    Quote Originally Posted by neverstoppers23 View Post
    I love bal -9.5. I like the Baltimore defense to have a huge game tomorrow(well tonight.) Anther sad blow out tomorrow, huge game by ray rice and flacco.

    look at the ravens defense.
    1 7 points
    2 26 points
    3 7 points
    4 17 points
    5 14 points

    Good team to compare Jacksonville to. Saint Loius. Ravens won by 30 points.

    Then look at Jacksonville offense.
    three times this year they scored 10 points or less

    13 points once, 16 points once, and the most they scored is 20 points vs. cincy
    not really a fair comparison, Jax defense is far and away better than the Lambs. offensively maybe a better comparison as neither can score, that said Rams havnt sniffed 20 once this year...

  8. #78
    neverstoppers23
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    That`s all nice to write as most did for Green Bay yesterday. Vikings lost by x to Bears so Green bay will easily win by x points.
    The packers/vikings game is a much different situation. The packers defense has been terrible all year and they have kept bad teams in games. Carolina is a great example.

    The only reason i mentioned the game is to give you an idea of how bad and good the defense and offense is in this game.

    Baltimore offense isn't not great, but it won't need to be with their defense tonight. 27-10 game.

  9. #79
    jstblaze
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    If Jags at +10 is the easiest play you ever made, you must be doubling down now the line has moved to +11 right??!!

    The easiest play just got easier... right?

    And a team doesnt have a 50% chance of covering the spread. But an underdog is no longer a dog if you are taking them on the spread. Dependign on the spread they could then be the favorite to cover.

  10. #80
    BigDan
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    Quote Originally Posted by neverstoppers23 View Post
    The packers/vikings game is a much different situation. The packers defense has been terrible all year and they have kept bad teams in games. Carolina is a great example.

    The only reason i mentioned the game is to give you an idea of how bad and good the defense and offense is in this game.

    Baltimore offense isn't not great, but it won't need to be with their defense tonight. 27-10 game.

    as bad as Gabbert is he is more than content to check down all night (same as he did his whole college career) doesnt really lead to the kind of mistakes balty lives on.... i know you are expecting at least one defensive score if you giving Ravens 27 cause their offense isnt putting up that many on a solid jax d...cant really argue with the 10 you giving jags but that may very well be enough to cover in this one....scared shitless of primetime unders but i think that the play tonight..

  11. #81
    Ice House
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    i agree. The Ravens shouldn't be double digit favorites against anyone while playing on the road.

  12. #82
    lakerboy
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    Jst the line is still +10 -106 at pinny. Also +10 -115 at the greek. That's all I need to know. Gl with what you play if you have any bets on this game.

  13. #83
    BigDan
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Jst the line is still +10 -106 at pinny. Also +10 -115 at the greek. That's all I need to know. Gl with what you play if you have any bets on this game.

    thoughts on total LB? almost think you have to lean under as doubt we looking for jags to stay in a higher scoring gm.

  14. #84
    jalen__rose
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    It comes down to jacksonsville takin care of the ball if they don't there done and I will bet on the ravens because well they won't this defense will eat them alive

  15. #85
    Ice House
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    is the Jaguars offensive line any good? I wonder how they will do against the blitz

  16. #86
    MichaelWaters
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    no value at +10. this guy is a joke hes just looking for a winner this line is perfect. Ravens 20-10

  17. #87
    Ice House
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    Hasn't the home team won on Monday night every week except week 1?

  18. #88
    bigsmitty
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    I'm on BAL but I can see JAX and the points having a reasonable chance. How does Del Rio tell his Jags not to turn the ball over with a straight face though? Cheers and good luck.

  19. #89
    RudyRuetigger
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    we hammered the under and jacksonville hard with play money

    Ticket#:1039825
    Oct 24 08:35 PM
    Internet / -1Oct 24 10:21 AM
    NFL
    STRAIGHT BET
    [426] TOTAL u39-110
    (BALTIMORE vrs JACKSONVILLE)

    1100.00 / 1000.00
    Ticket#:1039892
    Oct 24 08:35 PM
    Oct 24 08:35 PM
    Internet / -1Oct 24 11:59 AM
    NFL
    NHL
    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [426] TOTAL u38½-110
    (BALTIMORE vrs JACKSONVILLE)
    [6] WINNIPEG +110

    500.00 / 1504.54
    Ticket#:1040067
    Oct 24 08:35 PM
    Internet / -1Oct 24 02:21 PM
    NFL
    STRAIGHT BET
    [426] JACKSONVILLE +475

    1500.00 / 7125.00

  20. #90
    ridims
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    betting against the ravens prime time is not very wise.

    good luck though.

  21. #91
    dfberger23
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    I don't know, thinking Ravens or no play, Jags look awful.

  22. #92
    MichaelWaters
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    we hammered the under and jacksonville hard with play money

    <table class="bottomBorder" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="0" width="90%"><tbody><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="center">Ticket#:1039825
    Oct 24 08:35 PM
    </td><td valign="center">Internet / -1</td><td valign="center">Oct 24 10:21 AM </td><td>
    NFL
    </td><td>STRAIGHT BET
    [426] TOTAL u39-110
    (BALTIMORE vrs JACKSONVILLE)
    </td><td>
    1100.00 / 1000.00
    </td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="center">Ticket#:1039892
    Oct 24 08:35 PM
    Oct 24 08:35 PM
    </td><td valign="center">Internet / -1</td><td valign="center">Oct 24 11:59 AM </td><td>
    NFL
    NHL
    </td><td>PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [426] TOTAL u38½-110
    (BALTIMORE vrs JACKSONVILLE)
    [6] WINNIPEG +110
    </td><td>
    500.00 / 1504.54
    </td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="center">Ticket#:1040067
    Oct 24 08:35 PM
    </td><td valign="center">Internet / -1</td><td valign="center">Oct 24 02:21 PM </td><td>
    NFL
    </td><td>STRAIGHT BET
    [426] JACKSONVILLE +475
    </td><td>
    1500.00 / 7125.00</td></tr></tbody></table>
    wait are those betpoints or actual air bets

  23. #93
    neverstoppers23
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDan View Post
    as bad as Gabbert is he is more than content to check down all night (same as he did his whole college career) doesnt really lead to the kind of mistakes balty lives on.... i know you are expecting at least one defensive score if you giving Ravens 27 cause their offense isnt putting up that many on a solid jax d...cant really argue with the 10 you giving jags but that may very well be enough to cover in this one....scared shitless of primetime unders but i think that the play tonight..
    Well that being said, the guy still only completes 48 percent of his passes. You have to figure he is going to be making a lot of mistakes tonight. Jacksonville has to have a special night from MJD and have their special teams/D score a t.d for them if they want to cover the +10. I can't see Jags offense scoring enough to cover.

  24. #94
    peeiempee
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    Quote Originally Posted by BettingWizard View Post
    yep, spread will go up tomorrow, hoping it gets 11


    double digit home dogs always cover in NFL primetime games
    Really? What happend yesterday?

  25. #95
    peeiempee
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    My bad u said home dogs

  26. #96
    7secondsOrLess
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    i like how he keeps losing but says best play on the board, easiest play etc and loses every time lmao fuckin clown

  27. #97
    ROFLcopter
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    Have you bothered to check out the guys spreadsheet before claiming that he "keeps losing"?

  28. #98
    BigDan
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    Quote Originally Posted by neverstoppers23 View Post
    Well that being said, the guy still only completes 48 percent of his passes. You have to figure he is going to be making a lot of mistakes tonight. Jacksonville has to have a special night from MJD and have their special teams/D score a t.d for them if they want to cover the +10. I can't see Jags offense scoring enough to cover.


    oh dont get me wrong he sucks...i watched him all thru college and for the life of me still have no fukin clue how anyone saw him as a franchise qb ...kid is the checkdown king and as you said only completing 48% which is terrible, even worse when you consider he is allergic to throwing the ball more than 15 yards...that said he is too scared to make a whole lot of mistakes (only 2 picks on yr), i just dont think jax has to score a whole lot here to cover, they find a way to get to 13 and id be scared shitless holding a balty -10 ticket in this one.

    honesty under the only play i like in this gm and that bothers me cause primetime unders are scary as hell. figure it could just as easily be 21-13 or 24-3, only thing im relatively sure of is long as jax doesnt let balty defense score i dont think their offense will go crazy..

  29. #99
    djpremier36
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    Jags +7 1st half for me LB. I could see the Ravens sleep walking through the first half and then awake from their slumber.

  30. #100
    5mike5
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    baltimore -9.5 all day

  31. #101
    neverstoppers23
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    Quote Originally Posted by djpremier36 View Post
    Jags +7 1st half for me LB. I could see the Ravens sleep walking through the first half and then awake from their slumber.
    And you believe this because? It would seem to me they would want to make a statement on Monday night with their defense.
    I know people like the 10 points at home, yada yada yada. But you are asking a lot from a jacksonville offense which is terrible going up vs. one of the best defenses in the league.

    Anther interesting bet is o/u 7 for the first quarter -130 .

  32. #102
    Goat Milk
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    at people that think Jacksonville can win this game.

    Rudy just donate your 1500 sbr coins Jax is going to get murked. GL putting your money on a rookie qb to beat the best defense in the NFL. Stretching as far as you can.

    "Hey 90% of public bets on Baltimore. That means JAX is the play." Great logic. We'll see how the game unravels

  33. #103
    Goat Milk
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    game is played on the field like Lakerman once said

  34. #104
    big0mar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    at people that think Jacksonville can win this game.

    Rudy just donate your 1500 sbr coins Jax is going to get murked. GL putting your money on a rookie qb to beat the best defense in the NFL. Stretching as far as you can.

    "Hey 90% of public bets on Baltimore. That means JAX is the play." Great logic. We'll see how the game unravels
    I don't see anyone saying Jacksonville will win this game.

    I think all that people are saying is that this line should be 7.5, and is currently inflated.

    In regards to the game unraveling, I think Alualu and Knighton are one of the best DT tandems in the league. I think that Matt Roth is one of the best edge-setting LBs in the NFL. I think Baltimore is going to have a tough time running the ball. When Baltimore can't run, they have a tough time passing the ball. Thus, I believe Jacksonville can stay within 10 points of Baltimore.

  35. #105
    neverstoppers23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    at people that think Jacksonville can win this game.

    Rudy just donate your 1500 sbr coins Jax is going to get murked. GL putting your money on a rookie qb to beat the best defense in the NFL. Stretching as far as you can.

    "Hey 90% of public bets on Baltimore. That means JAX is the play." Great logic. We'll see how the game unravels
    Don't get the argument of fading the public. Every game should be looked at in a vacuum first. Then spread out. Not the opposite.

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