1. 09-15-11 04:24 AM #1
    ProfaneReality
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    Unreal betting disparity on LSU game

    From Carib

    #101 8:00pm LSU vs Mississippi St (ESPN)
    Mississippi St 16.70%
    LSU 83.30%
    3496 Bets


    I might just take MSU solely because of this.
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  2. 09-15-11 04:30 AM #2
    Sunde91
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    whats funny is if LSU got blown out by ORE and MSU killed Auburn, the %s could be swapped, or conceivable MSU would be favored

    Laying 3.5 on the road for a Thursday Night game in a key divisional SEC game is not a great play a lot of the time
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  3. 09-15-11 04:49 AM #3
    Glitch
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    and rlm to accompany it.
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  4. 09-15-11 04:50 AM #4
    SaintsFan
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    LSU is better and deeper at most every position . You're looking at a possible BCS champion here.

    MSU would have to be at LEAST plus 2 on turnover ratio to pull this out.
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  5. 09-15-11 05:48 AM #5
    jjgold
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    Carib's numbers are pretty accurate also
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  6. 09-15-11 05:50 AM #6
    Mikail
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    I am so tempted to pound LSU tonight but the RLM and spread have me second guessing. Are the books trying to do a fake out here?
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  7. 09-15-11 05:51 AM #7
    jjgold
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    Its really not a trap line
    If LSU was like -2 it would be

    Line is right

    Miss St underrated
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  8. 09-15-11 05:52 AM #8
    Mikail
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    That's the conclusion I've come the JJ. Mississippi St is underrated. Good point.
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  9. 09-15-11 06:06 AM #9
    daimoshokage
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    only hamburgers will bet on Mississippi State
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  10. 09-15-11 06:07 AM #10
    Money
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    Miss st underrated? Their defense Couldn't stop a sneeze last week. Their offense will be toned down by lsus defense and add the fact miss st will probably be missing two offensive linemen. I think the play is lsu or no play. The forecast calls for rain so it could be an ugly, run the ball game and I think that would favor lsu.
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  11. 09-15-11 06:21 AM #11
    Mikail
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    I'm considering teasing Miss. st and the under.
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  12. 09-15-11 06:24 AM #12
    SaintsFan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mikail View Post
    I'm considering teasing Miss. st and the under.
    JMHO but teasing LSU would be way safer.
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  13. 09-15-11 06:33 AM #13
    Kufta4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Money View Post
    Miss st underrated? Their defense Couldn't stop a sneeze last week. Their offense will be toned down by lsus defense and add the fact miss st will probably be missing two offensive linemen. I think the play is lsu or no play. The forecast calls for rain so it could be an ugly, run the ball game and I think that would favor lsu.
    Who can?
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  14. 09-15-11 06:42 AM #14
    daneblazer
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    Since 1992, LSU is 18-1 vs. Miss St. They are the superior team. I liked the line more when it was -3 than -4 though. LSU won't lose this game unless they lay a complete egg.
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  15. 09-15-11 06:44 AM #15
    Mikail
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    Quote Originally Posted by SaintsFan View Post
    JMHO but teasing LSU would be way safer.
    Do you really think LSU wins by DD?
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  16. 09-15-11 06:47 AM #16
    sneakerhead
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    I think people are just over thinking this one out
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  17. 09-15-11 06:50 AM #17
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by daimoshokage View Post
    only hamburgers will bet on Mississippi State
    The hamburgers will collect tonight.

    Some of the funkiest shit goes on in these ESPN mid week games.
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  18. 09-15-11 06:52 AM #18
    daneblazer
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    Where's the RLM? It started at -3 now it's at -4. Unless at some point it went towards -2 earlier in the week there has been no RLM. It'll probably be closer to -5 or -6 by kickoff.
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  19. 09-15-11 06:53 AM #19
    Domestic
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    I tried to hard fade the public in the Pats game. It did not end well.
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  20. 09-15-11 07:03 AM #20
    sneakerhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    Where's the RLM? It started at -3 now it's at -4. Unless at some point it went towards -2 earlier in the week there has been no RLM. It'll probably be closer to -5 or -6 by kickoff.
    No way
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  21. 09-15-11 07:11 AM #21
    stevenash
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    Line will settle 3.5 or 4
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  22. 09-15-11 07:17 AM #22
    letsgo
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfaneReality View Post
    From Carib

    #101 8:00pm LSU vs Mississippi St (ESPN)
    Mississippi St 16.70%
    LSU 83.30%
    3496 Bets


    I might just take MSU solely because of this.

    This means absolutely nothing, I don't care if the "Sharp" money is on on Miss. St, Sharps have been getting bent over lately.
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  23. 09-15-11 07:19 AM #23
    firehoyt
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    Quote Originally Posted by letsgo View Post
    This means absolutely nothing, I don't care if the "Sharp" money is on on Miss. St, Sharps have been getting bent over lately.


    This!
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  24. 09-15-11 07:20 AM #24
    milwaukee mike
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    have lsu at the sbr sportsbook for 1250 pts, trying to get ipad2 so i need to win this one and a couple more

    best of luck all
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  25. 09-15-11 07:22 AM #25
    milwaukee mike
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    and just because something is only 12% bet, doesn't mean it's a sharp bet

    i was trying to explain that to people that thought the miami dolphins +7 was a sharp bet, and people on new england were somehow foolish for taking a hugely superior team and only laying a td
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  26. 09-15-11 08:32 AM #26
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by SaintsFan View Post
    LSU is better and deeper at most every position . You're looking at a possible BCS champion here.

    MSU would have to be at LEAST plus 2 on turnover ratio to pull this out.
    With their QB situation?
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  27. 09-15-11 08:40 AM #27
    stevenash
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    Falcons in the NFL at home last year was the squarest bet in wagerville, Pats too, both those teams were covering machines at home all season, squares did very well there, too much emphasis put on this sharp/square angle, having said that, passing, like I said, too much BS goes on in these mid week ESPN games.
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  28. 09-15-11 08:47 AM #28
    skers11
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    Quote Originally Posted by letsgo View Post
    This means absolutely nothing, I don't care if the "Sharp" money is on on Miss. St, Sharps have been getting bent over lately.
    Books usually like to pay out first couple weeks of a season to reel you in
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  29. 09-15-11 08:53 AM #29
    teaserpleaser
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    Tired of talking about this game been locked in on lsu ml and a few teasers for a while now
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  30. 09-15-11 08:54 AM #30
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mikail View Post
    Do you really think LSU wins by DD?
    Yes
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  31. 09-15-11 08:56 AM #31
    blackbeSSt
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    Quote Originally Posted by daimoshokage View Post
    only hamburgers will bet on Mississippi State
    only hamburgers air bet
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  32. 09-15-11 09:01 AM #32
    jbatcha21
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    Anyone who bets on Miss St clearly did not watch them play against Aubutn. Their QB cannot throw the ball at all. At sometime in this game, Miss St will be forced to pass the ball and that's when it will go downhill fast for them. LSU's offense is shaky as well, but I think their superior defense and special teams play will keep the offense on a short field for most of the game and allow them to put up enough points to win. I am staying away from the -3.5 though and making a play on the MoneyLine. I may parlay it with the Packers and Steelers ML's for a better pay out. I don't see any of these 3 teams losing this week.
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  33. 09-15-11 09:06 AM #33
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    With their QB situation?
    I dont know if its kragthorpe in the booth or j lee 5th year experience but qb situation isnt all that bad anymore j lee is making good decisions offense actually looks good this year. Jefferson being out is a blessing imo.... j lee looks like hes ready to do what lsu needs him to do make a few throws and not turn the ball over...hand the ball off to ware, gore,,ford and blue and let the defense do its thing.
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  34. 09-15-11 09:10 AM #34
    JGILL50
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    Quote Originally Posted by skers11 View Post
    Books usually like to pay out first couple weeks of a season to reel you in
    LOL i believe this also
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  35. 09-15-11 09:12 AM #35
    boneheaded1
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    Solid strategy jbatcha. I've already got that exact ml parlay. Also have it with some extra college favorite ml added on. Also, I got the LSU in a 4 game teaser (see my thread, "nothing big but I like this play")
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