1. 09-25-11 09:26 AM #36
    Romanov
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    My NFL plays today. NFL plays go on my spreadsheet but since this is an ncaafb thread I am not going to cloud it up with nfl records and analysis

    Ravens -5
    Titans -7
    Patriots -7

    BOL today. Be careful if you bet on ATL. Looks to be fishy
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  2. 09-26-11 02:00 PM #37
    Romanov
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    Carrying the NCAAFB record from the 1st page I am 13-6 so far this season. I went 6-2 on Saturday.

    Plays:
    Illinois -6.5
    Ohio St -2.5
    Arkansas +3
    Utah -7
    Auburn +11

    Haven't made plays yet but I'll be keeping an eye on:

    Pittsburgh
    Minnesota
    Boston College
    NC State
    Texas Tech
    Colorado
    Stanford
    Iowa St.
    Arizona
    Kansas St.
    Kentucky

    So I have a lot of potential plays. The ones in the 2nd list (not official plays just yet) all have bad movements going against them. If I decide to play them later in the week, the lines will probably have only moved further in my direction.
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  3. 09-28-11 08:58 AM #38
    Romanov
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    Adding 2 official plays:

    Minnesota +20
    Iowa St. +10
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  4. 09-28-11 11:19 AM #39
    joeytunes
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    i like iowa st
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  5. 09-28-11 12:20 PM #40
    mp5070
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  6. 09-28-11 02:04 PM #41
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by joeytunes View Post
    i like iowa st
    Quote Originally Posted by mp5070 View Post


    Almost hit NC State +10.5 today but I think my stats are somehow misrepresenting that team. After what happened with last weeks blow-out I don't think they will be a play. Might be an impulse game come Saturday if I see a pretty line move.

    Hitting 68.4% so far. Doing a little normalization of the binomial I've found that if I was actually a 52% bettor using this method (52% is still a losing gambler) the probability of a 13-6 run in a 19 play sample is only 7.64%.

    So... we're looking good. As good as we can at this point
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  7. 09-30-11 08:50 AM #42
    Romanov
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    Adding:

    Boston College Pk
    Kansas St +4
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  8. 10-01-11 09:02 AM #43
    Romanov
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    Adding Colorado -3 to complete my card:

    Illinois -6.5
    Ohio St -2.5
    Arkansas +3
    Utah -7
    Auburn +11
    Colorado -3
    Boston College Pk
    Kansas St +4
    Minnesota +20
    Iowa St. +10

    Lets get this! CASH MONAEEEEE

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  9. 10-08-11 07:34 AM #44
    Romanov
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    Brutal last week!

    Illinois -6.5
    Ohio St -2.5
    Arkansas +3
    Utah -7
    Auburn +11
    Colorado -3
    Boston College Pk
    Kansas St +4
    Minnesota +20
    Iowa St. +10

    Rough!

    3-7 last week
    16-13 overall

    Gotta get it back this week. Plays upcoming
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  10. 10-08-11 07:47 AM #45
    Romanov
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    October 8th

    Power rankings plays:

    Utah +3.5
    Auburn +10


    I'm also trying something new in another thread but I'll copy and paste the plays here as well:

    All Moneylines All the Time plays:

    Oklahoma -350
    Penn St -175
    Rutgers +210
    Miami +230
    Navy -110
    East Carolina +290
    Texas A&M -310
    Troy -250
    UL Monroe +110
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  11. 10-08-11 08:50 AM #46
    Romanov
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    By the way, all of those bets are to win 1 unit
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  12. 10-08-11 09:01 AM #47
    Romanov
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    Adding Some Power Rankings Plays:

    Alabama -29
    Boston College +21.5
    Connecticut +20

    see spreadsheet
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