[Romanov]

Running the numbers for the final time this week. Plays soon...

[Romanov]

Trying a new method. Final Card:

Ohio St. -17.5
Stanford -20.5
BYU +7
Arkansas -35
UNLV +14

Feeling good about this. Let's get dat $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

[Romanov]

Last weekends plays went 3-2, not bad, small profit:

Ohio St. -17.5
Stanford -20.5
BYU +7
Arkansas -35
UNLV +14

Overall Record of 3-2

I have a shit ton of plays I am about to make...

[Romanov]

Plays for this week 9/15-9/18

Auburn +3.5
Georgia Tech -14
Florida -9.5
Illinois +1
Stanford -10

CASH MONEY!

[Romanov]

Projected margins for my selections (hard numbers) rounded by subjective analysis:

Auburn wins by (9) 7
Georgia tech wins by (19.5) 20
Florida wins by (15.5) 14
Illinois wins by (5) 4
Stanford wins by (15.5) 17

[Romanov]

Auburn is now down to +3, Gtech is sitting solidly at -14, florida sitting at -9.5, Illinois is now favored by 1.5, and stanford is at -9.5 or -10 depending on where you wager.

Auburns movement is pretty good, tech and florida are holding tight, stanford is a little worrisome since it moved off of 10 in the wrong direction, but Illinois move is fxcking spectacular. It crossed the plane!

If you got on board with these picks, which I doubt anyone did since no one has commented, we are looking okay on Tuesday. If stanford gets down another point or point and a half we should worry. Either way, BOL

[Romanov]

I have 2 NFL plays so far:

Green Bay Packers -9.5
Washington Redskins -3.5

[Romanov]

These are the lines I got a couple days ago:

Auburn +3.5
Georgia Tech -14
Florida -9.5
Illinois +1
Stanford -10

These are the lines today for the same games (the % edge my bets above have over the current more accurate lines now):

Auburn +3 (1.55%)
Georgia Tech -15 (0%)
Florida -9.5 (same line as before)
Illinois -1.5 (5.56%)
Stanford -10 (same line as before)

This will be a gooooooood weekend boys.

[Romanov]

Not making this an official play but I'm on Mississippi St. +4.5 (bodog) just for something to watch tonight.

If anyone wants to have a statistical discussion of the game, come on in here. The threads I see that talk about the game tonight are filled with bullchit.

I have LSU winning by 1. With the 4.5 that is a 3.5 point overlay which is quite a bit but it didn't pass some filters and my eye-test for it to be an official play, this one is just for fun (but aren't they all!)

I see the Miss St. defense looking better than they did last week

[BamaBill67]

Clemson going to beat Auburn but maybe your 3.5 will cover . Last year Clemson had that game won in Auburn then Auburn pulled a miracle win out of the tail . Clemson gets revenge and the tail spin starts for Auburn . GL

[Romanov]

Clemson going to beat Auburn but maybe your 3.5 will cover . Last year Clemson had that game won in Auburn then Auburn pulled a miracle win out of the tail . Clemson gets revenge and the tail spin starts for Auburn . GL

Auburn wins this game.

Lines look good today.

Gun to my head I'd take Boise St. and UCONN but they aren't plays for me

[blue.eyed.tuna]

No guns

[Romanov]

No guns

Say what??

[uh60james]

Thanks. Got in on Auburn at +3 and Stanford -3, Georgia Tech -8 (Teaser.)

[Romanov]

Thanks. Got in on Auburn at +3 and Stanford -3, Georgia Tech -8 (Teaser.)

Nice but illinois is the best play on my board. Did u already lock in tech -8? If not, try to get 7. U dont want a baaad beat

[Romanov]

Go gators!!

[Romanov]

3-1 on the day, stanford up 10-0 at the end of the 1st.

I didnt like the pinny line on stanford of -9 at the close but i let it ride since im in the +.

Hope you guys had a good day.

[Romanov]

Auburn +3.5
Georgia Tech -14
Florida -9.5
Illinois +1
Stanford -10

4-1 baby. A good Saturday!

Overall Ncaafb record: 7-3
OVerall Nfl record: 0-0

NFL plays today:

Redskins -3.5 (-110)
Packers -9.5 (-110)

CASH MONEY!

[Romanov]

also, in my nfl survivor pool I am on the steelers to win. last week I used houston. I guess I will post that in here too

[Romanov]

Chit ton of NCAAFB plays. I'm not tracking anything but NCAAFB in this thead btw. Here goes:

NC State +8
Ohio St -14
K-State +13.5
Kentucky +18
Pittsburgh +7 (bought a very cheap half pt)
Oregon St -3
South Carolina -16.5
Oklahoma St +3
Missouri +21.5


Best of luck

[fergie's balls]

thoughts on NC State? i couldn't find a reason not to take Cincy. their DLine isn't great, but i don't think very highly of the NC State QB. NC State had two defensive starters out last week, and lost another (LB) who might be out this week. Cincy has best player on the field, RB Pead. Cincy starters didn't play a down in 2nd half last week, fully rested. NC State couldn't even run the ball last week against a mediocre defense.

[*Torches*]

say again?

[*Torches*]

also, in my nfl survivor pool I am on the steelers to win. last week I used houston. I guess I will post that in here too

Keep it

[Romanov]

Keep it

wooot! looking at San Diego next week

[Romanov]

Thinking about this 2 team teaser in the NFL:

Dolphins +8.5
49ers +8.5

Thoughts?

[Romanov]

I've lost and gained on the lines this week. Meh

[Godsmack]

Are all your plays in post#20 already placed?

[Romanov]

Are all your plays in post#20 already placed?

Yes. Those lines don't exist anymore for a lot of those plays. I'd recommend watching for a this week, not tailing.

[Romanov]

So here are the lines that I got a few days ago:

NC State +8
Ohio St -14
K-State +13.5
Kentucky +18
Pittsburgh +7 (bought a very cheap half pt)
Oregon St -3
South Carolina -16.5
Oklahoma St +3
Missouri +21.5

Here are the current lines at pinnacle:

NC State +7.5
Ohio St -15
K-State +12
Kentucky +19.5
Pittsburgh +6.5
Oregon St -4
South Carolina -16
Oklahoma St +4.5
Missouri +21

Here are the edges gained based on my line and the pinny lines (lossed)

NC State +.78%
Ohio St +2.31%
K-State +1.49%
Kentucky (-9.38)
Pittsburgh +.76
Oregon St +.23
South Carolina (-1.2)
Oklahoma St (-12.86)
Missouri +1.19

So with this basic analysis, I am considering getting off the Oklahoma St. and Kentucky games. I have 1.1 units to win 1 on both games (as I do for all of them). If the Okla St. or Kentucky line drops to either 4, or 19 (both even numbers and off of their hooks) I would suggest betting out of those wagers and onto aTm and Florida. If I see it at any of my books I will do so, and post here as soon as possible. If I don't post here before game-time noting my changes, consider them plays.

The other plays look good so far. My hesitation to keep those 2 picks doesn't mean I still don't believe they are the right sides, I just think we missed out on some value and in the long run it will bite us in the ass. Pizza is here, gotta go!

BOL

[Jmayor]

Thanks, BOL dude

[Romanov]

I missed some things in that NC State game. Whew, a game like that makes you doubt yourself. Nevertheless, I am staying on those two "bad-movement" games (okla st and kentucky). My spreadsheet has all of my plays

BOL today

[Romanov]

First kickoffs of the day coming up! GO PITT!

[Romanov]

4-1 on the day boys!!! 3 more games tonight!!!

BOL

[Romanov]

This week's record (good day today!):

NC State +8
Ohio St -14
K-State +13.5
Kentucky +18
Pittsburgh +7
Oregon St -3
South Carolina -16.5
Oklahoma St +3
Missouri +21.5

6-3 record this week
Overall record of 13-6

CASH MONEY!

[Romanov]

Spreadsheet:

http://romanov.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

Boom