[rsnnh12]

The following are OUT for tomorrow's game against the Raiders-
RT Sebastian Vollmer
TE Aaron Hernandez
DT "Fat Albert" Haynesworth
CB Ras-I Dowling
CB Leigh Bodden



The CBs for tomorrow will be McCourty, Kyle Arrington, Antwaun Molden, and Phillip Adams.

Needless to say, Campbell passing yards OVER might be the easiest play of the day. Raiders ATS/ML/TT over just got a ton of extra value with the 3 defensive additions. Barrett and Brown sharing strong safety duty, and a 1-handed Chung at free safety.

I'll update this thread when prop numbers are released for the game.

[rsnnh12]

Bumping for the late night degens

[Iced]

Leigh Bodden was the only slightly expected scratch. Everyone else was already expected to not play. I don't think it adds much value at all to the Raiders ATS/ML/TT or Campbell's passing yards. Bodden is a decent corner, but nothing to make a big deal about.

[rsnnh12]

Leigh Bodden was the only slightly expected scratch. Everyone else was already expected to not play. I don't think it adds much value at all to the Raiders ATS/ML/TT or Campbell's passing yards. Bodden is a decent corner, but nothing to make a big deal about.

Dowling was also a surprise. He was out for warmups last week but a late scratch. Being limited in practice had a lot of people thinking he was being rested for this game.

Bodden is a good slot corner, and a decent backup at safety if needed. Losing the best corner this year plus the 3rd best is certainly bad news for the Pats. McCourty has no faith in the safeties, which is part of the reason he's been pretty poor so far.

[sneakerhead]

I am leaning with the over more even though Im really tempted to go for Patriots ATS.
Patriots TT might be a good option as well depending on the number

[Bengals28]

How would you asses the matchup of Brady vs the Raiders D?

[rsnnh12]

I am leaning with the over more even though Im really tempted to go for Patriots ATS.
Patriots TT might be a good option as well depending on the number

I agree. The only total plays for TT and overall are the overs. The Pats should get their points, the big question is can the Pats D step up.

How would you asses the matchup of Brady vs the Raiders D?

If the Raiders D line can get pressure without any help from the LBs/secondary, they should be fairly successful in slowing the offense. Brady was near-perfect last year against 5-6+ rushers, with the best numbers coming against 6 or more. You just can't blitz him, it doesn't work, unless your D line can do its job. Brady picks out the blitzers pretty quickly and adjusts his O line protection accordingly, so for any team to blitz successfully, they need the D line to take advantage of that.

The Raiders secondary is fairly weak, although Stanford Routt worries me. Brady should put up some solid numbers, regardless of what happens with the D line. Welker feels great after his ridiculous workload last week so that won't be an issue. Gronkowski should have another big game... no one on Oakland can match up with him. They'll have to double him to even have a shot IMO.

So, the play really depends on if you think the Oakland D line can be successful or not. Personally, I think they'll have some trouble, but I also expect the HB draw to Woodhead to kill them if they play too aggressively.

Gronkowski to score a TD is an automatic play for me, haven't decided on anything else yet.

[DemoralizdDreamr]

Over even more now???
Should be a high scoring game.

[the_orangekat]

Kyle Arrington is pretty banged up too

[Romocide]

Patriots win this game by 10+. No doubt in my mind.

[rsnnh12]

Patriots win this game by 10+. No doubt in my mind.

I certainly hope so

Maybe I'm just too close to it, but the defense worries me. Played great against the Dolphins, decent against the Chargers, and horrible against the Bills. With all these injuries, I'm worried about the trend they're on. Hopefully Brown, Molden and Adams step up big tomorrow