1. #1
    seaborneq
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    Carib challenge hit 9 of 10! Hedge worthy?

    I split 5k with 3 or 4 other lucky bastards. One other person is 8-0-1 with a push and broncos -3 tonight. Should I hedge or just let it play out. Feedback.

  2. #2
    *Torches*
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    No but don't listent o me, I know little about it

  3. #3
    hornsrgrt
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    I split 5k with 3 or 4 other lucky bastards. One other person is 8-0-1 with a push and broncos -3 tonight. Should I hedge or just let it play out. Feedback.
    too many potential winners...you have 4 already at 18 points...if Denver wins than the guy at 17 points wins it all alone...if he loses there are 8 more folks that can get to 18 points with their open game tonight but you only need to worry about 5 folks as 3 have Denver and it won't matter if Denver wins b/c the guy at 17 would win it solo.
    2 guys have Miami and one has NE while 2 others have the over. That means if Denver were to lose you could split it with 8 folks or $625 per winner. You could hedge on Denver but I wouldn't to too much. You could have an if-lose bet on Denver and take the 2 overs as well for a tiny bit.
    I might hedge on Denver for $250 and you will get your money back for the contest and a tiny bit as well.

  4. #4
    Reload
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    If the line moved enough giving you a chance to collect on both sides, it might be worth it. Otherwise, I'd hold tight.

  5. #5
    seaborneq
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    I don't know what to do now, maybe a day of hard labor will move me to do something.

  6. #6
    Reload
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    Check out the guy in last who is 0-8 after yesterday:
    414th #119128 0 0 8 2 0

    He has the Dolphins +7 and Under 39 1/2 in Raiders/Broncos tonight if anyone wants to fade.

  7. #7
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by Reload View Post
    Check out the guy in last who is 0-8 after yesterday:
    <table class="leaderboard" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr id="218404"><td>414th</td> <td>#119128</td> <td>0</td> <td>0</td> <td>8</td> <td>2</td> <td>0</td></tr></tbody></table>
    He has the Dolphins +7 and Under 39 1/2 in Raiders/Broncos tonight if anyone wants to fade.
    Do not fade that.... Follow it.

  8. #8
    Reload
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Do not fade that.... Follow it.
    Let's see how the first game goes, Houlihans. If that one loses, then I might have to be all 'over' the second one.

  9. #9
    hornsrgrt
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    Quote Originally Posted by Reload View Post
    Check out the guy in last who is 0-8 after yesterday:
    <table class="leaderboard" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr id="218404"><td>414th</td> <td>#119128</td> <td>0</td> <td>0</td> <td>8</td> <td>2</td> <td>0</td></tr></tbody></table>
    He has the Dolphins +7 and Under 39 1/2 in Raiders/Broncos tonight if anyone wants to fade.
    I saw that too...would be nice to hedge those 2 as well...$750 on first one and 1,500 on 2nd one...

  10. #10
    edawg
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    Yes hedge don't get greedy!

  11. #11
    Reload
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    Quote Originally Posted by hornsrgrt View Post
    I saw that too...would be nice to hedge those 2 as well...$750 on first one and 1,500 on 2nd one...
    Yeah closest I got one week to Biggest Loser was a couple of seasons ago - lost the first five plays that day at 1pm and was hoping the rest would tank.

  12. #12
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by hornsrgrt View Post
    too many potential winners...you have 4 already at 18 points...if Denver wins than the guy at 17 points wins it all alone...if he loses there are 8 more folks that can get to 18 points with their open game tonight but you only need to worry about 5 folks as 3 have Denver and it won't matter if Denver wins b/c the guy at 17 would win it solo.
    2 guys have Miami and one has NE while 2 others have the over. That means if Denver were to lose you could split it with 8 folks or $625 per winner. You could hedge on Denver but I wouldn't to too much. You could have an if-lose bet on Denver and take the 2 overs as well for a tiny bit.
    I might hedge on Denver for $250 and you will get your money back for the contest and a tiny bit as well.
    Come up with a number, because I am number one in both the Carib Challenge and the Pick 10 Contest, or should I say tied for first. You sound well versed in this, what is the magic hedge number for amount and side? Thanks.

  13. #13
    seaborneq
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    Home after a hard day of labor. How much should I hedge? What line should I take?

  14. #14
    seaborneq
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    This won't end well will it?

  15. #15
    ProfaneReality
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    that guy is gonna win it alone

  16. #16
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfaneReality View Post
    that guy is gonna win it alone
    Which guy?

  17. #17
    ProfaneReality
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    glad u get a share... i needed Oak to get my 6th win of the week... all i want is 17 weeks of 6-4

  18. #18
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfaneReality View Post
    glad u get a share... i needed Oak to get my 6th win of the week... all i want is 17 weeks of 6-4
    Thanks. It feels good. Now to see how many I have to share with.

  19. #19
    ProfaneReality
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    looks like about $715, not bad

  20. #20
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfaneReality View Post
    looks like about $715, not bad
    Times 2. I am number 1 in both contest. I'll take it.

  21. #21
    ProfaneReality
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    both ? you mean the weekly ? if so, doesnt work like that... an entry in the classic, gives you a free entry into the weekly contest.... there is no weekly prize for the classic.

  22. #22
    ProfaneReality
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    just noticed someone went 0-10. 5k for them

  23. #23
    Cap dat 4ss
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    Quote Originally Posted by Reload View Post
    Check out the guy in last who is 0-8 after yesterday: <table class="leaderboard" border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr id="218404"><td>414th</td> <td>#119128</td> <td>0</td> <td>0</td> <td>8</td> <td>2</td> <td>0</td></tr></tbody></table> He has the Dolphins +7 and Under 39 1/2 in Raiders/Broncos tonight if anyone wants to fade.
    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Do not fade that.... Follow it.
    Sharp work Houlihans

  24. #24
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfaneReality View Post
    both ? you mean the weekly ? if so, doesnt work like that... an entry in the classic, gives you a free entry into the weekly contest.... there is no weekly prize for the classic.
    What?

  25. #25
    ProfaneReality
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    There is NO WEEKLY PRIZE for the classic. When you buy into the classic, your classic entry is automatically entered into the WEEKLY contest.

    You will receive 1 prize.

  26. #26
    seaborneq
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    Pick 10 doesn't pay weekly? Let me check on that.

  27. #27
    seaborneq
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    Ok.

  28. #28
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfaneReality View Post
    There is NO WEEKLY PRIZE for the classic. When you buy into the classic, your classic entry is automatically entered into the WEEKLY contest.

    You will receive 1 prize.
    You are correct with your assessment. Carib has already paid me 714 dollars and change. Thanks for the information.

  29. #29
    hornsrgrt
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    did you hedge anything? if you didn't congrats (either way) on your 714...paid for your entry and $500...
    I am hoping to hit a 10-0 or 0-10 somewhere along the way !
    I have split the weekly prize 2 in the last 2 years which makes for a nice week !
    Congrats again - great way to start the season !

  30. #30
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by hornsrgrt View Post
    did you hedge anything? if you didn't congrats (either way) on your 714...paid for your entry and $500...
    I am hoping to hit a 10-0 or 0-10 somewhere along the way !
    I have split the weekly prize 2 in the last 2 years which makes for a nice week !
    Congrats again - great way to start the season !
    Thanks Horn. Let's win some more weeks. I don't know how Carib does it. 400+entries x 200 dollars = est 90000 dollars, yet they pay a minimum of 5k per week and sometimes more for perfect 10's and 0's for 17 weeks, and then they still pay ungodly end of year payouts with a grand prize of 65k. I love it nonetheless. Good luck in the future.

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