1. 10-13-11 01:19 PM #71
    Bbr
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bbr View Post
    Kvitova -6.5 -120. Kvitova on Indoor hard courts= dominance. By far one of her best surfaces along with grass. If she plays an error-free, clean match here, Mayr-Achleitner should be dispatched comfortably in 2 sets. Its her game to lose. BOL all
    Great finish to an amazing night/day of tennis. 6-2 today with my two losses being being very small wagers.

    Onto bases now....GO Brewers!
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  2. 10-14-11 04:11 AM #72
    Astros148
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    hmm i dont think its impossible to hit 60% long term, i play no big favorites, i play mostly o/u's and spreads for the most part. i think majority of people lose money on tennis simply because they play favorite and ml's, i dont ever play ml's if its greater then -120 simply because the juice. if you stick to o/u's and spreads its not that hard to make money off tennis.
    Last edited by Astros148; 10-14-11 at 04:21 AM.
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  3. 10-14-11 04:15 AM #73
    ApricotSinner32
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    Over 22.5 shikori/dogopolov +110 here
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  4. 10-14-11 04:24 AM #74
    Astros148
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrianLaverty View Post
    Shari... Apparently Astros is a genius. He really is delusional though.... I would bet whatever amount he wants that he won't be + units after 1000 plays. He doesnt realize that its a marathon not a sprint.

    I consider myself a very good tennis capper.... I've positive in the 4 years that I have been betting tennis.... but in May during the French Open, I lost 27 bets in a row. I make thousands of bets a year in all sports and have never came close to a losing streak like that. Tennis is the most humbling sport you can gamble on. As great as you think you are when you go on big runs, you question yourself and curse the sport when you go on worse runs. But we've all seen people like Astros before... the second things will go bad in tennis, we will never hear from him again until he goes on another streak a year from now.
    Quote Originally Posted by shari91 View Post

    Yeah, I think this is the one sport where you either have to have discipline or you're sunk. And this isn't to pile on Astros. He's a great guy on a good run. It's just that this sport is unforgiving. There is no rhyme or reason when you're dealing with individuals. How many people piled on Nadal in live betting when he was down a set because they could get a better price than pre match? Or Simon? Just like when people pile on "sure favourites" pre match because of rank, H2H ( on different surfaces mind you), etc... I love those people and thank them for their contributions as that makes my dog wins that much more profitable.

    However... there is no guru with tennis betting. Bet on -250 fave and win. Bet the next -350 and lose. GL. Those who are making money on this sport consistently (ie over a year or more) are either spending a hell of a lot of time following every single person playing on the Tour (challengers included) and have excellent discipline/mm, getting lucky with big smashes or are arbing. That's it. The rest of us hope to have a profit at the end of the year.
    why do you assume people are betting money line favorites?! i never said im a amazingn capper, but tennis is very profitable if you pick and choose your sports, playing majority of master and grand slams is good money if you can pick the spots. i usually always post picks during grand slams and i have lost but i never "disappear"
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  5. 10-14-11 04:32 AM #75
    Bbr
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    Quote Originally Posted by ApricotSinner32 View Post
    Over 22.5 shikori/dogopolov +110 here
    BOL. No action for me. Tough board imo
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  6. 10-14-11 05:09 AM #76
    Bbr
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    [quote=Bbr;11871653] BOL. No action for me. Tough board imo[/q]
    Changed my mind Lopez +115 is my only play
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  7. 10-14-11 05:28 AM #77
    Astros148
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    [quote=Bbr;11871749]
    Quote Originally Posted by Bbr View Post
    BOL. No action for me. Tough board imo[/q]
    Changed my mind Lopez +115 is my only play
    how come you're playing lopez? any input?
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  8. 10-14-11 10:38 AM #78
    Bbr
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    Quote Originally Posted by Astros148 View Post
    how come you're playing lopez? any input?
    Sorry i could not reply before and the match is now over but for what its worth, lopez won the last time they played on an hard surface in straight sets. I saw yesterdays match against berdych as a greater triumph than that of mayer over nadal (nadal lost the game off his own racquet). Lopez was the more in form player and at + odds how can you not play that!

    Lopez was only at + odds because Mayer bet 'nadal'. PFFT. If mayer bet someone else other than nadal yesterday, lets say for example nishikori, Lopez would be favored, probably something like -120. Hope this shed some light on my pick.
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  9. 10-14-11 10:40 AM #79
    Bbr
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bbr View Post
    Changed my mind Lopez +115 is my only play
    Winner! 7-2 now! Big hit with lopez this morning.
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  10. 10-15-11 12:58 AM #80
    Bbr
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    Lopez again looks good value. Undecided atm. Might make a play later on.
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  11. 10-15-11 01:04 AM #81
    Nats' Fan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bbr View Post
    Lopez again looks good value. Undecided atm. Might make a play later on.
    Undecided on this one myself.. Might make a play on the over. Good luck.
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  12. 10-15-11 01:06 AM #82
    Jrod124
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    if have access to 5dimes take a look at Andy Murray to win the event at -273, guy is 6-0 vs Lopez and has never lost to Ferrer on a non clay court. I know its chalky but seems solid
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  13. 10-15-11 01:13 AM #83
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jrod124 View Post
    if have access to 5dimes take a look at Andy Murray to win the event at -273, guy is 6-0 vs Lopez and has never lost to Ferrer on a non clay court. I know its chalky but seems solid
    Thx, Jrod.
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  14. 10-15-11 01:13 AM #84
    Bbr
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    Lopez +135

    Lopez is in hot form.

    Dominates ferrer on hard courts. 6-1 over their past h2h history. Although lopez got smashed the last time they played, it was on clay and ferrer always dominates lopez on clay. Lopez with the surface advantage today.
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  15. 10-15-11 01:15 AM #85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jrod124 View Post
    if have access to 5dimes take a look at Andy Murray to win the event at -273, guy is 6-0 vs Lopez and has never lost to Ferrer on a non clay court. I know its chalky but seems solid
    I locked Murray in when mayer bet nadal. It's murray's title to lose.
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  16. 10-15-11 01:17 AM #86
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nats' Fan View Post
    Undecided on this one myself.. Might make a play on the over. Good luck.
    Gl on the over if you decide to take it. Last time they played in shanghai lopez won in 3 sets. Looking gd I suppose.
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  17. 10-15-11 04:43 AM #87
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    Lopez takes the first set in a tiebreaker!!!
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  18. 10-15-11 05:12 AM #88
    Glitch
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    lopez up a break in the second. this is a nice run youre on bbr.
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  19. 10-15-11 05:14 AM #89
    MUHerd37
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    Quote Originally Posted by Glitch View Post
    lopez up a break in the second. this is a nice run youre on bbr.
    Ferrer is up a break, not Lopez.
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  20. 10-15-11 05:14 AM #90
    Astros148
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    Quote Originally Posted by Glitch View Post
    lopez up a break in the second. this is a nice run youre on bbr.
    huh?
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  21. 10-15-11 05:51 AM #91
    MUHerd37
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    Ferrer breaks and is serving for the match! 3 double faults in 1 game for Lopez. Crazy.
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  22. 10-15-11 05:54 AM #92
    MUHerd37
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    Ferrer wins 6-7 6-3 6-3! 3rd straight match where he has lost the 1st set and won!
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  23. 10-15-11 05:56 AM #93
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    Quote Originally Posted by MUHerd37 View Post
    Ferrer breaks and is serving for the match! 3 double faults in 1 game for Lopez. Crazy.
    Unbelievable. Lopez goes down in 3. Ferrer played a magnificent game. Fortunately for me, i didn't pound lopez like I did yesterday...phew!. That should be it for me for this tourney.
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  24. 10-15-11 05:59 AM #94
    ApricotSinner32
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    I love ferrer bro. Guy will never lose your money on his effort. 110% always.
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  25. 10-15-11 05:59 AM #95
    Bbr
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    Quote Originally Posted by Glitch View Post
    lopez up a break in the second. this is a nice run youre on bbr.
    Thanks glitch but this one loses. Hope to continue my run at the next ATP tourney. I've got one player in the challenger in mind which may play very well at the next tournament...been watching him very closely. Stay tuned
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  26. 10-15-11 06:01 AM #96
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nats' Fan View Post
    Undecided on this one myself.. Might make a play on the over. Good luck.
    Hope you played the over!!
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  27. 10-15-11 06:05 AM #97
    Astros148
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    time to win some money on EPL!! love soccer. you guys playing anything?
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  28. 10-15-11 06:07 AM #98
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    Quote Originally Posted by Astros148 View Post
    time to win some money on EPL!! love soccer. you guys playing anything?
    Let me take a loook lol
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  29. 10-15-11 06:08 AM #99
    ApricotSinner32
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    Lopez was never up a break in the 2nd set what are you talking about?
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  30. 10-15-11 06:12 AM #100
    Astros148
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    Quote Originally Posted by ApricotSinner32 View Post
    Lopez was never up a break in the 2nd set what are you talking about?
    he said it was a glitch. chillax
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  31. 10-15-11 06:14 AM #101
    Bbr
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    Quote Originally Posted by ApricotSinner32 View Post
    Lopez was never up a break in the 2nd set what are you talking about?
    Quote Originally Posted by ApricotSinner32 View Post
    Lopez was never up a break in the 2nd set what are you talking about?
    Move on barbie. Games over now.
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  32. 10-15-11 06:20 AM #102
    Bbr
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    Liverpool/Man u DRAW +218 =DD

    Rooney starting off. Liv get up early, rooney comes on and equalises 1-1 FINAL. Bold predictions but these teams have had tight encounters in the past even when liverpool was struggling, particularly the last few seasons. They bring the goods when they play Man u.

    Adding: Liv/Man u under 2.5 -120

    Capping late games later.
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  33. 10-15-11 06:27 AM #103
    Astros148
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bbr View Post
    Liverpool/Man u DRAW +218 =DD

    Rooney starting off. Liv get up early, rooney comes on and equalises 1-1 FINAL. Bold predictions but these teams have had tight encounters in the past even when liverpool was struggling, particularly the last few seasons. They bring the goods when they play Man u.

    Adding: Liv/Man u under 2.5 -120

    Capping late games later.
    yeah dude i love that man u under way more then the draw. i can see a 1-0 game.
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  34. 10-15-11 06:28 AM #104
    TennisProFrance
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    Quote Originally Posted by MUHerd37 View Post
    Ferrer wins 6-7 6-3 6-3! 3rd straight match where he has lost the 1st set and won!
    Don't think he will be able to do that in the final! He was outclassed and destroyed last week by Murray, hope he puts up a better show this time (which he could do as Murray doesnt seem so up for it).
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  35. 10-15-11 06:34 AM #105
    Bbr
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    Quote Originally Posted by Astros148 View Post
    yeah dude i love that man u under way more then the draw. i can see a 1-0 game.
    yeh the under is the safer play, hence I added it lol. Only got 100 on the under and 50 on the draw. Kick off soon....Enjoy the game.
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