1. #1
    Cougar Bait
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    Thursday Night Football: Packers vs. Saints

    Line sitting between 4 and 4.5 as last years Super Bowl Champions are favored. Total between 47 and 48 but opened at a conservative 46.

    Let's discuss this game and figure out the right side. These nightly football threads have been very productive in the early season. Usually lots of good info, thanks for that guys

    Early lean is Packers and the over but I am just guessing that is square city. Haven't looked at the betting percentages yet. Anyone who has the current breakdown please post it.

  2. #2
    Cougar Bait
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    At work, need some numbers....

    Thoughts on teasing it over and Saints to 10.5?

  3. #3
    k13
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    ML seems high for the spread, no?

    Should be closer to -200 than -220 to -245..........

  4. #4
    SBRPicks
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    The SBRtv Experts' Roundtable take on the game:


  5. #5
    notsosharp
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    the under is the play.

  6. #6
    King Mayan
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    Under 48 is the play.

  7. #7
    Brock Landers
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    thinking New Orleans +4

    Game is very likely to be decided by a FG either way

  8. #8
    jjgold
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    Tough game

    still undecided

    Cougar ( Trey) good luck tonight

  9. #9
    bringdownthehous
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    tease up to 10.5 looks pretty good to me...already locked that in with the pats to -1

  10. #10
    k13
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    now -250, ok. I guess someone listened to me.

  11. #11
    Cougar Bait
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Tough game

    still undecided

    Cougar ( Trey) good luck tonight
    WTF???

    Thinking teaser is the way I am going.

  12. #12
    ProfaneReality
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    Over

  13. #13
    VegasInsider
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    NOR ML for me

  14. #14
    Cougar Bait
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    JJ has Packers 1st half -3

    Brock is on Saints


  15. #15
    firedawg
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    i think teasing saints too the over is the right play cougar

  16. #16
    Djstucky
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cougar Bait View Post
    JJ has Packers 1st half -3

    Brock is on Saints

    When this is the case...one must punt...

  17. #17
    Cougar Bait
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    Official play: Green Bay TT OVER 26 (1 unit)

    It's hard to predict what to expect from the Saints offense since they won't be at home and they are playing a very talented Green Bay defense in a really tough environment. The Saints D is not exceptional and Rodgers should be able to get a TD per quarter. I still can't get any numbers on the public percentages so if you have them, please post them.

  18. #18
    Housemoney
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    Nice CB, that is my only play on the game too. Playing Okl St. 1st hal and the game too.

  19. #19
    Tech N9ne
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    Spread: Saints 42% Packers 58%

    Total: Over 74% Under 26%
    Points Awarded:

    Cougar Bait gave Tech N9ne 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  20. #20
    Cougar Bait
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tech N9ne View Post
    Spread: Saints 42% Packers 58%

    Total: Over 74% Under 26%
    What site T9?

  21. #21
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tech N9ne View Post
    Spread: Saints 42% Packers 58%

    Total: Over 74% Under 26%
    Where are you getting this? I don't have the Saints anywhere near 42%.

  22. #22
    BIGDAY
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    I hit up some props. IMO some of the best way to get +EV.

    Passing TD's for Packers OVER 2 +130
    Passing TD's for Saints OVER 2 +130

    I think one of these QB's will get 3 or more. Just don't know which one. Looking to profit easily though... GL Cougar

  23. #23
    wantitall4moi
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    teasing that number is a very bad idea.

    as for the game dog ML is along term winner at anything over +200. whether it cashes tonight or not is the question.

  24. #24
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by wantitall4moi View Post
    teasing that number is a very bad idea.

    as for the game dog ML is along term winner at anything over +200. whether it cashes tonight or not is the question.
    Teasing 4.5 to 10.5?

  25. #25
    wantitall4moi
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Teasing 4.5 to 10.5?
    no its not good. not nearly as good as people think anyway.

    Numbers dont usually matter to some people but on spreads from 3.5 to 5 (will use a range rather thana specific number) 6 point teasers are 69%

    Looking specifically at 4.5 teasers are 66%

    I knw the teaser guys have a teaser slide rule, I dont pay to much attention but I doubt anything under 74% would be a 'value' bet.

  26. #26
    Going4Broke
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    Saints +4.5 for 3* and Under 48 for 1*.

    7-point teaser: 5*

    Saints +11.5
    Arizona -1

  27. #27
    Tech N9ne
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tech N9ne View Post
    Spread: Saints 42% Packers 58% Total: Over 74% Under 26%
    Quote Originally Posted by Cougar Bait View Post
    What site T9?
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Where are you getting this? I don't have the Saints anywhere near 42%.
    Sportsbookspy

    Thanks for the points cougar

    GL tonight men

  28. #28
    Fab floyd
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    packers and over

    I like the packers to win by a touchdown . The saints kicker has been replaced by Kasey and anything outside 43 yards will be a question mark!

  29. #29
    HOT WINGS
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    At first I liked Saints and Over, but after looking into it more I think Packers -4 is the play I like best. Superbowl favorite has won season opening game 14 out of last 15. Only loss was Bronco's in 1999 but that was the year after Elway retired and Griese was his replacement. I don't have ATS numbers but they all won by 3 or more. I hate buying points so probably just buy the hook and play at -4. I think Packers come out with some energy and get it done. As for total I lean more to under now as well especially if the number keeps climbing. GL

  30. #30
    Cougar Bait
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    Swami has Packers 27, Saints 21

    Brock just text me he has Packers ML

  31. #31
    Footballtime
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    I got a 31-27 or 31-28 game here boys. OVER all night, if this wasnt the 1st game of year the total would be 53, Im a little worried cause Saints are missing Hartley (K) so i hope the new kicker doesnt mess up my total play! GL Boys FBT

  32. #32
    beerman2619
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    Like the under especially with the new kickoff rule. 80 to 90 percent of time teams will be starting at the 20 long field kids.

  33. #33
    ShogunRua
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brock Landers View Post
    thinking New Orleans +4

    Game is very likely to be decided by a FG either way
    Stopped reading after this. I'm on GB. Good luck all.

  34. #34
    Cougar Bait
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    Brock has Green Bay ML

    But I think tonight he wins

  35. #35
    shade3599
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    the latest has Green Bay getting 58% at -4.5 and over 48 is at 73%. I think I am staying away and taking Oklahoma St. tonight. Good luck everyone.

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